SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited $0.33, price $0.38, upside -13.2%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.3112 – $2.37 · fair‑value band $0.2500 – $0.4000 · the $0.3800 price screens above the $0.3300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow SkyCity Entertainment Group in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether SkyCity Entertainment Group is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the gaming, entertainment, hotel, convention, hospitality, and tourism sectors in New Zealand and Australia. It operates through Skycity Auckland, SkyCity Adelaide, Other NZ Operations, and Online segments.
Show more
SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the gaming, entertainment, hotel, convention, hospitality, and tourism sectors in New Zealand and Australia. It operates through Skycity Auckland, SkyCity Adelaide, Other NZ Operations, and Online segments. The company operates casinos, hotels, conventions, food and beverage, attractions, located in Auckland, Hamilton, Queenstown, and Adelaide. It also operates SkyCity Online Casino, an offshore online casino platform for New Zealand customers. SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Auckland, New Zealand.
Stock analysis
SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF) currently trades at $0.3800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3300, 13.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $0.4500 per share, and 6 of the 14 models we run sit above the $0.3800 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.1100, and 8 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.2500 (bear) to $0.4000 (bull), the price of $0.3800 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited reported revenue of 825M NZD in FY2025 versus 713M NZD in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was 29.2M NZD in FY2025, compounding −34.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $343M · P/E ratio 19.0 · P/S ratio 0.67 · EPS (TTM) $0.0200 · Net margin 3.5% · Return on equity 2.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.1% · Operating margin 5.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at −13%, SKYZF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.2500Fair Value $0.3300Bull $0.4000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0200 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.0% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−29.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−29.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−29.0% vs −16.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Resorts & Casinos · 67 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−54.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2.4% · Below median
Return on assets1.8% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)5.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)24.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.50× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)19.0× · Pricier than median
P/B0.46× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.75× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA7.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG0.14× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)10· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)75· sector 76
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 61
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SKYZF
Frequently asked questions
Is SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3300 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.3800, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SKYZF?
Our model-based fair value for SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited is $0.3300 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.3800.
What is the quality score of SKYZF?
SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.3300 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2500, optimistic scenario $0.4000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.3300, about −13% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.3800 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2500, optimistic scenario $0.4000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF)?
SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 814M NZD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited it is $0.3300 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.3800. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SKYZF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.3800, fair value $0.3300, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SKYZF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.3800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.3300). For SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited the two are $0.0500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited worth?
The market values SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited at about $343M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.3800; our models calculate a fair value of $0.3300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SKYZF?
Our models span a range for SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited: cautious scenario $0.2500, base $0.3300, optimistic $0.4000 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.3800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SKYZF?
SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.3300 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.1, P/B 0.5, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 7.6.
What is the PEG ratio of SKYZF?
The PEG ratio of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited is 0.14 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF)?
Balance-sheet figures for SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.4%, debt of 0.50 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SKYZF from its 52-week high?
SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited trades at $0.3800, about 30% below its 52-week high of $0.5405 and 22% above the low of $0.3112 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.3300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Las Vegas Sands Corp, Galaxy Entertainment Group, Sands China Ltd, Wynn Resorts, Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.3800, calculated fair value $0.3300 (−13%), Quality Score 45/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SKYZF calculated?
We run SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.3300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.3800. Our model-based fair value is $0.3300, about −13% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF)?
The market capitalisation of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited is $343M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited is 0.67 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF)?
Earnings per share at SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited are $0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF)?
The net margin of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited is 3.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited is 2.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited is 8.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF)?
The operating margin of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited is 5.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF)?
Revenue at SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited is growing −2.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF)?
Earnings per share at SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited are growing +55.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF) generate?
The free cash flow of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited is −116M NZD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited (SKYZF) carry?
The net debt of SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited is 758M NZD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited in the live analysis
One click puts SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026