SinterCast AB (SINT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of SinterCast AB SEK 114, price SEK 104, upside +10.5%, quality 86 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 84.78 – kr 143.76 · fair‑value band kr 86.05 – kr 201.70 · the kr 103.50 price screens below the kr 114.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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SinterCast AB (publ) provides process control technology to produce compacted graphite iron (CGI) for the foundry and automotive industries in Brazil, Mexico, Sweden, the United States of America, Korea, China, Spain, Japan, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
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SinterCast AB (publ) provides process control technology to produce compacted graphite iron (CGI) for the foundry and automotive industries in Brazil, Mexico, Sweden, the United States of America, Korea, China, Spain, Japan, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers the fully automated System 4000, which comprises individual hardware modules that can be configured to suit the layout, process flow, and production volume of a foundry for ladle production and pouring furnaces; and a hardware and software platform that enables the foundry to independently control CGI series production and product development. It also provides Mini-System 4000, a purpose-built thermal analysis system for product development, and niche volume production. In addition, the company offers sampling consumables that consist of sampling cups and thermocouple pair products; and engineering services for product development, trials, new installations and calibrations, metallurgical consultancy, and ongoing customer services. Further, it provides SinterCast Ladle Tracker and SinterCast Cast Tracker for traceability of the foundry process; CGI ladle production, properties, and microstructure evaluation services; and technical support services. SinterCast AB (publ) was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Katrineholm, Sweden.
Stock analysis
SinterCast AB (SINT) currently trades at kr 103.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 114.40, implying the stock looks roughly 9.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 65.19 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 103.50 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at kr 26.02, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 86.05 (bear) to kr 201.70 (bull), the price of kr 103.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 86/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
SinterCast AB reported revenue of 108M SEK in FY2025 versus 107M SEK in FY2021, a compound +0.1%/yr. Reported net income was 24.6M SEK in FY2025, compounding −7.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 729M SEK (≈ $73.4M) · P/E ratio 33.0 · P/S ratio 7.51 · EPS (TTM) kr 3.14 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 22.8% · Return on equity 23.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 29.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at 11%, SINT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 86.05Fair Value kr 114.40Bull kr 201.70
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 0.1028 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−20.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.1% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−2.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6% vs 0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 27%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 828 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score86 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)23% · Top 25%
Return on assets14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)25% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.9% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SinterCast AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SINT
Frequently asked questions
Is SinterCast AB (SINT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 114.40 versus a price of kr 103.50, about +11% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SINT?
Our model-based fair value for SinterCast AB is kr 114.40 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 103.50.
What is the quality score of SINT?
SinterCast AB has a Quality Score of 86/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SinterCast AB (SINT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 114.40 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 86.05, optimistic scenario kr 201.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SinterCast AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 114.40, about +11% upside versus a price of kr 103.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 86.05, optimistic scenario kr 201.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SinterCast AB (SINT)?
SinterCast AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 106M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does SinterCast AB pay a dividend?
SinterCast AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.90% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into SinterCast AB (SINT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SinterCast AB would have to grow free cash flow by +13.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SINT use?
Our models discount SinterCast AB at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.53, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SinterCast AB that is +13.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SinterCast AB (SINT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SinterCast AB grew +2.5 % a year. The price currently implies +13.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SinterCast AB (SINT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SinterCast AB (+13.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SinterCast AB (SINT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.75 %: that much free cash flow SinterCast AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SinterCast AB (SINT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SinterCast AB it is kr 114.40 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 103.50. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SinterCast AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SINT trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 103.50, fair value kr 114.40, a gap of about +11% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SINT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 103.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 114.40). For SinterCast AB the two are kr 10.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SinterCast AB worth?
The market values SinterCast AB at about 729M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 103.50; our models calculate a fair value of kr 114.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SINT?
Our models span a range for SinterCast AB: cautious scenario kr 86.05, base kr 114.40, optimistic kr 201.70 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 103.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SINT?
SinterCast AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 114.40 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.9, P/B 9.6, P/S 6.9, EV/EBITDA 26.5.
What is the PEG ratio of SINT?
The PEG ratio of SinterCast AB is 1.89 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of SinterCast AB (SINT)?
Balance-sheet figures for SinterCast AB (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 23.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 86/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SINT from its 52-week high?
SinterCast AB trades at kr 103.50, about 8% below its 52-week high of kr 112.00 and 22% above the low of kr 84.78 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 114.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SinterCast AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SinterCast AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 103.50, calculated fair value kr 114.40 (+11%), Quality Score 86/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SINT calculated?
We run SinterCast AB through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 114.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. SinterCast AB currently trades 11 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SinterCast AB (SINT)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 103.50. Our model-based fair value is kr 114.40, about +11% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SinterCast AB right now?
A fairly wide model range (kr 86.05 to kr 201.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of SinterCast AB (SINT) come from?
Earnings per share at SinterCast AB grew +5.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.2 %, EBIT margin +0.9 %, tax rate −2.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of SinterCast AB
How large is the market capitalisation of SinterCast AB (SINT)?
The market capitalisation of SinterCast AB is 729M SEK (≈ $73.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SinterCast AB (SINT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SinterCast AB is 7.51 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SinterCast AB (SINT)?
Earnings per share at SinterCast AB are kr 3.14 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SinterCast AB (SINT)?
The dividend yield of SinterCast AB is 2.9% (payout 95.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SinterCast AB (SINT)?
The net margin of SinterCast AB is 22.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SinterCast AB (SINT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SinterCast AB is 23.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SinterCast AB (SINT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SinterCast AB is 29.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SinterCast AB (SINT)?
The operating margin of SinterCast AB is 25.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SinterCast AB (SINT)?
Revenue at SinterCast AB is growing −7.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SinterCast AB (SINT)?
Earnings per share at SinterCast AB are growing −32.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does SinterCast AB (SINT) hold?
SinterCast AB holds more cash than debt, 3.8M SEK net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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