Smiths News plc (SNWS) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · GB · Market cap 165M GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price +5.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 190% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (£1.51). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.1775 – £0.7010 · fair‑value band £1.51 – £2.62 · the £0.6800 price screens below the £1.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Smiths News plc (SNWS) currently trades at £0.6800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.97, implying the stock looks roughly 189.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Smiths News plc generated revenue of £1.0B at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue declined 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 91.3%. Net debt stands at £24.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £1.51 (bear case) to £2.62 (bull case); at £0.6800, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 190%, SNWS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (£2.25) versus Asset-Based (£0.0300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Smiths News plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distributing of newspapers and magazines in the United Kingdom and internationally. The company offers plastic and cardboard waste; and is involved in recycling activities. It also supplies printed and digital media content airlines and travel points.
Full company description
Smiths News plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distributing of newspapers and magazines in the United Kingdom and internationally. The company offers plastic and cardboard waste; and is involved in recycling activities. It also supplies printed and digital media content airlines and travel points. In addition, the company offers field-based merchandising, supply chain auditing, and compliance solutions. Further, it provides logistics and warehouse solutions, final mile delivery, storage, smiths news marketplace, field sales, customer services, print media, and recycling collections services. The company was formerly known as Connect Group PLC and changed its name to Smiths News plc in November 2020. Smiths News plc was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Swindon, United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Smiths News plc reported revenue of £1.1B in FY2025 versus £1.1B in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was £28.3M in FY2025, compounding +1.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −5.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch SNWS: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Publishing · 111 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times Company NYT | $76.71 | $41.95 | -45% |
| Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation 601928 | ¥9.20 | ¥10.07 | +9% |
| China Science Publishing & Media Ltd 601858 | ¥26.32 | ¥10.31 | -61% |
| People.cn CO., LTD 603000 | ¥17.10 | ¥4.23 | -75% |
| China South Publishing & Media Group 601098 | ¥10.43 | ¥14.66 | +41% |
| John Wiley & Sons, Inc WLY | $49.51 | $57.01 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Publishing & Media Co 601921 | ¥7.15 | ¥7.54 | +5% |
| Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co 601811 | ¥11.87 | ¥21.61 | +82% |
| Shandong Publishing&Media Co 601019 | ¥6.98 | ¥11.60 | +66% |
| Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co 002181 | ¥7.61 | ¥1.35 | -82% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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