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Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Singapore Airlines Limited $6.21, price $5.30, upside +17.2%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
Singapore Airlines Limited
SINGF · USUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value $6.21 · Undervalued (+17.2%)
!Quality 55/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +40.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓5.1% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Narrow moat 43/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.96 – $6.09 · fair‑value band $4.63 – $7.72 · the $5.30 price screens below the $6.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
Singapore Airlines Limited, together with subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services under the Singapore Airlines and Scoot brands in East Asia, Europe, South West Pacific, the Americas, West Asia and Africa, and internationally.
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Singapore Airlines Limited, together with subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services under the Singapore Airlines and Scoot brands in East Asia, Europe, South West Pacific, the Americas, West Asia and Africa, and internationally. It operates through The Full-Service Carrier, The Low-Cost Carrier, and Engineering Services segments. The company offers engineering services, pilot training services, air charters, and related services; tour activities; refurbishes aircraft galleys; payment and lifestyle reward app; and sells merchandise. It also provides aircraft maintenance services, including technical and non-technical handling at the airport; line maintenance services; maintenance, repair, and overhaul of aircraft and cabin components/systems; fleet management; repair and overhaul of hydromechanical equipment; aviation insurance; and airframe maintenance and overhaul services, as well as manufactures aircraft cabin equipment and tooling for the aerospace industry. In addition, the company offers marketing and supporting portal services for the air cargo industry, as well as travel-related retail services; and payment and related services. Further, it provides travel booking and related services through an online portal; marketing of cargo community system; corporate support; aviation insurance; and educational support services. Singapore Airlines Limited was founded in 1947 and is based in Singapore.
Stock analysis
Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF) currently trades at $5.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.21, implying the stock looks roughly 14.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $10.15 per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the $5.30 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.92, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $4.63 (bear) to $7.72 (bull), the price of $5.30 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Singapore Airlines Limited reported revenue of 20.5B SGD in FY2026 versus 7.6B SGD in FY2022, a compound +28.1%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2B SGD in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $16.4B · P/E ratio 17.7 · P/S ratio 1.02 · EPS (TTM) $0.3000 · Dividend yield 5.1% · Net margin 5.8% · Return on equity 7.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at 17%, SINGF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $4.63
Fair Value $6.21
Bull $7.72
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0153 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$9.05
$13.53
$20.37
80
Growth DCF
$9.19
$13.16
$18.85
78
Owner Earnings
$4.85
$7.00
$10.28
76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$9.05
$13.53
$20.37
80
Owner Earnings
$4.85
$7.00
$10.28
76
5Y Revenue Exit
$6.98
$10.09
$13.99
73
5Y EBITDA Exit
$10.55
$16.76
$24.00
75
5Y P/E Exit
$6.47
$9.14
$11.89
71
10Y Revenue Exit
$7.50
$10.51
$14.45
67
10Y EBITDA Exit
$9.93
$15.14
$22.08
68
10Y P/E Exit
$7.33
$9.85
$12.85
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$2.00
$6.20
$8.25
65
Lynch FV
$1.35
$1.92
$2.50
61
PEG = 1.0
$1.35
$1.92
$2.50
57
EPV
$5.42
$6.16
$6.81
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$2.65
$5.51
$8.74
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$2.65
$4.38
$5.78
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$4.63
$6.17
$7.72
63
P/S Multiple
$3.75
$5.00
$6.25
58
P/B Multiple
$3.75
$5.00
$6.25
55
EV/EBIT
$8.18
$10.58
$12.98
66
EV/EBITDA
$12.64
$16.52
$20.41
67
EV/Revenue
$6.12
$8.32
$10.52
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$2.14
$2.87
$4.29
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$9.19
$13.16
$18.85
78
Rev-Margin DCF
$6.98
$10.15
$13.81
73
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$3.50
$3.70
$4.03
76
ROIC Compounder
$5.66
$6.95
$8.51
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$3.82
$5.46
$7.10
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
55/100
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Profitability
28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
85
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.0% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
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’18
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’21
’22
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’25
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−1.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.1%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−66% → 11%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.5%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−12.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in SGD, Singapore: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −14.3% a year for the price and +0.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.7%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+1.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+1.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.6%
Projected 2031 (sales)+1.7%
Watch SINGF, get fair value alerts →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Very negative
Recent news coverage is unusually downbeat.
