Smart Parking Limited (SPZ) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$324M
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from A$0.4900 to A$0.2600 (−46.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −9.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.3200). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.1500 – A$1.42 · fair‑value band A$0.1900 – A$0.3200 · the A$0.7100 price screens above the A$0.2600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Smart Parking Limited (SPZ) currently trades at A$0.7100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2600, implying the stock looks roughly 63.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Smart Parking Limited generated revenue of A$108M at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue grew 96.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$10.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.1900 (bear case) to A$0.3200 (bull case); at A$0.7100, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -63%, SPZ screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$0.6200) versus Asset-Based (A$0.1400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Smart Parking Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, and management of parking management solutions in New Zealand, Australia, Denmark, Germany, and the United Kingdom. It operates through Parking Management, Technology, and Research and Development segments.
Full company description
Smart Parking Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, and management of parking management solutions in New Zealand, Australia, Denmark, Germany, and the United Kingdom. It operates through Parking Management, Technology, and Research and Development segments. The company provides parking management services for cars using automatic number plate recognition (ANPR) camera systems that are designed to monitor private car parks for businesses. It offers SmartCloud, a cloud-based car parking management platform that gathers and processes information; Compliance Management System, an app and online management platform designed to digitalize and streamline the manual patrol and processing of urban car parking footprints; pay and walk machines for people to either pay for their parking or validate their number plate; mobile patrol services for guiding and informing customers about parking related information; and Vehicle Detection Sensors, is designed to pick up the usage of individual car park bays. In addition, the company provides SmartApp, ANPR cameras, SmartSpot gateways, overhead guidance indicators, and enforcement management systems. It offers its solutions to councils & local authorities, hospitals & medical centres, hotels & hospitality, leisure & tourism, property managers & agents, places of worship, residential, restaurants & pubs, shopping centres & retail, supermarkets, and universities & educational environments. The company was formerly known as Car Parking Technologies Limited and changed its name to Smart Parking Limited in July 2013. The company is based in Port Melbourne, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Smart Parking Limited reported revenue of A$77.3M in FY2025 versus A$22.7M in FY2021, a compound +35.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$5.4M in FY2025, compounding +0.5%/yr from FY2021.
SPZ screens 63% overvalued. Compare with China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings →
Peer Group
Infrastructure Operations · 64 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings 001965 | ¥9.88 | ¥9.16 | -7% |
| Jiangsu Expressway Company 600377 | ¥11.86 | ¥15.32 | +29% |
| Shandong Hi-speed Company 600350 | ¥10.86 | ¥8.68 | -20% |
| Impulsora del Desarrollo y el Empleo en América Latina, S.A. IDEALB1 | 43.00 MXN | 43.57 MXN | +1% |
| Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. PINFRA | 281.25 MXN | 945.00 MXN | +236% |
| Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A MOTV3 | R$14.82 | R$29.18 | +97% |
| Zhejiang Expressway Co 0576 | HK$6.16 | HK$18.35 | +198% |
| Anhui Expressway Company 600012 | ¥16.31 | ¥14.90 | -9% |
| Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co 000429 | ¥14.33 | ¥17.93 | +25% |
| Shenzhen Expressway Corporation 600548 | ¥8.35 | ¥7.70 | -8% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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