Senior plc (SNR) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · GB · Market cap 1.2B GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from £1.20 to £1.21 (+0.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£1.67). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (£0.7500 to £1.67) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.9575 – £3.06 · fair‑value band £0.7500 – £1.67 · the £2.89 price screens above the £1.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Senior plc (SNR) currently trades at £2.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.21, implying the stock looks roughly 58.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Senior plc generated revenue of £738M at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue grew 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.4%. Net debt stands at £117M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £0.7500 (bear case) to £1.67 (bull case); at £2.89, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -58%, SNR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (£1.42) versus Dividend Discount (£0.2700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Senior plc designs, manufactures, and sells high-technology components and systems for the original equipment manufacturers in the aerospace, defense, land vehicle, and power and energy markets in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Aerospace and Flexonics.
Full company description
Senior plc designs, manufactures, and sells high-technology components and systems for the original equipment manufacturers in the aerospace, defense, land vehicle, and power and energy markets in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Aerospace and Flexonics. The company offers fluid conveyance and thermal management components and sub-systems for fixed-wing and rotary aircraft, aero-engines, spacecraft and a variety of other industrial applications, as well as complex precision-machined parts used for conventional and advanced land vehicle propulsion systems, petrochemical, renewable energy and various other industrial applications. Its fluid conveyance system products include high- and low-pressure ducting systems; bellows, gimbals, flexible joints and couplings; control bellows, sensors and assemblies; thermal management solutions, including metallic insulation and electronics cooling plates; and high-pressure hydraulic fittings and fuel fittings, as well as gas turbine engines comprising fluid systems ducting and control products. The company also provides land vehicle emission control and propulsion, such as exhaust gas recirculation coolers, fuel mixing and distribution components, exhaust flex connectors, flexible couplings, battery thermal management systems and cooling plates, power electronics cooling, common rails, and various fluid conveyance systems for heavy-duty vehicles. In addition, it offers industrial process control which includes engineered expansion joints, dampers and diverters; flexible hose assemblies and control bellows; fuel cell components and heat exchangers; and precision-machined components for oil and gas drilling applications. The company was formerly known as Senior Engineering Group plc and changed its name to Senior plc in 1999. Senior plc was founded in 1836 and is headquartered in Rickmansworth, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Senior plc reported revenue of £738M in FY2025 versus £659M in FY2021, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was £29.4M in FY2025, compounding +5.0%/yr from FY2021.
SNR screens 58% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →
Peer Group
Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $381.22 | $116.71 | -69% |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $195.93 | $88.37 | -55% |
| Airbus SE 1AIR | €213.25 | €86.20 | -60% |
| The Boeing Company BA | $217.11 | $48.20 | -78% |
| China CSSC Holdings 600150 | ¥34.31 | ¥21.90 | -36% |
| HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 | 466,000 KRW | 272,966 KRW | -41% |
| Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 | 967,000 KRW | 573,468 KRW | -41% |
| ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS | 337.50 TRY | 130.70 TRY | -61% |
| Saab AB SAABB | kr 520.40 | kr 212.84 | -59% |
| Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG | kr 277.50 | kr 106.93 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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