1st Source Corporation (SRCE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of 1st Source Corporation $55.78, price $84.38, upside -33.9%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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1st Source Corporation
SRCE · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $36.75 – $90.82 · fair‑value band $47.94 – $96.73 · the $84.38 price screens above the $55.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Company profile
1st Source Corporation operates as the bank holding company for 1st Source Bank that provides commercial and consumer banking services, trust and wealth advisory services, and insurance products to individual and business clients in the United States.
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1st Source Corporation operates as the bank holding company for 1st Source Bank that provides commercial and consumer banking services, trust and wealth advisory services, and insurance products to individual and business clients in the United States. The company's consumer banking services, which include checking and savings accounts; certificates of deposit; health savings and individual retirement accounts; online and mobile banking products; consumer loans, real estate mortgage loans, and home equity lines of credit; and financial planning, financial literacy, and other consultative services, as well as debit and credit cards. It also provides commercial, small business, agricultural, and real estate loans for financing of industrial and commercial properties, equipment, inventories, accounts receivables, acquisition, and general corporate purposes; and commercial leasing, treasury management, payment services, Fedwires, ACH and merchant services, and retirement planning services, as well as construction and permanent loans and tax equity investments for community solar, commercial and industrial, small utility scale, university, and municipal projects. In addition, the company offers trust, investment, agency, and custodial services for individual, estate and trust, corporate, and not-for-profit customers, as well as employee benefit plans and charitable foundations. Further, it provides equipment loan and lease products for construction equipment, aircraft, autos and light trucks, and medium and heavy-duty trucks; and financing services for construction equipment, new and pre-owned private and cargo aircraft, and various vehicle types for fleet purposes. Additionally, it offers property, casualty, individual and group health, and life insurance products and services for individuals and businesses; and owns and manages available-for-sale investment securities. 1st Source Corporation was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in South Bend, Indiana.
Stock analysis
1st Source Corporation (SRCE) currently trades at $84.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $55.78, implying the stock looks roughly 51.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $74.16 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the $84.38 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $18.22, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $47.94 (bear) to $96.73 (bull), the price of $84.38 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
1st Source Corporation reported revenue of $600M in FY2025 versus $355M in FY2021, a compound +14.0%/yr. Reported net income was $158M in FY2025, compounding +7.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.1B · P/E ratio 12.9 · P/S ratio 3.41 · EPS (TTM) $6.52 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 26.4% · Return on equity 12.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −34%, SRCE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 6 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
SRCE screens 51% overvalued. Compare with DBS Group →
Compare 1st Source Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1074 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DBS Group D05 | 77.69 SGD | 40.48 SGD | −48% |
| China Merchants Bank Co 3968 | HK$51.25 | HK$62.30 | +22% |
| Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP | €6.73 | €4.04 | −40% |
| HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK | ₹737.25 | ₹406.85 | −45% |
| BNP Paribas SA BNP | €101.30 | €105.99 | +5% |
| UniCredit S.p.A UCG | €83.28 | €77.62 | −7% |
| Mizuho Financial Group MFG | $10.87 | $6.75 | −38% |
| ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK | ₹1,340 | ₹616.16 | −54% |
| The PNC Financial Services Group PNC | $227.96 | $159.52 | −30% |
| Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 | 32.14 SGD | 19.80 SGD | −38% |
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