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Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A CLP 28,708, price CLP 59,430, upside -51.7%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · CL · ISIN US8336351056

SQ Some data Sep 30, 2026

Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A

SQM-A · SN

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 28,708 CLP · Strongly overvalued (−51.7%)
✓Quality 60/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +20.3 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 20.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓Wide moat 82/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

76,197 CLP 24,554 CLP Fair Value 28,708 CLP Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 24,554 CLP – 76,197 CLP · fair‑value band 13,450 CLP – 45,131 CLP · the 59,430 CLP price screens above the 28,708 CLP fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. produces and sells specialty plant nutrients, and iodine and its derivatives in Chile, Latin America, the Caribbean, Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally.

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Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. produces and sells specialty plant nutrients, and iodine and its derivatives in Chile, Latin America, the Caribbean, Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It offers potassium nitrate, sodium nitrate, specialty blends, and other specialty fertilizers under the Ultrasol, Qrop, Speedfol, Allganic, Ultrasoline, Prop, and Prohydric brands. The company also provides iodine and its derivatives for use in medical, agricultural, industrial, and human and animal nutrition products comprising x-ray contrast media, biocides, antiseptics and disinfectants, pharmaceutical intermediates, polarizing films for LCD and LED screens, chemicals, organic compounds, and pigments, as well as added to edible salt to prevent iodine deficiency disorders. In addition, it produces lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide which are used in the production of cathode material for, secondary batteries; lithium chloride; and basic lithium chemicals and lithium derivatives used in lubricating greases for heat-resistant glass, chips for the ceramic and glazing industry, and air conditioning chemicals, as well as other pharmaceutical syntheses and metal alloys. Further, the company produces potassium sulfate; and potassium chloride which are used to nourish various crops. Additionally, it produces and markets industrial chemicals, such as sodium nitrate mainly used in the production of glass and explosives, metal processing and recycling, and production of insulating materials and adhesives; potassium nitrate used as a raw material to produce frits and special ty glass, as well as in the enamel, metal treatment, and pyrotechnic sectors; solar salts used as a thermal storage medium in solar power generation plants; and potassium chloride as an additive in oil drilling and food processing sectors, as well as sells third-party fertilizers. Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.

Stock analysis

Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A) currently trades at 59,430 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 28,708 CLP, 51.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 35,763 CLP per share, and 1 of the 25 models we run sit above the 59,430 CLP price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 12,034 CLP, and 24 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 13,450 CLP (bear) to 45,131 CLP (bull), the price of 59,430 CLP sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A reported revenue of $4.6B in FY2025 versus $2.9B in FY2021, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was $588M in FY2025, compounding +0.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 17.0T CLP (≈ $17.2B) · P/E ratio 25.0 · P/S ratio 3.21 · EPS (TTM) 2,643 CLP · Net margin 12.9% · Return on equity 21.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 21.1% · Operating margin 48.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −52%, SQM-A screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 13,450 CLP Fair Value 28,708 CLP Bull 45,131 CLP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1,998 CLP per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 17,480 CLP 19,560 CLP 26,996 CLP 73
EPV 9,093 CLP 12,034 CLP 14,607 CLP 72
FCF DCF 15,400 CLP 35,655 CLP 71,475 CLP 71
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 15,400 CLP 35,655 CLP 71,475 CLP 71
5Y Revenue Exit 10,334 CLP 24,088 CLP 42,752 CLP 66
5Y EBITDA Exit 20,639 CLP 45,590 CLP 77,327 CLP 69
5Y P/E Exit 15,488 CLP 34,843 CLP 57,185 CLP 65
10Y Revenue Exit 11,254 CLP 24,990 CLP 46,088 CLP 60
10Y EBITDA Exit 18,699 CLP 40,855 CLP 75,375 CLP 62
10Y P/E Exit 15,267 CLP 32,925 CLP 58,313 CLP 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 13,856 CLP 66,982 CLP 92,246 CLP 59
Lynch FV 17,915 CLP 25,593 CLP 33,270 CLP 57
PEG = 1.0 17,915 CLP 25,593 CLP 33,270 CLP 53
EPV 9,093 CLP 12,034 CLP 14,607 CLP 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 135.93 CLP 282.62 CLP 448.35 CLP 62
DDM Multi-Stage 135.93 CLP 238.31 CLP 296.62 CLP 62
Multiples
P/E Multiple 25,980 CLP 34,640 CLP 43,299 CLP 61
P/S Multiple 17,836 CLP 23,782 CLP 29,727 CLP 56
P/B Multiple 25,980 CLP 34,640 CLP 43,299 CLP 53
EV/EBIT 30,356 CLP 43,325 CLP 56,295 CLP 64
EV/EBITDA 25,565 CLP 36,938 CLP 48,310 CLP 65
EV/Revenue 8,095 CLP 15,230 CLP 22,364 CLP 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9,859 CLP 13,211 CLP 19,718 CLP 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 15,148 CLP 33,540 CLP 65,073 CLP 70
Rev-Margin DCF 10,334 CLP 23,793 CLP 41,424 CLP 66
Economic Profit
Residual Income 17,480 CLP 19,560 CLP 26,996 CLP 73
ROIC Compounder 9,093 CLP 12,034 CLP 14,607 CLP 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 25,034 CLP 35,763 CLP 46,492 CLP 64

