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Skolon AB (SKOLON) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Skolon AB SEK 4.07, price SEK 21.00, upside -80.6%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · SE · ISIN SE0017615784

SA Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Skolon AB

SKOLON · ST

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value kr 4.07 · Strongly overvalued (−81%)
!Quality 49/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +47.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.5% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 11/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 46.60 kr 14.34 Fair Value kr 4.07 May 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

52‑month range kr 14.34 – kr 46.60 · fair‑value band kr 2.82 – kr 6.29 · the kr 21.00 price screens above the kr 4.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Skolon AB (publ), a Software as a Service (SaaS) company, develops a digital platform for schools. The company provides a digital gathering place for digital school tools and learning resources for both teachers and students in one place. Its primary customers are municipal and private schools in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, and the Great Britain.

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Skolon AB (publ), a Software as a Service (SaaS) company, develops a digital platform for schools. The company provides a digital gathering place for digital school tools and learning resources for both teachers and students in one place. Its primary customers are municipal and private schools in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, and the Great Britain. Skolon AB (publ) was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Karlshamn, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Skolon AB (SKOLON) currently trades at kr 21.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 4.07, implying the stock looks roughly 416.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of kr 6.20 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the kr 21.00 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at kr 3.01, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: kr 2.82 (bear) to kr 6.29 (bull), the price of kr 21.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Skolon AB reported revenue of 200M SEK in FY2025 versus 36.6M SEK in FY2021, a compound +52.8%/yr. Reported net income was −5.9M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 557M SEK (≈ $56.2M) · P/S ratio 2.66 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.2000 · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin −3.0% · Return on equity −71.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −12.5% · Operating margin −4.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at −81%, SKOLON screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (kr 0.1900 to kr 6.53). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear kr 2.82 Fair Value kr 4.07 Bull kr 6.29
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 2.85 kr 3.58 kr 5.69 76
Growth DCF kr 2.74 kr 3.77 kr 5.40 73
5Y Revenue Exit kr 2.64 kr 3.72 kr 5.97 67
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 2.85 kr 3.58 kr 5.69 76
5Y Revenue Exit kr 2.64 kr 3.72 kr 5.97 67
10Y Revenue Exit kr 2.67 kr 4.35 kr 5.35 63
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 3.90 kr 6.53 kr 8.48 66
DDM Multi-Stage kr 3.90 kr 6.20 kr 7.03 65
Multiples
EV/Revenue kr 2.42 kr 3.01 kr 3.60 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.1400 kr 0.1900 kr 0.2800 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 2.74 kr 3.77 kr 5.40 73
Rev-Margin DCF kr 2.80 kr 4.10 kr 6.83 66

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+37.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+53.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+47.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−34.7% (2020) → −2.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+51.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +48.4% a year for the price.

SKOLON screens 416% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 721 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 18% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 7.44× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 13.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)92 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)52 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €184.18 €159.06 −14%
Shopify Inc SHOP $142.34 $64.36 −55%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $69.89 $104.82 +50%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $233.28 $344.41 +48%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $140.78 $154.86 +10%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $309.09 $225.14 −27%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $334.81 $75.08 −78%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $251.49 $32.92 −87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $238.25 $454.04 +91%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $263.68 $177.51 −33%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Skolon AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SKOLON

Frequently asked questions

Is Skolon AB (SKOLON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 4.07 versus a price of kr 21.00, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SKOLON?
Our model-based fair value for Skolon AB is kr 4.07 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 21.00.
What is the quality score of SKOLON?
Skolon AB has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Skolon AB (SKOLON)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 4.07 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 2.82, optimistic scenario kr 6.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Skolon AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 4.07, about −81% upside versus a price of kr 21.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 2.82, optimistic scenario kr 6.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Skolon AB (SKOLON)?
Skolon AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 216M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Skolon AB pay a dividend?
Skolon AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.59% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Skolon AB (SKOLON)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Skolon AB would have to grow free cash flow by +51.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +47.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SKOLON use?
Our models discount Skolon AB at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.12, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Skolon AB that is +51.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Skolon AB (SKOLON) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Skolon AB grew +47.9 % a year. The price currently implies +51.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Skolon AB (SKOLON) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Skolon AB (+51.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Skolon AB (SKOLON)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.72 %: that much free cash flow Skolon AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Skolon AB (SKOLON)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Skolon AB it is kr 4.07 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 21.00. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Skolon AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SKOLON trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 21.00, fair value kr 4.07, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SKOLON?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 21.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 4.07). For Skolon AB the two are kr 16.93 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Skolon AB worth?
The market values Skolon AB at about 557M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 21.00; our models calculate a fair value of kr 4.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SKOLON?
Our models span a range for Skolon AB: cautious scenario kr 2.82, base kr 4.07, optimistic kr 6.29 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 21.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Skolon AB (SKOLON)?
Balance-sheet figures for Skolon AB (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −71.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SKOLON from its 52-week high?
Skolon AB trades at kr 21.00, about 39% below its 52-week high of kr 34.20 and 29% above the low of kr 16.30 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 4.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Skolon AB?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Skolon AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 21.00, calculated fair value kr 4.07 (−81%), Quality Score 49/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SKOLON calculated?
We run Skolon AB through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 4.07, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Skolon AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Skolon AB (SKOLON)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 21.00. Our model-based fair value is kr 4.07, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Skolon AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 6.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (kr 2.82 to kr 6.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Skolon AB

How large is the market capitalisation of Skolon AB (SKOLON)?
The market capitalisation of Skolon AB is 557M SEK (≈ $56.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Skolon AB (SKOLON)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Skolon AB is 2.66 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Skolon AB (SKOLON)?
Earnings per share at Skolon AB are kr −0.2000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Skolon AB (SKOLON)?
The dividend yield of Skolon AB is 2.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Skolon AB (SKOLON)?
The net margin of Skolon AB is −3.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Skolon AB (SKOLON)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Skolon AB is −71.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Skolon AB (SKOLON)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Skolon AB is −12.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Skolon AB (SKOLON)?
The operating margin of Skolon AB is −4.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Skolon AB (SKOLON)?
Revenue at Skolon AB is growing +18.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +53.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Skolon AB (SKOLON)?
Earnings per share at Skolon AB are growing −26.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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