SML Mahindra Ltd. (SMLMAH) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹57.3B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹2,120 to ₹2,066 (−2.5%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price +30.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 61% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹2,630). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹1,041 to ₹2,630) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹431.55 – ₹5,918 · fair‑value band ₹1,041 – ₹2,630 · the ₹5,321 price screens above the ₹2,066 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
SML Mahindra Ltd. (SMLMAH) currently trades at ₹5,321, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹2,066, implying the stock looks roughly 61.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, SML Mahindra Ltd. generated revenue of ₹28.4B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue grew 16.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 35.4%. Net debt stands at ₹2.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹1,041 (bear case) to ₹2,630 (bull case); at ₹5,321, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 111% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -61%, SMLMAH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹2,382) versus Asset-Based (₹240.44). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
SML Mahindra Limited manufactures and sells commercial vehicles and related parts in India and internationally. The company's products include trucks and buses. It provides special application, cargo, and passenger vehicles. It offers its products through distributors and dealers.
Full company description
SML Mahindra Limited manufactures and sells commercial vehicles and related parts in India and internationally. The company's products include trucks and buses. It provides special application, cargo, and passenger vehicles. It offers its products through distributors and dealers. The company was formerly known as SML Isuzu Limited and changed its name to SML Mahindra Limited in October 2025. SML Mahindra Limited was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Mohali, India. As of August 1, 2025, SML Isuzu Limited operates as a subsidiary of Mahindra & Mahindra Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
SML Mahindra Ltd. reported revenue of ₹28.3B in FY2026 versus ₹9.1B in FY2022, a compound +32.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.6B in FY2026.
of which total revenue +8.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
SMLMAH screens 61% overvalued. Compare with Toyota Motor Corporation →
Peer Group
Auto Manufacturers · 120 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $188.22 | $247.83 | +32% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$76.90 | HK$48.59 | -37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 418,500 KRW | 567,393 KRW | +36% |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N | 1,909 MXN | 2,610 MXN | +37% |
| Volkswagen AG VOW | 2,149 CZK | 7,783 CZK | +262% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹13,875 | ₹8,236 | -41% |
| Kia Corporation 000270 | 135,600 KRW | 341,751 KRW | +152% |
| Weichai Power Co 2338 | HK$36.40 | HK$28.46 | -22% |
| Geely Automobile Holdings 80175 | HK$15.50 | HK$19.14 | +23% |
| Bajaj Auto Limited BAJAJAUTO | ₹11,700 | ₹4,574 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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