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Senior PLC (SNR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Senior PLC £1.21, price £2.97, upside -59.2%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · GB · ISIN GB0007958233

SP Some data Sep 23, 2026

Senior PLC

SNR · LSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value £1.21 · Strongly overvalued (−59%)
!Quality 63/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −2.5 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -0.6% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 4.0%
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·0.84% dividend yield
!Trails peers (2/14)
!Narrow moat 28/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 13 out of 100
!Weak on past: 26 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

£3.09 £1.05 Fair Value £1.21 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £1.05 – £3.09 · fair‑value band £0.9000 – £1.57 · the £2.97 price screens above the £1.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Senior plc designs, manufactures, and sells high-technology components and systems for the original equipment manufacturers in the aerospace, defense, land vehicle, and power and energy markets in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Aerospace and Flexonics.

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Senior plc designs, manufactures, and sells high-technology components and systems for the original equipment manufacturers in the aerospace, defense, land vehicle, and power and energy markets in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Aerospace and Flexonics. The company offers fluid conveyance and thermal management components and sub-systems for fixed-wing and rotary aircraft, aero-engines, spacecraft and a variety of other industrial applications, as well as complex precision-machined parts used for conventional and advanced land vehicle propulsion systems, petrochemical, renewable energy and various other industrial applications. Its fluid conveyance system products include high- and low-pressure ducting systems; bellows, gimbals, flexible joints and couplings; control bellows, sensors and assemblies; thermal management solutions, including metallic insulation and electronics cooling plates; and high-pressure hydraulic fittings and fuel fittings, as well as gas turbine engines comprising fluid systems ducting and control products. The company also provides land vehicle emission control and propulsion, such as exhaust gas recirculation coolers, fuel mixing and distribution components, exhaust flex connectors, flexible couplings, battery thermal management systems and cooling plates, power electronics cooling, common rails, and various fluid conveyance systems for heavy-duty vehicles. In addition, it offers industrial process control which includes engineered expansion joints, dampers and diverters; flexible hose assemblies and control bellows; fuel cell components and heat exchangers; and precision-machined components for oil and gas drilling applications. The company was formerly known as Senior Engineering Group plc and changed its name to Senior plc in 1999. Senior plc was founded in 1836 and is headquartered in Rickmansworth, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

Senior PLC (SNR) currently trades at £2.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.21, implying the stock looks roughly 145.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £1.42 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the £2.97 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at £0.2700, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: £0.9000 (bear) to £1.57 (bull), the price of £2.97 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.

Senior PLC reported revenue of £738M in FY2025 versus £659M in FY2021, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was £29.4M in FY2025, compounding +5.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.2B GBX · P/E ratio 49.3 · P/S ratio 1.96 · EPS (TTM) £0.0600 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 4.0% · Return on equity 6.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −59%, SNR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear £0.9000 Fair Value £1.21 Bull £1.57
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0256 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF £0.9800 £1.35 £1.81 81
Growth DCF £1.00 £1.34 £1.74 80
Owner Earnings £0.8800 £1.22 £1.63 77
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £0.9800 £1.35 £1.81 81
Owner Earnings £0.8800 £1.22 £1.63 77
5Y Revenue Exit £0.9300 £1.42 £2.01 72
5Y EBITDA Exit £1.29 £2.06 £2.91 75
5Y P/E Exit £0.9200 £1.40 £1.87 71
10Y Revenue Exit £0.9200 £1.33 £1.82 67
10Y EBITDA Exit £1.15 £1.72 £2.42 68
10Y P/E Exit £0.9400 £1.32 £1.73 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.4900 £1.11 £1.43 65
PEG = 1.0 £0.1900 £0.2700 £0.3500 57
EPV £0.7000 £0.8100 £0.9000 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.1900 £0.3000 £0.3900 68
DDM Multi-Stage £0.1900 £0.2700 £0.3400 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple £1.12 £1.50 £1.87 63
P/S Multiple £0.9100 £1.21 £1.52 58
P/B Multiple £0.9100 £1.21 £1.52 55
EV/EBIT £1.39 £1.89 £2.39 66
EV/EBITDA £1.76 £2.38 £3.00 67
EV/Revenue £0.9600 £1.42 £1.88 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.4600 £0.6200 £0.9200 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £1.00 £1.34 £1.74 80
Rev-Margin DCF £0.9300 £1.43 £1.97 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income £0.7200 £0.7500 £0.7700 76
ROIC Compounder £0.7000 £0.8100 £0.9000 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £0.8400 £1.21 £1.57 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 92
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.5%
Revenue growth 39 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+3.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2% vs −5%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−24% → 7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +25.9% a year for the price and +1.7% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+2.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.9%

