SuperCom Ltd (SPCB) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $60.4M
SuperCom Ltd
SPCB · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +10.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 21% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($6.29 to $11.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.69 – $296.00 · fair‑value band $6.29 – $11.69 · the $11.40 price screens above the $8.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
SuperCom Ltd (SPCB) currently trades at $11.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.99, implying the stock looks roughly 21.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, SuperCom Ltd generated revenue of $28.5M at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.1%. Net debt stands at $10.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.29 (bear case) to $11.69 (bull case); at $11.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -21%, SPCB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($23.55) versus Asset-Based ($5.27). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
SuperCom Ltd. provides traditional and digital identity, Internet of Things (IoT) and connectivity, and cyber security products and solutions in Africa, Europe, South and center America, the United States, Israel, and Asia Pacific. The company operates in three segments: e-Gov, IoT and Connectivity, and Cyber Security.
Full company description
SuperCom Ltd. provides traditional and digital identity, Internet of Things (IoT) and connectivity, and cyber security products and solutions in Africa, Europe, South and center America, the United States, Israel, and Asia Pacific. The company operates in three segments: e-Gov, IoT and Connectivity, and Cyber Security. It offers national ID registries, e-passports, biometric visas, automated fingerprint identification systems, digitized driver's licenses, and electronic voter registration and election management using MAGNA platform. The company also provides PureRF suite, a solution based on RFID tag technology to identify, locate, track, monitor, count, and protect people and objects. Its PureRF suite includes PureRF Tags, Hands-Free Long-Range RFID Asset and Vehicle Tags, PureRF Readers, PureRF Activators, PureRF Initializer, House Arrest Monitoring System, PureTag RF Bracelet, PureCom RF Base Station, GPS Offender Tracking System, PureTrack, PureBeacon, PureMonitor Offender Electronic Monitoring Software, Inmate Monitoring System, DoorGuard, and Personnel Tag, as well as domestic violence victim protection systems and PureProtect smartphone app. In addition, it provides connectivity products and solutions comprising AVIDITY WBSac, BOLSTER WBSn, and BreezeNET B; and cyber security strategic business unit products and solutions, including Safend Encryptor, Safend Protector, Safend Inspector, and Safend Discoverer; and connectivity products, such as solutions for carrier Wi-Fi, enterprise connectivity, smart city, smart hospitality, connected campuses, and connected events. It sells its systems and products through local representatives, subsidiaries, and distribution channels, as well as independent representatives, resellers, and distributors. The company was formerly known as Vuance Ltd. and changed its name to SuperCom Ltd. in January 2013. SuperCom Ltd. was incorporated in 1988 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SuperCom Ltd reported revenue of $27.9M in FY2025 versus $12.3M in FY2021, a compound +22.8%/yr. Reported net income was $3.7M in FY2025.
SPCB screens 21% overvalued. Compare with ASSA ABLOY AB →
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 348.40 | kr 269.97 | -23% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €10.26 | €12.40 | +21% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $137.24 | $127.80 | -7% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 162.10 | kr 186.34 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.57 | ¥23.58 | +42% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $169.00 | $118.51 | -30% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.06 | $17.10 | +142% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $104.24 | $101.84 | -2% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $90.16 | $73.43 | -19% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $29.46 | $32.36 | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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