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SenesTech Inc (SNES) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of SenesTech Inc $1.28, price $0.78, upside +63.9%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · US · ISIN US81720R2085

SI SenesTech Inc logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

SenesTech Inc

SNES · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $1.28 · Strongly undervalued (+64%)
!Quality 35/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +53.8 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/8)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$4,320 $0.7810 Fair Value $1.28 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.7810 – $4,320 · fair‑value band $0.8400 – $1.60 · the $0.7810 price screens below the $1.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

SenesTech, Inc. engages in the development and commercialization of a technology for managing animal pest populations through fertility control.

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SenesTech, Inc. engages in the development and commercialization of a technology for managing animal pest populations through fertility control. The company offers ContraPest, a liquid bait containing the active ingredients 4-vinylcyclohexene diepoxide and triptolide; and Evolve, a soft bait containing the active ingredient, cottonseed oil that limits the reproduction of male and female rats beginning with the first breeding cycles following consumption. It also develops Evolve Mouse, a modified version of its bait technology containing the active ingredient cottonseed oil that limits reproduction of male and female mice. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Surprise, Arizona.

Stock analysis

SenesTech Inc (SNES) currently trades at $0.7810, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.28, implying the stock looks roughly 39.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.8400 (bear) to $1.60 (bull), the price of $0.7810 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

SenesTech Inc reported revenue of $2.2M in FY2025 versus $576K in FY2021, a compound +40.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $4.1M · P/S ratio 2.92 · EPS (TTM) $−0.6100 · Net margin −295% · Return on equity −107% · Return on assets (EBIT) −114% · Operating margin −242% · Revenue (TTM) $2.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at 64%, SNES screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.8400 Fair Value $1.28 Bull $1.60
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.9000 $1.21 $1.80 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9000 $1.21 $1.80 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 76
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 26
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+53.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +24.9% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3,074.8% (2020) → −292.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 707 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +64% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −46% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 23% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.43× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.75× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 28

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $464.91 $441.28 −5%
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $328.35 $148.97 −55%
Ecolab Inc ECL $276.22 $96.18 −65%
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $287.86 $122.14 −58%
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,464 CHF 1,523 −56%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.66 ¥68.03 −4%
Sika AG SIKA CHF 188.90 CHF 98.89 −48%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,449 ₹1,479 −40%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $107.77 $77.06 −28%
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR CHF 91.50 CHF 29.27 −68%

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SenesTech Inc · Fair Value
$1.28 +39%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SenesTech Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SNES

Frequently asked questions

Is SenesTech Inc (SNES) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.28 versus a price of $0.7810, about +64% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SNES?
Our model-based fair value for SenesTech Inc is $1.28 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.7810.
What is the quality score of SNES?
SenesTech Inc has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SenesTech Inc (SNES)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.28 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.8400, optimistic scenario $1.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SenesTech Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.28, about +64% upside versus a price of $0.7810 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.8400, optimistic scenario $1.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SenesTech Inc (SNES)?
SenesTech Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SenesTech Inc (SNES)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SenesTech Inc it is $1.28 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.7810. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SenesTech Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SNES trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.7810, fair value $1.28, a gap of about +64% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SNES?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.7810); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.28). For SenesTech Inc the two are $0.4990 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SenesTech Inc worth?
The market values SenesTech Inc at about $4.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.7810; our models calculate a fair value of $1.28 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SNES?
Our models span a range for SenesTech Inc: cautious scenario $0.8400, base $1.28, optimistic $1.60 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $0.7810). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SenesTech Inc (SNES)?
Balance-sheet figures for SenesTech Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −107.4%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to SenesTech Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SenesTech Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.7810, calculated fair value $1.28 (+64%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SNES calculated?
We run SenesTech Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.28, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. SenesTech Inc currently trades 64 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SenesTech Inc (SNES)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was $0.7810. Our model-based fair value is $1.28, about +64% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SenesTech Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.8400). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.8400 to $1.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of SenesTech Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of SenesTech Inc (SNES)?
The market capitalisation of SenesTech Inc is $4.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SenesTech Inc (SNES)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SenesTech Inc is 2.92 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SenesTech Inc (SNES)?
Earnings per share at SenesTech Inc are $−0.6100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SenesTech Inc (SNES)?
The net margin of SenesTech Inc is −295% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SenesTech Inc (SNES)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SenesTech Inc is −107% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SenesTech Inc (SNES)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SenesTech Inc is −114% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SenesTech Inc (SNES)?
The operating margin of SenesTech Inc is −242% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SenesTech Inc (SNES)?
Revenue at SenesTech Inc is growing +23.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +29.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does SenesTech Inc (SNES) generate?
The free cash flow of SenesTech Inc is −$5.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does SenesTech Inc (SNES) hold?
SenesTech Inc holds more cash than debt, $4.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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