SNR screens 145% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 228 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −59% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.33× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 49.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.27× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.20× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 50.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 22.0× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)13 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)26 · sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)84 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)17 · sector 17

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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General Electric Company GE $319.22 $92.68 −71%
RTX Corporation RTX $190.99 $88.37 −54%
Airbus SE AIR €194.60 €112.75 −42%
Safran SA SAF €332.00 €365.20 +10%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $522.34 $440.05 −16%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $225.36 $52.47 −77%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $343.39 $274.32 −20%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $509.86 $383.06 −25%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,112 $1,224 +10%
L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX $239.89 $263.88 +10%

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Senior PLC · Fair Value
£1.21 −145%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Senior PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SNR

Frequently asked questions

Is Senior PLC (SNR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.21 versus a price of £2.97, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SNR?
Our model-based fair value for Senior PLC is £1.21 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £2.97.
What is the quality score of SNR?
Senior PLC has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Senior PLC (SNR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £1.21 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.9000, optimistic scenario £1.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Senior PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £1.21, about −59% upside versus a price of £2.97 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £0.9000, optimistic scenario £1.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Senior PLC (SNR)?
Senior PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £738M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Senior PLC pay a dividend?
Senior PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.84% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Senior PLC (SNR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Senior PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +28.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SNR use?
Our models discount Senior PLC at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.06, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Senior PLC that is +28.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Senior PLC (SNR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Senior PLC grew +0.1 % a year. The price currently implies +28.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Senior PLC (SNR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Senior PLC (+28.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Senior PLC (SNR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.64 %: that much free cash flow Senior PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Senior PLC (SNR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Senior PLC it is £1.21 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £2.97. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Senior PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SNR trades above its calculated fair value: price £2.97, fair value £1.21, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SNR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£2.97); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£1.21). For Senior PLC the two are £1.76 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Senior PLC worth?
The market values Senior PLC at about 1.2B GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £2.97; our models calculate a fair value of £1.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SNR?
Our models span a range for Senior PLC: cautious scenario £0.9000, base £1.21, optimistic £1.57 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £2.97). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SNR?
Senior PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 49.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £1.21 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.3, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 22.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Senior PLC (SNR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Senior PLC (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 6.4%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SNR from its 52-week high?
Senior PLC trades at £2.97, about 4% below its 52-week high of £3.09 and 81% above the low of £1.63 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £1.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Senior PLC?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Senior PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £2.97, calculated fair value £1.21 (−59%), Quality Score 63/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SNR calculated?
We run Senior PLC through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £1.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Senior PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Senior PLC (SNR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was £2.97. Our model-based fair value is £1.21, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Senior PLC right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£1.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Senior PLC (SNR) come from?
Earnings per share at Senior PLC grew −6.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.4 %, EBIT margin −6.6 %, tax rate +2.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Senior PLC

How large is the market capitalisation of Senior PLC (SNR)?
The market capitalisation of Senior PLC is 1.2B GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Senior PLC (SNR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Senior PLC is 1.96 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Senior PLC (SNR)?
Earnings per share at Senior PLC are £0.0600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 49.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Senior PLC (SNR)?
The dividend yield of Senior PLC is 0.8% (payout 41.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Senior PLC (SNR)?
The net margin of Senior PLC is 4.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Senior PLC (SNR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Senior PLC is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Senior PLC (SNR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Senior PLC is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Senior PLC (SNR)?
The operating margin of Senior PLC is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Senior PLC (SNR)?
Revenue at Senior PLC is growing +2.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Senior PLC (SNR)?
Earnings per share at Senior PLC are growing +33.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Senior PLC (SNR) carry?
The net debt of Senior PLC is 117M GBX (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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