SinterCast AB (SINT) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 750M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price −0.5% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 42% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 86/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 79.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 84.78 – kr 143.76 · fair‑value band kr 46.23 – kr 79.24 · the kr 105.50 price screens above the kr 61.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
SinterCast AB (SINT) currently trades at kr 105.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 61.46, implying the stock looks roughly 41.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 86/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, SinterCast AB generated revenue of 106M SEK at a net margin of 20.9%. Revenue declined 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.8M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 46.23 (bear case) to kr 79.24 (bull case); at kr 105.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -42%, SINT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 71.58) versus Asset-Based (kr 7.24). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 84 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
SinterCast AB (publ) provides process control technology to produce compacted graphite iron (CGI) for the foundry and automotive industries in Brazil, Mexico, Sweden, the United States of America, Korea, China, Spain, Japan, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Full company description
SinterCast AB (publ) provides process control technology to produce compacted graphite iron (CGI) for the foundry and automotive industries in Brazil, Mexico, Sweden, the United States of America, Korea, China, Spain, Japan, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers the fully automated System 4000, which comprises individual hardware modules that can be configured to suit the layout, process flow, and production volume of a foundry for ladle production and pouring furnaces; and a hardware and software platform that enables the foundry to independently control CGI series production and product development. It also provides Mini-System 4000, a purpose-built thermal analysis system for product development, and niche volume production. In addition, the company offers sampling consumables that consist of sampling cups and thermocouple pair products; and engineering services for product development, trials, new installations and calibrations, metallurgical consultancy, and ongoing customer services. Further, it provides SinterCast Ladle Tracker and SinterCast Cast Tracker for traceability of the foundry process; CGI ladle production, properties, and microstructure evaluation services; and technical support services. SinterCast AB (publ) was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Katrineholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SinterCast AB reported revenue of kr 108M in FY2025 versus kr 107M in FY2021, a compound +0.1%/yr. Reported net income was kr 24.6M in FY2025, compounding −7.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
SINT screens 42% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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