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Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Smart Parking Ltd A$0.85, price A$0.75, upside +13.7%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · AU · ISIN AU000000SPZ0

SP Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Smart Parking Ltd

SPZ · AU

UndervaluedQuality growthThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value A$0.8525 · Undervalued (+14%)
!Quality 52/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +29.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
✓Wide moat 66/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$1.42 A$0.1500 Fair Value A$0.8525 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1500 – A$1.42 · fair‑value band A$0.4984 – A$1.12 · the A$0.7500 price screens below the A$0.8525 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Smart Parking Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, and management of parking management solutions in New Zealand, Australia, Denmark, Germany, and the United Kingdom. It operates through Parking Management, Technology, and Research and Development segments.

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Smart Parking Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, and management of parking management solutions in New Zealand, Australia, Denmark, Germany, and the United Kingdom. It operates through Parking Management, Technology, and Research and Development segments. The company provides parking management services for cars using automatic number plate recognition (ANPR) camera systems that are designed to monitor private car parks for businesses. It offers SmartCloud, a cloud-based car parking management platform that gathers and processes information; Compliance Management System, an app and online management platform designed to digitalize and streamline the manual patrol and processing of urban car parking footprints; pay and walk machines for people to either pay for their parking or validate their number plate; mobile patrol services for guiding and informing customers about parking related information; and Vehicle Detection Sensors, is designed to pick up the usage of individual car park bays. In addition, the company provides SmartApp, ANPR cameras, SmartSpot gateways, overhead guidance indicators, and enforcement management systems. It offers its solutions to councils & local authorities, hospitals & medical centres, hotels & hospitality, leisure & tourism, property managers & agents, places of worship, residential, restaurants & pubs, shopping centres & retail, supermarkets, and universities & educational environments. The company was formerly known as Car Parking Technologies Limited and changed its name to Smart Parking Limited in July 2013. The company is based in Port Melbourne, Australia.

Stock analysis

Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ) currently trades at A$0.7500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.8525, implying the stock looks roughly 12.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$0.6500 per share, and 3 of the 24 models we run sit above the A$0.7500 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.1400, and 21 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$0.4984 (bear) to A$1.12 (bull), the price of A$0.7500 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Smart Parking Ltd reported revenue of A$77.3M in FY2025 versus A$22.7M in FY2021, a compound +35.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$5.4M in FY2025, compounding +0.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap A$324M (≈ $228M) · P/E ratio 75.0 · P/S ratio 5.25 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0100 · Net margin 7.0% · Return on equity 9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.5% · Operating margin 34.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 14%, SPZ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.4984 Fair Value A$0.8525 Bull A$1.12
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0100 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF A$0.3700 A$0.5000 A$0.8900 76
Growth DCF A$0.3500 A$0.5400 A$0.8300 75
EPV A$0.1500 A$0.1600 A$0.1700 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$0.3700 A$0.5000 A$0.8900 76
Owner Earnings A$0.3200 A$0.5800 A$1.03 71
5Y Revenue Exit A$0.2700 A$0.3900 A$0.6500 69
5Y EBITDA Exit A$0.5400 A$0.9300 A$1.71 70
5Y P/E Exit A$0.3400 A$0.6500 A$1.07 66
10Y Revenue Exit A$0.3000 A$0.5200 A$0.6300 65
10Y EBITDA Exit A$0.4700 A$1.01 A$1.95 62
10Y P/E Exit A$0.3500 A$0.6500 A$1.12 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.0900 A$0.6100 A$0.8600 61
Lynch FV A$0.3200 A$0.4500 A$0.5900 59
PEG = 1.0 A$0.3200 A$0.4500 A$0.5900 55
EPV A$0.1500 A$0.1600 A$0.1700 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.2700 A$0.3600 A$0.4500 63
P/S Multiple A$0.1600 A$0.2200 A$0.2700 58
P/B Multiple A$0.1600 A$0.2200 A$0.2700 55
EV/EBIT A$0.3400 A$0.4400 A$0.5300 66
EV/EBITDA A$0.6200 A$0.8100 A$1.01 67
EV/Revenue A$0.2000 A$0.2600 A$0.3200 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.1000 A$0.1400 A$0.2100 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.3500 A$0.5400 A$0.8300 75
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.2900 A$0.4400 A$0.7600 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.1500 A$0.1500 A$0.1300 68
ROIC Compounder A$0.1500 A$0.1600 A$0.1700 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$0.4600 A$0.6500 A$0.8500 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 19
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 36
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+42.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.6% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−0.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−8% → 13%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.6% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Infrastructure Operations · 68 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +10% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 15% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 34% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 96% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 75.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.60× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.11× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 21.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.1× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)52 · sector 51
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 10
PAST (return on equity)37 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 69
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 77