- Navan Upgrades Singapore Airlines NDC to Direct Connection
- Why Southwest Airlines (LUV) Is Up 7.2% After New Singapore Airlines Interline Deal And Network Push
- SOUTHWEST AIRLINES BEGINS INTERLINE PARTNERSHIP WITH SINGAPORE AIRLINES
- We Think That There Are More Issues For Singapore Airlines (SGX:C6L) Than Just Sluggish Earnings
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Airlines stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Air Lines, Inc DAL | $84.13 | $121.83 | +45% |
| United Airlines Holdings UAL | $111.51 | $149.61 | +34% |
| Ryanair Holdings RYA | €23.79 | €48.63 | +104% |
| Southwest Airlines Co LUV | $42.28 | $14.74 | −65% |
| InterGlobe Aviation Limited INDIGO | ₹4,940 | ₹3,073 | −38% |
| LATAM Airlines Group LTM | $52.45 | $106.79 | +104% |
| China Southern Airlines Company 600029 | ¥4.86 | ¥2.78 | −43% |
| Cathay Pacific Airways Limited 0293 | HK$14.37 | HK$31.02 | +116% |
| Deutsche Lufthansa AG LHA | €7.60 | €9.90 | +30% |
| Qantas Airways Limited QAN | A$8.93 | A$9.69 | +9% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.21 versus a price of $5.30, about +17% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SINGF?
Our model-based fair value for Singapore Airlines Limited is $6.21 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.30.
What is the quality score of SINGF?
Singapore Airlines Limited has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.21 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.63, optimistic scenario $7.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Singapore Airlines Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.21, about +17% upside versus a price of $5.30 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $4.63, optimistic scenario $7.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF)?
Singapore Airlines Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 20.5B SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Singapore Airlines Limited pay a dividend?
Singapore Airlines Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.09% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Singapore Airlines Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -12.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +40.0 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SINGF use?
Our models discount Singapore Airlines Limited at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.52, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Singapore Airlines Limited that is -12.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Singapore Airlines Limited grew +40.0 % a year. The price currently implies -12.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Singapore Airlines Limited (-12.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.34 %: that much free cash flow Singapore Airlines Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Singapore Airlines Limited it is $6.21 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $5.30. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Singapore Airlines Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, SINGF trades below its calculated fair value: price $5.30, fair value $6.21, a gap of about +17% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SINGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.21). For Singapore Airlines Limited the two are $0.9100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Singapore Airlines Limited worth?
The market values Singapore Airlines Limited at about $16.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $5.30; our models calculate a fair value of $6.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SINGF?
Our models span a range for Singapore Airlines Limited: cautious scenario $4.63, base $6.21, optimistic $7.72 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $5.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is SINGF from its 52-week high?
Singapore Airlines Limited trades at $5.30, about 13% below its 52-week high of $6.09 and 18% above the low of $4.49 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Singapore Airlines Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Delta Air Lines, Inc, United Airlines Holdings, Ryanair Holdings, Southwest Airlines Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Singapore Airlines Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $5.30, calculated fair value $6.21 (+17%), Quality Score 55/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SINGF calculated?
We run Singapore Airlines Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Singapore Airlines Limited currently trades 15 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $5.30. Our model-based fair value is $6.21, about +17% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Singapore Airlines Limited right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF) come from?
Earnings per share at Singapore Airlines Limited grew +9.8 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −4.0 %, EBIT margin +13.1 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Singapore Airlines Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF)?
The market capitalisation of Singapore Airlines Limited is $16.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Singapore Airlines Limited is 17.7. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Singapore Airlines Limited is 1.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF)?
Earnings per share at Singapore Airlines Limited are $0.3000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF)?
The dividend yield of Singapore Airlines Limited is 5.1% (payout 90.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF)?
The net margin of Singapore Airlines Limited is 5.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Singapore Airlines Limited is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Singapore Airlines Limited is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF)?
The operating margin of Singapore Airlines Limited is 14.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF)?
Revenue at Singapore Airlines Limited is growing +8.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF)?
Earnings per share at Singapore Airlines Limited are growing −53.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Singapore Airlines Limited (SINGF) carry?
The net debt of Singapore Airlines Limited is 1.0B SGD (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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