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Sipef NV (SIP) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · BE · Market cap €945M

SN Sipef NV SIP · BR
Price€91.00
Fair Value€157.62
Upside+73.2%
Quality79/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 22.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.65% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Wide moat 77/100
Evidence: High Range €98.66 – €207.84 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from €261.15 to €157.62 (−39.6%) since Jul 25, 2026. Share price +0.9% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 73% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (79/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€98.66). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (€98.66 to €207.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€98.85 €39.33 Fair Value €157.62 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €39.33 – €98.85 · fair‑value band €98.66 – €207.84 · the €91.00 price screens below the €157.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Sipef NV (SIP) currently trades at €91.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €157.62, implying the stock looks roughly 73.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sipef NV generated revenue of €570M at a net margin of 22.0%. Revenue grew 34.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €87.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €98.66 (bear case) to €207.84 (bull case); at €91.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 73%, SIP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €134.02 €198.48 €285.64 80
Residual Income €85.52 €99.04 €185.74 76
Rev-Margin DCF €89.45 €131.15 €182.13 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €134.37 €204.10 €302.68 38
Owner Earnings €92.60 €140.03 €207.08 31
5Y Revenue Exit €89.45 €129.92 €180.66 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €186.05 €318.02 €477.00 41
5Y P/E Exit €162.23 €271.62 €390.50 38
10Y Revenue Exit €104.47 €144.96 €198.87 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €163.30 €266.92 €413.38 37
10Y P/E Exit €149.19 €236.84 €350.77 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €84.96 €318.59 €430.89 54
Lynch FV €76.87 €109.82 €142.76 50
PEG = 1.0 €76.87 €109.82 €142.76 46
EPV €112.41 €127.23 €139.57 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €17.70 €31.90 €43.92 70
DDM Multi-Stage €17.70 €29.14 €34.08 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €196.77 €262.36 €327.95 63
P/S Multiple €68.17 €90.89 €113.62 58
P/B Multiple €159.29 €212.39 €265.49 55
EV/EBIT €248.98 €330.72 €412.46 53
EV/EBITDA €244.04 €324.13 €404.22 54
EV/Revenue €63.42 €88.98 €114.55 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €47.93 €64.22 €95.85 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €134.02 €198.48 €285.64 80
Rev-Margin DCF €89.45 €131.15 €182.13 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €85.52 €99.04 €185.74 76
ROIC Compounder €116.96 €143.94 €176.80 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €141.72 €202.46 €263.20 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (€212.39) versus Dividend Discount (€29.14). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €570M
Revenue growth (YoY) +34.4%
Net margin 22.0%
Return on equity 13.4%
Free cash flow €138M FY2025
P/E ratio 9.0
More key figures
Operating margin 34.3%
EPS (TTM) €10.42
Dividend yield 5.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +65.8%
Net cash €87.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 79/100

Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 99
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sipef NV operates as an agro-industrial company. The company operates through Palm, Rubber, and Bananas segments. It also provides crude palm oil, palm kernels, and palm kernel oil; flowers; pineapple and bananas. The company operates in Papua New Guinea, Côte d'Ivoire, Singapore, Europe, and Indonesia.

Full company description

Sipef NV operates as an agro-industrial company. The company operates through Palm, Rubber, and Bananas segments. It also provides crude palm oil, palm kernels, and palm kernel oil; flowers; pineapple and bananas. The company operates in Papua New Guinea, Côte d'Ivoire, Singapore, Europe, and Indonesia. Sipef NV was incorporated in 1919 and is headquartered in Schoten, Belgium.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sipef NV reported revenue of €594M in FY2025 versus €416M in FY2021, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was €131M in FY2025, compounding +8.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€594M
Latest YoY
+33.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.7%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
+7.2%
Revenue +9.3%/yr
FY21 €416M
FY22 €527M
FY23 €444M
FY24 €444M
FY25 €594M
Net income +8.6%/yr
FY21 €93.7M
FY22 €108M
FY23 €72.7M
FY24 €65.8M
FY25 €131M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sipef NV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIP

Peer Group

Farm Products · 291 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 79 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +73% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 34% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.09× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.92× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 7.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 26
FUTURE 100 · sector 21
PAST 53 · sector 17
HEALTH 97 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sipef NV (SIP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €157.62 versus a price of €91.00, about +73% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SIP?
Our model-based fair value for Sipef NV is €157.62 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €91.00.
What is the quality score of SIP?
Sipef NV has a Quality Score of 79/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sipef NV (SIP)?
Sipef NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €570M (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SIP?
The net profit margin of Sipef NV is about 22.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sipef NV pay a dividend?
Sipef NV currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.42% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 6, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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