Sitime Corporation (SITM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sitime Corporation stock $26.93, price $447, that is 94.0% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $73.30 – $901.48 · fair‑value band $14.87 – $36.99 · the $447.06 price screens above the $26.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 31, 2026.
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SiTime Corporation engages in the design, development, and sale of silicon timing systems solutions in Hong Kong, Taiwan, the United States, Singapore, and internationally.
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It offers various types of oscillators, as well as clock integrated circuits, resonators, and synchronization software for use in artificial intelligence systems, data center, communications, enterprise, automotive, industrial, aerospace, defense, mobile, Internet of Things, and consumer markets.
The company was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Santa Clara, California.
Stock analysis
Sitime Corporation (SITM) currently trades at $447.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $26.93, 94.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $31.68 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the $447.06 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $15.65, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $14.87 (bear) to $36.99 (bull), the price of $447.06 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Sitime Corporation reported revenue of $327M in FY2025 versus $219M in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$42.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $15.3B Large · P/E ratio 798.3 · P/S ratio 32.6 · EPS (TTM) $0.5600 · Net margin 3.0% · Return on equity 1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.4% · Operating margin 10.6%.
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −94%, SITM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$14.87Fair Value $26.93Bull$36.99
Price $447.06 · Downside -94.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4695 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF$22.21$31.68$59.6776
Growth DCF$20.84$34.68$56.3674
5Y Revenue Exit$15.49$24.60$43.5268
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$22.21$31.68$59.6776
5Y Revenue Exit$15.49$24.60$43.5268
10Y Revenue Exit$17.49$33.26$42.0364
Multiples
EV/Revenue$11.07$15.65$20.2251
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$17.86$27.07$33.8352
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$20.84$34.68$56.3674
Rev-Margin DCF$16.41$28.07$51.4967
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+61.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−7.4% (2020) → −18.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+74.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +70.6% a year for the price.
AI conclusion: The completed integration of Renesas timing products expands the portfolio with hundreds of new offerings and exposure to AI datacenter and automotive segments, yet supply chain constraints may slow revenue growth.
Main risk: Supply chain constraints in the acquired Renesas business could slow the expected revenue ramp from the expanded product range.
SiTime has completed the integration of Renesas' timing products division, adding hundreds of products and exposure to new AI datacenter and automotive segments. This expansion comes alongside supply chain constraints in the acquired business that could slow the expected revenue ramp. Our models currently see the stock as overvalued. Will the added scale accelerate growth in precision timing or create integration hurdles that outweigh the gains?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 367 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−94.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.3% · Below median
Return on assets−3.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)3.0% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)10.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)126.5% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)798.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B13.19× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)32.60× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow434.3× · Priciest 25%
PEG3.82× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)5· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 18
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sitime Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SITM
Frequently asked questions
Is Sitime Corporation (SITM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $26.93 versus a price of $447.06, about 94% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SITM?
Our model-based fair value for Sitime Corporation is $26.93 (as of Oct 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $447.06.
What is the quality score of SITM?
Sitime Corporation has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sitime Corporation (SITM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $26.93 (as of Oct 31, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $14.87, optimistic scenario $36.99. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sitime Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $26.93, about 94% lower versus a price of $447.06 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $14.87, optimistic scenario $36.99. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sitime Corporation (SITM)?
Sitime Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $468M (latest available figure, as of Oct 31, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sitime Corporation (SITM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sitime Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +74.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +23.0 % per year. As of Oct 31, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SITM use?
Our models discount Sitime Corporation at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 2.89, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sitime Corporation that is +74.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sitime Corporation (SITM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sitime Corporation grew +23.0 % a year. The price currently implies +74.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sitime Corporation (SITM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sitime Corporation (+74.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sitime Corporation (SITM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.29 %: that much free cash flow Sitime Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sitime Corporation (SITM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sitime Corporation it is $26.93 per share (as of Oct 31, 2026), against a price of $447.06. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sitime Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 31, 2026, SITM trades above its calculated fair value: price $447.06, fair value $26.93, a gap of about −94% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SITM?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($447.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($26.93). For Sitime Corporation the two are $420.13 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sitime Corporation worth?
The market values Sitime Corporation at about $15.3B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 31, 2026). Per share that is $447.06; our models calculate a fair value of $26.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SITM?
Our models span a range for Sitime Corporation: cautious scenario $14.87, base $26.93, optimistic $36.99 per share (as of Oct 31, 2026, price $447.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of SITM?
The PEG ratio of Sitime Corporation is 3.82 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 31, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sitime Corporation (SITM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sitime Corporation (as of Oct 31, 2026): return on equity 1.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SITM from its 52-week high?
Sitime Corporation trades at $447.06, about 50% below its 52-week high of $901.48 and 77% above the low of $252.76 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $26.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sitime Corporation?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sitime Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 31, 2026: price $447.06, calculated fair value $26.93 (−94%), Quality Score 35/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SITM calculated?
We run Sitime Corporation through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $26.93, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Sitime Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sitime Corporation (SITM)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was $447.06. Our model-based fair value is $26.93, about 94% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sitime Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($36.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($14.87 to $36.99) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Sitime Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Sitime Corporation (SITM)?
The market capitalisation of Sitime Corporation is $15.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Sitime Corporation (SITM)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Sitime Corporation is 798.3. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Sitime Corporation (SITM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sitime Corporation is 32.6 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sitime Corporation (SITM)?
Earnings per share at Sitime Corporation are $0.5600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 798.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sitime Corporation (SITM)?
The net margin of Sitime Corporation is 3.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sitime Corporation (SITM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sitime Corporation is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sitime Corporation (SITM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sitime Corporation is −4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sitime Corporation (SITM)?
The operating margin of Sitime Corporation is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sitime Corporation (SITM)?
Revenue at Sitime Corporation is growing +127% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sitime Corporation (SITM)?
Earnings per share at Sitime Corporation are growing −60.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Sitime Corporation (SITM) hold?
Sitime Corporation holds more cash than debt, $12.0M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 31, 2026