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−24.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.2% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+14.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 23%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+26.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+12.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +23.3% a year for the price and +9.4% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+74.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)−0.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+0.1%
Projected 2029 (sales)+0.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+0.6%

SQM-A screens overvalued: fair value 52% below the price. Compare with Linde plc →

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Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A · Fair Value
28,708 CLP −52%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SQM-A

Frequently asked questions

Is Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 28,708 CLP versus a price of 59,430 CLP, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SQM-A?
Our model-based fair value for Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A is 28,708 CLP (as of Sep 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 59,430 CLP.
What is the quality score of SQM-A?
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 28,708 CLP (as of Sep 30, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 13,450 CLP, optimistic scenario 45,131 CLP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 28,708 CLP, about −52% upside versus a price of 59,430 CLP (overvalued). Cautious scenario 13,450 CLP, optimistic scenario 45,131 CLP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A)?
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 30, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A would have to grow free cash flow by +26.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.3 % per year. As of Sep 30, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SQM-A use?
Our models discount Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.97, country premium for Chile. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A that is +26.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A grew +20.3 % a year. The price currently implies +26.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (+26.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.55 %: that much free cash flow Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A it is 28,708 CLP per share (as of Sep 30, 2026), against a price of 59,430 CLP. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 30, 2026, SQM-A trades above its calculated fair value: price 59,430 CLP, fair value 28,708 CLP, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SQM-A?
No. The price is what the market pays today (59,430 CLP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (28,708 CLP). For Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A the two are 30,722 CLP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A worth?
The market values Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A at about 17.0T CLP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 30, 2026). Per share that is 59,430 CLP; our models calculate a fair value of 28,708 CLP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SQM-A?
Our models span a range for Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A: cautious scenario 13,450 CLP, base 28,708 CLP, optimistic 45,131 CLP per share (as of Sep 30, 2026, price 59,430 CLP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is SQM-A from its 52-week high?
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A trades at 59,430 CLP, about 17% below its 52-week high of 71,681 CLP and 58% above the low of 37,562 CLP (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 28,708 CLP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 30, 2026: price 59,430 CLP, calculated fair value 28,708 CLP (−52%), Quality Score 60/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SQM-A calculated?
We run Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 28,708 CLP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 59,430 CLP. Our model-based fair value is 28,708 CLP, about −52% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (45,131 CLP). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (13,450 CLP to 45,131 CLP). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A

How large is the market capitalisation of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A)?
The market capitalisation of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A is 17.0T CLP (≈ $17.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A is 25.0 (as of Aug 15, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A is 3.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A)?
Earnings per share at Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A are 2,643 CLP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A)?
The net margin of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A is 12.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A is 21.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A is 21.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A)?
The operating margin of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A is 48.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A)?
Revenue at Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A is growing +137% versus a year earlier (3y avg −24.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A)?
Earnings per share at Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A are growing +646% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A (SQM-A) carry?
The net debt of Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A is $2.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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