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Sintokogio,Ltd., (SILDF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $267M

SL Sintokogio,Ltd., logo Sintokogio,Ltd., SILDF · US
Price$5.09
Fair Value$4.90
Upside-3.6%
Quality46/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -9.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.93% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Medium Range $2.84 – $7.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($2.84 to $7.59). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$7.30 $3.44 Fair Value $4.90 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.44 – $7.30 · fair‑value band $2.84 – $7.59 · the $5.09 price screens above the $4.90 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Sintokogio,Ltd., (SILDF) currently trades at $5.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.90, implying the stock looks roughly 3.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sintokogio,Ltd., generated revenue of $176B at a net margin of -9.2%. Revenue grew 8.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.8%. Net debt stands at $9.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.84 (bear case) to $7.59 (bull case); at $5.09, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -4%, SILDF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.7241 $0.8517 $1.00 80
ROIC Compounder $2.50 $2.76 $2.97 72
EPV $2.50 $2.76 $2.97 59
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.7236 $0.8715 $1.06 38
5Y Revenue Exit $2.85 $4.90 $7.57 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $8.59 $15.63 $23.94 41
10Y Revenue Exit $1.78 $3.23 $5.25 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $5.01 $9.59 $15.91 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $2.50 $2.76 $2.97 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT $6.51 $8.57 $10.62 53
EV/EBITDA $16.63 $22.06 $27.49 54
EV/Revenue $4.75 $6.63 $8.52 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.01 $9.40 $14.02 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.7241 $0.8517 $1.00 80
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $2.50 $2.76 $2.97 72

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($9.40) versus Growth DCF ($0.8517). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $176B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.2%
Net margin -9.2%
Return on equity -12.8%
Free cash flow $364M FY2026
P/E ratio 14.1
More key figures
Operating margin 3.2%
EPS (TTM) $0.3600
Dividend yield 5.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +317%
Net debt $9.8B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sintokogio,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells foundry, surface treatment, environmental, and material handling in Japan and internationally. The company engages in electronic core materials and ceramics businesses.

Full company description

Sintokogio,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells foundry, surface treatment, environmental, and material handling in Japan and internationally. The company engages in electronic core materials and ceramics businesses. It also offers green sand and v-process molding, chemically bonded sand, and aluminium casting products; dust collection, dust fire prevention system, exhaust gas treatment, and water treatment products; powder treatment products/ technologies, including granulation, kneading, pneumatic transport, dispersal, and powder solutions; and force sensors. In addition, it provides flooring and electric cylinders, as well as image processing measuring machine and calibration of measuring instruments and machines. The company was formerly known as Kubota Seisakusho, Ltd. and changed its name to Sintokogio,Ltd. in February 1960. Sintokogio,Ltd. was incorporated in 1934 and is headquartered in Nagoya, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Sintokogio,Ltd., reported revenue of $177B in FY2026 versus $99.2B in FY2022, a compound +15.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$16.4B in FY2026.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$177B
Latest YoY
+18.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.5%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Revenue +15.6%/yr
FY22 $99.2B
FY23 $106B
FY24 $115B
FY25 $150B
FY26 $177B
Net income
FY22 $2.8B
FY23 $6.2B
FY24 $8.7B
FY25 $2.8B
FY26 −$16.4B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +8.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.4 pp

of which total revenue +4.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.3 pp

EBIT margin −5.1 pp
Tax rate +1.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +7.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sintokogio,Ltd., Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SILDF

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −4% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.35× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 29 · sector 0
FUTURE 41 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 83 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sintokogio,Ltd., (SILDF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.90 versus a price of $5.09, about −4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SILDF?
Our model-based fair value for Sintokogio,Ltd., is $4.90 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.09.
What is the quality score of SILDF?
Sintokogio,Ltd., has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sintokogio,Ltd., (SILDF)?
Sintokogio,Ltd., reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $176B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SILDF?
The net profit margin of Sintokogio,Ltd., is about -9.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sintokogio,Ltd., pay a dividend?
Sintokogio,Ltd., currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.93% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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