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Socovesa S.A (SOCOVESA) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · CL · Market cap 139B CLP (≈ $153M) · ISIN CL0000002544

What is Socovesa S.A really worth?

SS Socovesa S.A SOCOVESA · SN
Price162.00 CLP
Fair Value140.31 CLP
Upside−13.4%
Quality47/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 15% above our fair value of 140.31 CLP.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/10)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.4% net margin
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 15 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range 112.66 CLP – 164.53 CLP

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Share price +17.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

228.43 CLP 54.88 CLP Fair Value 140.31 CLP Dec 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 54.88 CLP – 228.43 CLP · fair‑value band 112.66 CLP – 164.53 CLP · the 162.00 CLP price screens above the 140.31 CLP fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Socovesa S.A (SOCOVESA) currently trades at 162.00 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 140.31 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 15.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 744.97 CLP per share, and 11 of the 13 models we run sit above the 162.00 CLP price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 139.37 CLP, and 2 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Socovesa S.A generated revenue of 302B CLP at a net margin of −2.4%. Revenue declined 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −2.5%. Net debt stands at 519B CLP. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 112.66 CLP (bear case) to 164.53 CLP (bull case); at 162.00 CLP, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 142% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −13%, SOCOVESA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence 986.20 CLP 1,360 CLP 2,098 CLP 80
Growth DCF 1,030 CLP 1,396 CLP 2,057 CLP 78
5Y EBITDA Exit 448.96 CLP 548.35 CLP 686.85 CLP 77
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence 986.20 CLP 1,360 CLP 2,098 CLP 80
5Y Revenue Exit 441.47 CLP 535.57 CLP 676.76 CLP 74
5Y EBITDA Exit 448.96 CLP 548.35 CLP 686.85 CLP 77
10Y Revenue Exit 639.75 CLP 744.97 CLP 848.61 CLP 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 649.03 CLP 753.23 CLP 854.95 CLP 70
Earnings-Based
EPV 111.97 CLP 139.37 CLP 163.34 CLP 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT 206.49 CLP 292.79 CLP 379.09 CLP 65
EV/EBITDA 148.61 CLP 215.61 CLP 282.61 CLP 67
EV/Revenue 122.11 CLP 196.90 CLP 271.69 CLP 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 134.97 CLP 180.86 CLP 269.95 CLP 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1,030 CLP 1,396 CLP 2,057 CLP 78
Rev-Margin DCF 441.47 CLP 559.36 CLP 723.01 CLP 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 111.97 CLP 139.37 CLP 163.34 CLP 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (744.97 CLP) versus Earnings-Based (139.37 CLP). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.46 TTM
EPS (TTM) −5.93 CLP
Net margin −3.0% FY2025
Return on equity −2.5% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 2.7% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 302B CLP TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −0.8% 3y avg +9.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +3.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 128B CLP FY2025
Net debt 519B CLP FY2025 · ≈ 4.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 85
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Socovesa S.A. engages in the real estate development and construction businesses under the Almagro, Socovesa, Pilares, and Desarrollos Comerciales brands in Chile. The company constructs various projects, such as houses, buildings, bridges, roads, dams, irrigation works, tunnels, ports, airports, and earthworks. It also develops high-rise housing projects.

Full company description

Socovesa S.A. engages in the real estate development and construction businesses under the Almagro, Socovesa, Pilares, and Desarrollos Comerciales brands in Chile. The company constructs various projects, such as houses, buildings, bridges, roads, dams, irrigation works, tunnels, ports, airports, and earthworks. It also develops high-rise housing projects. Socovesa S.A. was founded in 1965 and is based in Providencia, Chile.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Socovesa S.A reported revenue of 303B CLP in FY2025 versus 329B CLP in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −9.0B CLP in FY2025.

Growth Quality 22/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
303B CLP
Latest YoY
−19.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.4%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −2.0%/yr
FY21 329B CLP
FY22 233B CLP
FY23 267B CLP
FY24 375B CLP
FY25 303B CLP
Net income
FY21 38.1B CLP
FY22 6.4B CLP
FY23 −25.3B CLP
FY24 −19.8B CLP
FY25 −9.0B CLP

SOCOVESA screens 15% overvalued. Compare with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Socovesa S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SOCOVESA

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 596 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Above median
Fair Value upside −13% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth −1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.24× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 2.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE15 · sector 48
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 9
HEALTH88 · sector 85
DIVIDEND0 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 80016 HK$109.70 HK$88.93 −19%
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$35.24 HK$72.16 +105%
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 71,700 VND 109,431 VND +53%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$46.12 HK$68.85 +49%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.20 $1.52 −81%
DLF Limited DLF ₹667.10 ₹170.24 −74%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$13.76 HK$22.92 +67%
Macrotech Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,244 ₹583.42 −53%
Sino Land Company 0083 HK$10.33 HK$6.99 −32%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 5,925 IDR 1,325 IDR −78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Socovesa S.A (SOCOVESA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 140.31 CLP versus a price of 162.00 CLP, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SOCOVESA?
Our model-based fair value for Socovesa S.A is 140.31 CLP (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 162.00 CLP.
What is the quality score of SOCOVESA?
Socovesa S.A has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Socovesa S.A (SOCOVESA)?
Socovesa S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 302B CLP (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SOCOVESA?
The net profit margin of Socovesa S.A is about −2.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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