SenseTime Group Inc. (SNTMF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of SenseTime Group Inc. $0.02, price $0.20, upside -90.0%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
44‑month range $0.0500 – $0.8500 · fair‑value band $0.0200 – $0.0300 · the $0.2000 price screens above the $0.0200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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SenseTime Group Inc., an investment holding company, research, develops and sells artificial intelligence software platforms in Mainland China, Northeast Asia, Southeast Asia, and internationally.
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SenseTime Group Inc., an investment holding company, research, develops and sells artificial intelligence software platforms in Mainland China, Northeast Asia, Southeast Asia, and internationally. The company offers SenseFoundry Enterprise Platform that facilitate and accelerate the digital transformation of enterprise customers; SenseFoundry Platform for smart city management; SenseME that enables a range of IoT devices to facilitate perceptial intelligence and content enhancement; SenseMARS, a software platform that serves as the key enabling technology platform for the Metaverse; SenseCare Smart Health Platform, a diagnostic and treatment assistance solution; Sensetime Education that builds a leading AI education system; SenseMart, an AI-powered smart vending cooler end-to-end solution provider; and SenseAuto Platform, an automotive application platform; and SenseNova products and services. It also offers artificial intelligence data center services; software development services; information transportation; and software and information services; and sells software-embedded hardware and related services. In addition, the company is involved in private equity investments; and the development of computer vision technology, as well as research and development of AI technology. Further, it develops and sells software products, AI sensor technology, and system integration technology; and sells hardware products. SenseTime Group Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
SenseTime Group Inc. (SNTMF) currently trades at $0.2000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0200, 90.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.0200 (bear) to $0.0300 (bull), the price of $0.2000 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
SenseTime Group Inc. reported revenue of 5.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −1.8B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $8.1B · P/S ratio 1.49 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0100 · Net margin −35.2% · Return on equity −7.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.9% · Operating margin −52.4% · Revenue (TTM) 5.0B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −90%, SNTMF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0200Fair Value $0.0200Bull $0.0300
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.24/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+32.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
’19
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’21
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’23
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’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−52.1% (2020) → −61.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 636 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−84.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−6.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−35.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−52.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth30.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.14× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.30× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.61× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 44
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)93· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SenseTime Group Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SNTMF
Frequently asked questions
Is SenseTime Group Inc. (SNTMF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0200 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.2000, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SNTMF?
Our model-based fair value for SenseTime Group Inc. is $0.0200 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.2000.
What is the quality score of SNTMF?
SenseTime Group Inc. has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SenseTime Group Inc. (SNTMF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0200 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0200, optimistic scenario $0.0300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SenseTime Group Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0200, about −90% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.2000 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0200, optimistic scenario $0.0300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SenseTime Group Inc. (SNTMF)?
SenseTime Group Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SenseTime Group Inc. (SNTMF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SenseTime Group Inc. it is $0.0200 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $0.2000. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SenseTime Group Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, SNTMF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.2000, fair value $0.0200, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SNTMF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0200). For SenseTime Group Inc. the two are $0.1800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SenseTime Group Inc. worth?
The market values SenseTime Group Inc. at about $8.1B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $0.2000; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SNTMF?
Our models span a range for SenseTime Group Inc.: cautious scenario $0.0200, base $0.0200, optimistic $0.0300 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $0.2000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SenseTime Group Inc. (SNTMF)?
Balance-sheet figures for SenseTime Group Inc. (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −7.0%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SNTMF from its 52-week high?
SenseTime Group Inc. trades at $0.2000, about 60% below its 52-week high of $0.5000 and 12% above the low of $0.1790 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SenseTime Group Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SenseTime Group Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $0.2000, calculated fair value $0.0200 (−90%), Quality Score 33/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SNTMF calculated?
We run SenseTime Group Inc. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SenseTime Group Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SenseTime Group Inc. (SNTMF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.2000. Our model-based fair value is $0.0200, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SenseTime Group Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0300). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of SenseTime Group Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of SenseTime Group Inc. (SNTMF)?
The market capitalisation of SenseTime Group Inc. is $8.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SenseTime Group Inc. (SNTMF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SenseTime Group Inc. is 1.49 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SenseTime Group Inc. (SNTMF)?
Earnings per share at SenseTime Group Inc. are $−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SenseTime Group Inc. (SNTMF)?
The net margin of SenseTime Group Inc. is −35.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SenseTime Group Inc. (SNTMF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SenseTime Group Inc. is −7.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SenseTime Group Inc. (SNTMF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SenseTime Group Inc. is −9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SenseTime Group Inc. (SNTMF)?
The operating margin of SenseTime Group Inc. is −52.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SenseTime Group Inc. (SNTMF)?
Revenue at SenseTime Group Inc. is growing +30.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does SenseTime Group Inc. (SNTMF) generate?
The free cash flow of SenseTime Group Inc. is −3.8B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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Thin data
Oct 3, 2026