PT Satyamitra Kemas Lestari Tbk (SMKL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 475B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +12.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 39% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (154.85 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 109.00 IDR – 506.22 IDR · fair‑value band 154.85 IDR – 258.09 IDR · the 149.00 IDR price screens below the 206.47 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
PT Satyamitra Kemas Lestari Tbk (SMKL) currently trades at 149.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 206.47 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 38.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Satyamitra Kemas Lestari Tbk generated revenue of 1.8T IDR at a net margin of 2.0%. Revenue declined 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. Net debt stands at 1.1T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 154.85 IDR (bear case) to 258.09 IDR (bull case); at 149.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 39%, SMKL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (206.47 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (40.42 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when SMKL reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Satyamitra Kemas Lestari Tbk operates as an integrated carton packaging and logistics solutions company in Indonesia. It offers corrugated carton, pre-print corrugated, offset printing, and rigid boxes. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Tangerang, Indonesia.
Full company description
PT Satyamitra Kemas Lestari Tbk operates as an integrated carton packaging and logistics solutions company in Indonesia. It offers corrugated carton, pre-print corrugated, offset printing, and rigid boxes. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Tangerang, Indonesia. PT Satyamitra Kemas Lestari Tbk operates as a subsidiary of Pt Satyamitra Investindo Pratama.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Satyamitra Kemas Lestari Tbk reported revenue of 1.9T IDR in FY2025 versus 2.1T IDR in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was 41.5B IDR in FY2025, compounding −21.0%/yr from FY2021.
Watch SMKL: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 101.90 | kr 126.39 | +24% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥29.10 | ¥20.88 | -28% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 29.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -44% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 2,850 TWD | 661.69 TWD | -77% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,194 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 132.50 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -4% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹206.82 | ₹161.42 | -22% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹222.25 | ₹111.65 | -50% |
| Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 | 15.15 TWD | 23.17 TWD | +53% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 19,330 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +63% |
Compare PT Satyamitra Kemas Lestari Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is PT Satyamitra Kemas Lestari Tbk (SMKL) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of SMKL?
What is the quality score of SMKL?
What is the revenue of PT Satyamitra Kemas Lestari Tbk (SMKL)?
What is the net profit margin of SMKL?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track PT Satyamitra Kemas Lestari Tbk and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.