SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of SIM Technology Group Limited $0.03, price $0.06, upside -45.0%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0056 – $0.1341 · fair‑value band $0.0303 – $0.0358 · the $0.0550 price screens above the $0.0303 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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SIM Technology Group Limited, an investment holding company, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells handsets and Internet of Things (IOT) terminals in China, Hong Kong, other Asian countries, Europe, and the United States.
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SIM Technology Group Limited, an investment holding company, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells handsets and Internet of Things (IOT) terminals in China, Hong Kong, other Asian countries, Europe, and the United States. The company operates through Handsets and IOT Terminals Business, Automotive Intelligent Products Business, and Property Management segments. It also offers electronic manufacturing and finance leasing services. In addition, it engages in the building design and construction of smart homes; trading of snacks; property development; development of automated test equipment and online-to-offline equipment; and holding of land use rights. Further, the company offers outsourcing, products sales and marketing, and logistics services, as well as develops automotive cockpits. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF) currently trades at $0.0550, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0303, 45.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $0.0200 per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the $0.0550 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $0.0100, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.0303 (bear) to $0.0358 (bull), the price of $0.0550 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
SIM Technology Group Limited reported revenue of HK$399M in FY2025 versus HK$725M in FY2021, a compound −13.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$13.3M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $344M · P/S ratio 0.86 · Net margin −3.3% · Return on equity −1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.1% · Operating margin −5.6% · Revenue (TTM) HK$399M · Revenue growth (YoY) −22.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 400% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −45%, SIMTF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0303Fair Value $0.0303Bull $0.0358
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −18.8% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−23.4% (2020) → −3.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare SIM Technology Group Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 295 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−40.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−0.6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−3.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−5.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−22.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)24.9% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.24× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.86× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF11.0× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 42
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 24
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SIM Technology Group Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIMTF
Frequently asked questions
Is SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0303 versus a price of $0.0550, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SIMTF?
Our model-based fair value for SIM Technology Group Limited is $0.0303 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0550.
What is the quality score of SIMTF?
SIM Technology Group Limited has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0303 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0303, optimistic scenario $0.0358. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SIM Technology Group Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0303, about −45% upside versus a price of $0.0550 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0303, optimistic scenario $0.0358. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF)?
SIM Technology Group Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$399M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SIM Technology Group Limited would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -10.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SIMTF use?
Our models discount SIM Technology Group Limited at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.27, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SIM Technology Group Limited that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SIM Technology Group Limited grew -10.9 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SIM Technology Group Limited (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.38 %: that much free cash flow SIM Technology Group Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SIM Technology Group Limited it is $0.0303 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0550. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SIM Technology Group Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SIMTF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0550, fair value $0.0303, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SIMTF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0550); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0303). For SIM Technology Group Limited the two are $0.0248 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SIM Technology Group Limited worth?
The market values SIM Technology Group Limited at about $344M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0550; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0303 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SIMTF?
Our models span a range for SIM Technology Group Limited: cautious scenario $0.0303, base $0.0303, optimistic $0.0358 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0550). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF)?
Balance-sheet figures for SIM Technology Group Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −1.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SIMTF from its 52-week high?
SIM Technology Group Limited trades at $0.0550, at its 52-week high of $0.0550 and 400% above the low of $0.0110 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0303 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SIM Technology Group Limited?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Zhongji Innolight Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SIM Technology Group Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0550, calculated fair value $0.0303 (−45%), Quality Score 57/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SIMTF calculated?
We run SIM Technology Group Limited through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0303, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SIM Technology Group Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.0550. Our model-based fair value is $0.0303, about −45% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SIM Technology Group Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0358). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of SIM Technology Group Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF)?
The market capitalisation of SIM Technology Group Limited is $344M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SIM Technology Group Limited is 0.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF)?
The net margin of SIM Technology Group Limited is −3.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SIM Technology Group Limited is −1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SIM Technology Group Limited is −9.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF)?
The operating margin of SIM Technology Group Limited is −5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF)?
Revenue at SIM Technology Group Limited is growing −22.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does SIM Technology Group Limited (SIMTF) hold?
SIM Technology Group Limited holds more cash than debt, HK$445M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026