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Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited ₹6.74, price ₹6.72, upside +0.3%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · IN · ISIN INE748T01016

SS Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Simbhaoli Sugars Limited

SIMBHALS · NSE

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value ₹6.74 · Fairly valued (+0.3%)
!Quality 42/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.3 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -2.6% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 0.1%
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/7)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹42.35 ₹6.19 Fair Value ₹6.74 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹6.19 – ₹42.35 · fair‑value band ₹5.05 – ₹8.42 · the ₹6.72 price screens below the ₹6.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Simbhaoli Sugars Limited primarily manufactures and sells sugar in India. The company operates through Sugar and Alcohol segments.

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Simbhaoli Sugars Limited primarily manufactures and sells sugar in India. The company operates through Sugar and Alcohol segments. It produces sugar under the TRUST brand name; spirit and liquor; denatured spirit; bagasse; molasses; extra neutral alcohol (ENA); ethanol; brown mineral and coffee sugar, and jaggery and jaggery powder under the Sunehra brand; and cane sugar under the G-Low brand. The company also provides powdered fruit drink mixes and coconut water under the SIPP brand; hand sanitizers and multi surface disinfectants under the TRUST brand; and organic bio-manures, bio-compost, plant nutrients, plant growth regulators, and herbicides under the SOM brand name. In addition, it offers logistics and transport services; agriculture advisory services; and technology and engineering consulting services, as well as trades ENA and corogen and others. Further, the company operates co-generation power plants to generate bio-mass based power. The company was founded in 1933 and is based in Noida, India.

Stock analysis

Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS) currently trades at ₹6.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹6.74, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.3%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹6.74 per share, and 13 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹6.72 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹3.75, and 3 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹5.05 (bear) to ₹8.42 (bull), the price of ₹6.72 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Simbhaoli Sugars Limited reported revenue of ₹10.0B in FY2025 versus ₹12.4B in FY2021, a compound −5.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹13.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap ₹278M (≈ $2.9M) · P/E ratio 20.4 · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.3200 · Net margin 0.1% · Return on equity −236% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.5% · Operating margin −6.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at 0%, SIMBHALS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹5.05 Fair Value ₹6.74 Bull ₹8.42
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.3200 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ₹96.14 ₹122.75 ₹171.75 81
Growth DCF ₹98.95 ₹124.70 ₹168.38 80
Owner Earnings ₹124.98 ₹161.17 ₹227.79 77
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹96.14 ₹122.75 ₹171.75 81
Owner Earnings ₹124.98 ₹161.17 ₹227.79 77
5Y Revenue Exit ₹70.79 ₹89.27 ₹116.06 74
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹86.79 ₹116.52 ₹155.82 76
5Y P/E Exit ₹49.85 ₹53.57 ₹58.42 72
10Y Revenue Exit ₹79.14 ₹96.54 ₹115.76 68
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹89.84 ₹114.15 ₹141.35 70
10Y P/E Exit ₹67.63 ₹73.47 ₹78.64 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹2.18 ₹3.75 ₹4.58 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹5.05 ₹6.74 ₹8.42 63
P/S Multiple ₹4.09 ₹5.45 ₹6.82 58
EV/EBITDA ₹91.05 ₹116.06 ₹141.08 67
EV/Revenue ₹57.76 ₹75.66 ₹93.56 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹98.95 ₹124.70 ₹168.38 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹70.79 ₹90.89 ₹116.63 74
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹3.57 ₹5.10 ₹6.63 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 37/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.4% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.2% (2020) → −0.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 84 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside +0.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −0.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −2.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −6.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −6.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.4× · Pricier than median
P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)34 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 90
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 54

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ $57.82 $29.03 −50%
The Hershey Company HSY $161.41 $90.80 −44%
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISP CHF 8,580 CHF 11,708 +36%
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,118 CHF 654.80 −41%
Cofco Sugar Holding 600737 ¥14.75 ¥10.01 −32%
ORION Corp 271560 106,900 KRW 203,315 KRW +90%
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB $39.00 $21.64 −45%
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 ¥18.76 ¥8.53 −55%
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN ₹685.80 ₹161.22 −76%
ORION Holdings 001800 23,000 KRW 51,062 KRW +122%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Simbhaoli Sugars Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIMBHALS

Frequently asked questions

Is Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹6.74 versus a price of ₹6.72, about +0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SIMBHALS?
Our model-based fair value for Simbhaoli Sugars Limited is ₹6.74 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹6.72.
What is the quality score of SIMBHALS?
Simbhaoli Sugars Limited has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹6.74 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹5.05, optimistic scenario ₹8.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Simbhaoli Sugars Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹6.74, about +0% upside versus a price of ₹6.72 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ₹5.05, optimistic scenario ₹8.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS)?
Simbhaoli Sugars Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹9.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Simbhaoli Sugars Limited it is ₹6.74 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹6.72. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Simbhaoli Sugars Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, SIMBHALS trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹6.72, fair value ₹6.74, a gap of about +0% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SIMBHALS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹6.72); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹6.74). For Simbhaoli Sugars Limited the two are ₹0.0200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Simbhaoli Sugars Limited worth?
The market values Simbhaoli Sugars Limited at about ₹278M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹6.72; our models calculate a fair value of ₹6.74 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SIMBHALS?
Our models span a range for Simbhaoli Sugars Limited: cautious scenario ₹5.05, base ₹6.74, optimistic ₹8.42 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹6.72). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SIMBHALS?
Simbhaoli Sugars Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.4 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹6.74 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SIMBHALS from its 52-week high?
Simbhaoli Sugars Limited trades at ₹6.72, about 51% below its 52-week high of ₹13.72 and 9% above the low of ₹6.19 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹6.74 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Simbhaoli Sugars Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Simbhaoli Sugars Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹6.72, calculated fair value ₹6.74 (+0%), Quality Score 42/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SIMBHALS calculated?
We run Simbhaoli Sugars Limited through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹6.74, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Simbhaoli Sugars Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹6.72. Our model-based fair value is ₹6.74, about +0% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Simbhaoli Sugars Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS)?
The market capitalisation of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited is ₹278M (≈ $2.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited is 0.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS)?
Earnings per share at Simbhaoli Sugars Limited are ₹0.3200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS)?
The net margin of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited is 0.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited is −236% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited is −0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS)?
The operating margin of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited is −6.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS)?
Revenue at Simbhaoli Sugars Limited is growing −6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS)?
Earnings per share at Simbhaoli Sugars Limited are growing −22.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS) generate?
The free cash flow of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited is ₹189M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Simbhaoli Sugars Limited (SIMBHALS) carry?
The net debt of Simbhaoli Sugars Limited is ₹9.4B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 49.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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