Sibek AB (SIBEK) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 542M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 20 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from kr 32.19 to kr 35.76 (+11.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.1% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 37% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 75/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The model range is unusually wide (kr 24.41 to kr 66.02). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
33‑month range kr 15.55 – kr 60.32 · fair‑value band kr 24.41 – kr 66.02 · the kr 57.20 price screens above the kr 35.76 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Sibek AB (SIBEK) currently trades at kr 57.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 35.76, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sibek AB generated revenue of 174M SEK at a net margin of 12.9%. Revenue grew 7.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 42.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 22.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 24.41 (bear case) to kr 66.02 (bull case); at kr 57.20, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -37%, SIBEK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 20 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 50.79) versus Asset-Based (kr 4.04). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sibek AB (publ) offers technical consultancy services for railway signaling systems in Sweden. It also provides connection management, construction site monitoring, construction inspection, and construction management services. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Årsta, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Sibek AB reported revenue of kr 181M in FY2026 versus kr 107M in FY2022, a compound +14.0%/yr. Reported net income was kr 24.7M in FY2026, compounding +11.3%/yr from FY2022.
SIBEK screens 37% overvalued. Compare with ASSA ABLOY AB →
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 348.40 | kr 269.97 | -23% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €10.26 | €12.40 | +21% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $137.24 | $127.80 | -7% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 162.10 | kr 186.34 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.57 | ¥23.58 | +42% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $169.00 | $118.51 | -30% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.06 | $17.10 | +142% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $104.24 | $101.84 | -2% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $90.16 | $73.43 | -19% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $29.46 | $32.36 | +10% |
Compare Sibek AB with another stock
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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