Sirius Real Estate Ltd (SRE) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · ZA · Market cap 33.0B ZAC · ISIN GG00B1W3VF54
What is Sirius Real Estate Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of R20.00.
As of Aug 21, 2026, the fair value of Sirius Real Estate Ltd is R20.00 per share against a price of R20.65, so the fair value sits 3% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 21, 2026, revised from R1.06 to R20.00 (+1,786.8%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −8.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R13.17 – R30.65 · fair‑value band R18.27 – R32.19 · the R20.65 price screens above the R20.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
Analysis
Sirius Real Estate Ltd (SRE) currently trades at R20.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R20.00, implying the stock looks roughly 3.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 26 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sirius Real Estate Ltd generated revenue of 352M ZAR at a net margin of 65.2%. Revenue grew 15.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.8%. Net debt stands at 1.0B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R18.27 (bear case) to R32.19 (bull case); at R20.65, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −3%, SRE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 1.19 ZAR per share, which is 5.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (R1.43) versus Asset-Based (R0.8000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Sirius Real Estate Limited engages in the investment, development, and operation of commercial and industrial properties in Germany and the United Kingdom. It owns and manages offices; warehouses, storerooms, and self-storage products; production and workshop spaces; and business parks and lettable space.
Full company description
Sirius Real Estate Limited engages in the investment, development, and operation of commercial and industrial properties in Germany and the United Kingdom. It owns and manages offices; warehouses, storerooms, and self-storage products; production and workshop spaces; and business parks and lettable space. The company serves individuals, corporations, and small and medium-sized enterprises under the Sirius and BizSpace brand names. The company was formerly known as Dawnay, Day Sirius Limited and changed its name to Sirius Real Estate Limited in October 2008. Sirius Real Estate Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Saint Peter Port, Guernsey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Sirius Real Estate Ltd reported revenue of €348M in FY2026 versus €210M in FY2022, a compound +13.4%/yr. Reported net income was €230M in FY2026, compounding +11.6%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 525 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBRE Group CBRE | $148.74 | $69.47 | −53% |
| Vonovia SE VNA | €19.85 | €36.67 | +85% |
| Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX | €27.47 | €25.46 | −7% |
| KE Holdings BEKE | $17.42 | $6.57 | −62% |
| Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL | $378.01 | $290.25 | −23% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$24.84 | HK$5.12 | −79% |
| CoStar Group CSGP | $32.22 | $4.64 | −86% |
| China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 | HK$39.84 | HK$34.95 | −12% |
| CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI | 2.66 SGD | 0.4900 SGD | −82% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 4,040 CLP | 4,571 CLP | +13% |
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