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Data-driven stock valuation

Supercom Ltd (SPCB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Supercom Ltd stock $6.49, price $8.36, that is 22.4% below the price, quality 31 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 11 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US · Home Israel · ISIN IL0010830961

SL Supercom Ltd logo Thin data Nov 9, 2026

Supercom Ltd

SPCB · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 22% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +18.8 %/yr in USD)
Thin margins · 2.9% net margin (TTM)
Fair value $6.49 · Overvalued
Quality 31/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 34/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$246.00 $2.69 Fair Value $6.49 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.69 – $246.00 · fair‑value band $4.40 – $9.50 · the $8.36 price screens above the $6.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

SuperCom Ltd. provides traditional and digital identity, Internet of Things (IoT) and connectivity, and cyber security products and solutions in Africa, Europe, South and center America, the United States, Israel, and Asia Pacific.

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The company operates in three segments: e-Gov, IoT and Connectivity, and Cyber Security.

It offers national ID registries, e-passports, biometric visas, automated fingerprint identification systems, digitized driver's licenses, and electronic voter registration and election management using MAGNA platform.

The company also provides PureRF suite, a solution based on RFID tag technology to identify, locate, track, monitor, count, and protect people and objects.

Its PureRF suite includes PureRF Tags, Hands-Free Long-Range RFID Asset and Vehicle Tags, PureRF Readers, PureRF Activators, PureRF Initializer, House Arrest Monitoring System, PureTag RF Bracelet, PureCom RF Base Station, GPS Offender Tracking System, PureTrack, PureBeacon, PureMonitor Offender Electronic Monitoring Software, Inmate Monitoring System, DoorGuard, and Personnel Tag, as well as domestic violence victim protection systems and PureProtect smartphone app.

In addition, it provides connectivity products and solutions comprising AVIDITY WBSac, BOLSTER WBSn, and BreezeNET B; and cyber security strategic business unit products and solutions, including Safend Encryptor, Safend Protector, Safend Inspector, and Safend Discoverer; and connectivity products, such as solutions for carrier Wi-Fi, enterprise connectivity, smart city, smart hospitality, connected campuses, and connected events.

It sells its systems and products through local representatives, subsidiaries, and distribution channels, as well as independent representatives, resellers, and distributors. The company was formerly known as Vuance Ltd. and changed its name to SuperCom Ltd. in January 2013.

SuperCom Ltd. was incorporated in 1988 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

Stock analysis

Supercom Ltd (SPCB) currently trades at $8.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.49, 22% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $13.43 per share, and 5 of the 11 models we run sit above the $8.36 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.99, and 6 of the 11 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $4.40 (bear) to $9.50 (bull), the price of $8.36 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Supercom Ltd reported revenue of $27.9M in FY2025 versus $12.3M in FY2021, a compound +22.8%/yr. Reported net income was $3.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $54.8M Micro · P/S ratio 2.04 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1300 · Net margin 13.4% · Return on equity 2.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 10.6% · Revenue (TTM) $29.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −22%, SPCB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $4.40 Fair Value $6.49 Bull $9.50
Price $8.36 · Downside -22.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings $4.88 $7.63 $11.18 76
Residual Income $5.18 $5.31 $5.80 71
EV/EBITDA $5.83 $8.34 $10.85 67
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $4.88 $7.63 $11.18 76
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.06 $15.04 $20.33 64
Lynch FV $3.61 $5.16 $6.70 61
PEG = 1.0 $3.61 $5.16 $6.70 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.53 $16.71 $20.89 63
P/S Multiple $7.61 $10.15 $12.68 58
P/B Multiple $21.99 $29.32 $36.66 55
EV/EBITDA $5.83 $8.34 $10.85 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.31 $1.99 $2.49 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.18 $5.31 $5.80 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $8.09 $11.55 $15.02 67

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 41
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 56
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 35
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 24
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 15
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 17
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.6% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−32.4% (2020) → −1.2% (2025)

SPCB screens overvalued: fair value 22% below the price. Compare with Allegion plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 105 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −22.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 2.0% · Below median
Return on assets 5.5% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 2.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 10.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 13.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.43× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.26× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 1.86× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 19.8× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)3 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)67 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)8 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)79 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 43

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 ¥14.54 ¥32.12 +121% vs SPCB
The Brink's Company BCO $110.25 $121.16 +10% vs SPCB
ADT Inc ADT $9.86 $10.67 +8% vs SPCB
Brady Corporation BRC $78.72 $84.37 +7% vs SPCB
S-1 Corporation 012750 98,400 KRW 99,629 KRW +1% vs SPCB
Loomis AB LOOMIS kr 506.00 kr 496.43 −2% vs SPCB
MSA Safety Incorporated MSA $170.14 $121.81 −28% vs SPCB
Allegion plc ALLE $185.39 $129.15 −30% vs SPCB
CoreCivic, Inc CXW $28.67 $18.76 −35% vs SPCB
The GEO Group GEO $27.80 $13.08 −53% vs SPCB

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Supercom Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Supercom Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPCB

Frequently asked questions

Is Supercom Ltd (SPCB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.49 versus a price of $8.36, about 22% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SPCB?
Our model-based fair value for Supercom Ltd is $6.49 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.36.
What is the quality score of SPCB?
Supercom Ltd has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Supercom Ltd (SPCB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.49 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.40, optimistic scenario $9.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Supercom Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.49, about 22% lower versus a price of $8.36 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $4.40, optimistic scenario $9.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Supercom Ltd (SPCB)?
Supercom Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $29.4M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Supercom Ltd (SPCB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Supercom Ltd it is $6.49 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of $8.36. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Supercom Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, SPCB trades above its calculated fair value: price $8.36, fair value $6.49, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SPCB?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.36); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.49). For Supercom Ltd the two are $1.87 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Supercom Ltd worth?
The market values Supercom Ltd at about $54.8M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is $8.36; our models calculate a fair value of $6.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SPCB?
Our models span a range for Supercom Ltd: cautious scenario $4.40, base $6.49, optimistic $9.50 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price $8.36). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Supercom Ltd (SPCB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Supercom Ltd (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 2.0%, debt of 0.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SPCB from its 52-week high?
Supercom Ltd trades at $8.36, about 32% below its 52-week high of $12.36 and 16% above the low of $7.20 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Supercom Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, ADT Inc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Supercom Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price $8.36, calculated fair value $6.49 (−22%), Quality Score 31/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SPCB calculated?
We run Supercom Ltd through 11 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $6.49 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Supercom Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Supercom Ltd (SPCB)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $8.36. Our model-based fair value is $6.49, about 22% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Supercom Ltd right now?
Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($4.40 to $9.50) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Supercom Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Supercom Ltd (SPCB)?
The market capitalisation of Supercom Ltd is $54.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Supercom Ltd (SPCB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Supercom Ltd is 2.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Supercom Ltd (SPCB)?
Earnings per share at Supercom Ltd are $−0.1300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Supercom Ltd (SPCB)?
The net margin of Supercom Ltd is 13.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Supercom Ltd (SPCB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Supercom Ltd is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Supercom Ltd (SPCB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Supercom Ltd is −8.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Supercom Ltd (SPCB)?
The operating margin of Supercom Ltd is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Supercom Ltd (SPCB)?
Revenue at Supercom Ltd is growing +13.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Supercom Ltd (SPCB)?
Earnings per share at Supercom Ltd are growing −14.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Supercom Ltd (SPCB) generate?
The free cash flow of Supercom Ltd is −$8.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Supercom Ltd (SPCB) carry?
The net debt of Supercom Ltd is $10.7M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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