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Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (SOTS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT IDR 113, price IDR 580, upside -80.5%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · ID · ISIN ID1000147309

SM Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT

SOTS · JK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 113.32 IDR · Strongly overvalued (−80%)
!Quality 36/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -74.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/8)
!Narrow moat 7/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

5,025 IDR 108.00 IDR Fair Value 113.32 IDR Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 108.00 IDR – 5,025 IDR · fair‑value band 84.57 IDR – 169.14 IDR · the 580.00 IDR price screens above the 113.32 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Satria Mega Kencana Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate and tourism businesses in Indonesia. It operates through two segments, Hotels and Restaurants. The company's hotel portfolio includes Sotis Hotel Falatehan, Sotis Residence Pejompongan, and Sotis Villa Canggu.

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PT Satria Mega Kencana Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate and tourism businesses in Indonesia. It operates through two segments, Hotels and Restaurants. The company's hotel portfolio includes Sotis Hotel Falatehan, Sotis Residence Pejompongan, and Sotis Villa Canggu. PT Satria Mega Kencana Tbk was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (SOTS) currently trades at 580.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 113.32 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 411.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 84.57 IDR (bear) to 169.14 IDR (bull), the price of 580.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT reported revenue of 20.7B IDR in FY2025 versus 12.4B IDR in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was −15.4B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 600B IDR (≈ $33.5M) · P/S ratio 28.9 · EPS (TTM) −10.80 IDR · Net margin −74.5% · Return on equity −8.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.6% · Operating margin −47.9% · Revenue (TTM) 20.7B IDR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 88% below its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −80%, SOTS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 84.57 IDR Fair Value 113.32 IDR Bull 169.14 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 84.81 IDR 113.64 IDR 169.62 IDR 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 84.81 IDR 113.64 IDR 169.62 IDR 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.6% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−184.9% (2020) → −51.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

SOTS screens 412% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →

Compare Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 169 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −81% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −74% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −48% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.23× · Above median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 13
HEALTH (low debt)88 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $351.66 $150.61 −57%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $307.22 $268.06 −13%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $154.85 $97.57 −37%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $157.80 $49.88 −68%
H World Group HTHT $42.78 $63.51 +48%
Accor SA AC €45.22 €40.27 −11%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹743.70 ₹502.32 −32%
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH $67.86 $29.84 −56%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 140,100 KRW 28,728 KRW −79%
Choice Hotels International, Inc CHH $100.32 $73.41 −27%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SOTS

Frequently asked questions

Is Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (SOTS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 113.32 IDR versus a price of 580.00 IDR, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SOTS?
Our model-based fair value for Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT is 113.32 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 580.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of SOTS?
Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (SOTS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 113.32 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 84.57 IDR, optimistic scenario 169.14 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 113.32 IDR, about −80% upside versus a price of 580.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 84.57 IDR, optimistic scenario 169.14 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (SOTS)?
Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 20.7B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (SOTS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT it is 113.32 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 580.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SOTS trades above its calculated fair value: price 580.00 IDR, fair value 113.32 IDR, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SOTS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (580.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (113.32 IDR). For Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT the two are 466.68 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT worth?
The market values Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT at about 600B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 580.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 113.32 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SOTS?
Our models span a range for Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT: cautious scenario 84.57 IDR, base 113.32 IDR, optimistic 169.14 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 580.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (SOTS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −8.4%, debt of 0.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SOTS from its 52-week high?
Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT trades at 580.00 IDR, about 88% below its 52-week high of 5,025 IDR and 87% above the low of 310.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 113.32 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, InterContinental Hotels Group, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 580.00 IDR, calculated fair value 113.32 IDR (−80%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SOTS calculated?
We run Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 113.32 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (SOTS)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 580.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 113.32 IDR, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (169.14 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (84.57 IDR to 169.14 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT

How large is the market capitalisation of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (SOTS)?
The market capitalisation of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT is 600B IDR (≈ $33.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (SOTS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT is 28.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (SOTS)?
Earnings per share at Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT are −10.80 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (SOTS)?
The net margin of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT is −74.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (SOTS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT is −8.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (SOTS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT is −2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (SOTS)?
The operating margin of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT is −47.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (SOTS)?
Revenue at Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT is growing −5.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (SOTS) generate?
The free cash flow of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT is −11.0B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT (SOTS) carry?
The net debt of Satria Mega Kencana Tbk PT is 44.4B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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