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SonicStrategy Inc (SONIF) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $2.6M

SI SonicStrategy Inc logo SonicStrategy Inc SONIF · US
Price$0.0636
Fair Value$0.0255
Upside-59.9%
Quality27/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/7)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0294 – $0.0416 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

Share price −1.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 60% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0416). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$20.00 $0.0101 Fair Value $0.0255 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0101 – $20.00 · fair‑value band $0.0294 – $0.0416 · the $0.0636 price screens above the $0.0255 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

SonicStrategy Inc (SONIF) currently trades at $0.0636, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0255, implying the stock looks roughly 59.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $468K. Revenue declined 70.7% year over year. Net debt stands at $10.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0294 (bear case) to $0.0416 (bull case); at $0.0636, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -60%, SONIF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0200 $0.0200 $0.0400 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0200 $0.0200 $0.0400 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $468K
Revenue growth (YoY) -70.7%
Return on equity -573%
Free cash flow −$1.4M FY2025
Operating margin -259%
EPS (TTM) $-0.2700
More key figures
Net debt $10.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SonicStrategy Inc., a blockchain staking company, engages in blockchain-infrastructure and digital-asset business in Canada. The company was formerly known as Spetz Inc. and changed its name to SonicStrategy Inc. in December 2025. SonicStrategy Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SonicStrategy Inc reported revenue of $356K in FY2025 versus $218K in FY2020, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$356K
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.3%
Revenue +10.3%/yr
FY20 $218K
FY21 $0
FY23 $2.0M
FY24 $0
FY25 $356K
Net income
FY20 −$1.7M
FY21 −$12.3M
FY23 −$7.9M
FY24 −$1.5M
FY25 −$8.8M

SONIF screens 60% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SonicStrategy Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SONIF

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −60% · Below median
Return on assets -23% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth -71% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.47× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 5.65× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

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Shopify Inc SHOP C$173.23 C$20.54 -88%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $72.67 $51.11 -30%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $170.77 $182.10 +7%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $107.71 $33.12 -69%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $384.17 $80.41 -79%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $271.87 $34.04 -87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $230.61 $379.48 +65%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $241.92 $177.51 -27%
Intuit Inc INTU $291.09 $258.69 -11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SonicStrategy Inc (SONIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0255 versus a price of $0.0636, about −60% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SONIF?
Our model-based fair value for SonicStrategy Inc is $0.0255 (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0636.
What is the quality score of SONIF?
SonicStrategy Inc has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SonicStrategy Inc (SONIF)?
SonicStrategy Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $468K (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SONIF?
The net profit margin of SonicStrategy Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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