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Transurban Group TCL A$13.20 A$4.00 −70%
China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings 001965 ¥9.80 ¥13.02 +33%
Jiangsu Expressway Company 600377 ¥12.58 ¥14.47 +15%
Shandong Hi-speed Company 600350 ¥10.03 ¥7.88 −21%
Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co 000429 ¥12.53 ¥13.78 +10%
Anhui Expressway Company 600012 ¥15.43 ¥16.97 +10%
Shenzhen Expressway Corporation 600548 ¥8.04 ¥9.51 +18%
IRB Infrastructure Developers Limited IRB ₹18.03 ₹19.95 +11%
Sichuan Expressway Company 601107 ¥6.01 ¥6.61 +10%
CUBEINVIT CUBEINVIT ₹156.44 ₹44.34 −72%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Smart Parking Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPZ

Frequently asked questions

Is Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.8525 versus a price of A$0.7500, about +14% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SPZ?
Our model-based fair value for Smart Parking Ltd is A$0.8525 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.7500.
What is the quality score of SPZ?
Smart Parking Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.8525 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.4984, optimistic scenario A$1.12. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Smart Parking Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.8525, about +14% upside versus a price of A$0.7500 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.4984, optimistic scenario A$1.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ)?
Smart Parking Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$108M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Smart Parking Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +17.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +29.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SPZ use?
Our models discount Smart Parking Ltd at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.42, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Smart Parking Ltd that is +17.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Smart Parking Ltd grew +29.2 % a year. The price currently implies +17.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Smart Parking Ltd (+17.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.72 %: that much free cash flow Smart Parking Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Smart Parking Ltd it is A$0.8525 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.7500. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Smart Parking Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SPZ trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.7500, fair value A$0.8525, a gap of about +14% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SPZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.7500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.8525). For Smart Parking Ltd the two are A$0.1025 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Smart Parking Ltd worth?
The market values Smart Parking Ltd at about A$324M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.7500; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.8525 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SPZ?
Our models span a range for Smart Parking Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.4984, base A$0.8525, optimistic A$1.12 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price A$0.7500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SPZ?
Smart Parking Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 75.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.8525 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 39.9 (reported 58.1). Other multiples: P/B 2.6, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 7.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Smart Parking Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.4%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SPZ from its 52-week high?
Smart Parking Ltd trades at A$0.7500, about 47% below its 52-week high of A$1.42 and 19% above the low of A$0.6300 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.8525 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Smart Parking Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Transurban Group, China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings, Jiangsu Expressway Company, Shandong Hi-speed Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Smart Parking Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price A$0.7500, calculated fair value A$0.8525 (+14%), Quality Score 52/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SPZ calculated?
We run Smart Parking Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.8525, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Smart Parking Ltd currently trades 14 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.7500. Our model-based fair value is A$0.8525, about +14% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Smart Parking Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (A$0.4984 to A$1.12) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Smart Parking Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ)?
The market capitalisation of Smart Parking Ltd is A$324M (≈ $228M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Smart Parking Ltd is 5.25 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ)?
Earnings per share at Smart Parking Ltd are A$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 75.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ)?
The net margin of Smart Parking Ltd is 7.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Smart Parking Ltd is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Smart Parking Ltd is 12.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ)?
The operating margin of Smart Parking Ltd is 34.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ)?
Revenue at Smart Parking Ltd is growing +96.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +26.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ)?
Earnings per share at Smart Parking Ltd are growing −9.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Smart Parking Ltd (SPZ) hold?
Smart Parking Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$10.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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