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Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Sirius Real Estate Limited $1.41, price $1.12, upside +26.2%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · US · ISIN GG00B1W3VF54

SR Sirius Real Estate Limited logo Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Sirius Real Estate Limited

SRRLF · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $1.41 · Undervalued (+26.2%)
!Quality 42/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +16.0 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 65.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓5.7% dividend yield · Sustainable
✓Wide moat 69/100
!The models disagree: range $0.6100 to $2.41

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$1.52 $0.3504 Fair Value $1.41 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.3504 – $1.52 · fair‑value band $0.6100 – $2.41 · the $1.12 price screens below the $1.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Sirius Real Estate Limited engages in the investment, development, and operation of commercial and industrial properties in Germany and the United Kingdom. It owns and manages offices; warehouses, storerooms, and self-storage products; production and workshop spaces; and business parks and lettable space.

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Sirius Real Estate Limited engages in the investment, development, and operation of commercial and industrial properties in Germany and the United Kingdom. It owns and manages offices; warehouses, storerooms, and self-storage products; production and workshop spaces; and business parks and lettable space. The company serves individuals, corporations, and small and medium-sized enterprises under the Sirius and BizSpace brand names. The company was formerly known as Dawnay, Day Sirius Limited and changed its name to Sirius Real Estate Limited in October 2008. Sirius Real Estate Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Saint Peter Port, Guernsey.

Stock analysis

Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF) currently trades at $1.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.41, implying the stock looks roughly 20.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $1.64 per share, and 13 of the 16 models we run sit above the $1.12 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.9000, and 3 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $0.6100 (bear) to $2.41 (bull), the price of $1.12 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Sirius Real Estate Limited reported revenue of €348M in FY2026 versus €210M in FY2022, a compound +13.4%/yr. Reported net income was €230M in FY2026, compounding +11.6%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $2.1B · P/E ratio 6.6 · P/S ratio 4.34 · EPS (TTM) $0.1700 · Dividend yield 5.7% · Net margin 66.1% · Return on equity 12.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 26%, SRRLF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.6100 Fair Value $1.41 Bull $2.41
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0540 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $1.24 $1.44 $1.95 76
FCF DCF $0.6700 $1.64 $3.49 74
Growth DCF $0.6500 $1.52 $3.00 73
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.6700 $1.64 $3.49 74
5Y Revenue Exit $0.5400 $1.34 $2.45 68
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.7500 $1.81 $3.17 71
10Y Revenue Exit $0.5400 $1.32 $2.59 62
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.7200 $1.67 $3.21 64
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.5600 $1.12 $1.70 66
DDM Multi-Stage $0.5600 $0.9700 $1.18 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple $1.21 $1.61 $2.01 58
P/B Multiple $2.02 $2.70 $3.37 55
EV/EBIT $1.20 $1.75 $2.30 65
EV/EBITDA $0.8700 $1.31 $1.74 66
EV/Revenue $0.4700 $0.8600 $1.24 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.6700 $0.9000 $1.35 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.6500 $1.52 $3.00 73
Rev-Margin DCF $0.5400 $1.31 $2.36 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.24 $1.44 $1.95 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 19
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 91/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +20.1% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ −5.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2.2% vs 7.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.103% → 40%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2026 sits 72% above its own trend.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−1.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.6% a year for the price and −3.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)−26.2%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+7.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+6.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.7%
Projected 2031 (sales)+5.1%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 520 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −3.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 65.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 48.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 15.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.54× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.13× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 6.09× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 25.0× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 18.7× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 232,000 VND 25,731 VND −89%
CBRE Group CBRE $134.55 $91.06 −32%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$42.92 HK$17.16 −60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.32 HK$13.39 −45%
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €23.99 €23.94 +0%
Vonovia SE VNA €16.82 €36.55 +117%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $308.07 $540.65 +75%
Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 HK$30.54 HK$27.42 −10%
CoStar Group CSGP $26.95 $6.19 −77%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$37.00 HK$56.36 +52%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sirius Real Estate Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SRRLF

Frequently asked questions

Is Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.41 versus a price of $1.12, about +26% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SRRLF?
Our model-based fair value for Sirius Real Estate Limited is $1.41 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.12.
What is the quality score of SRRLF?
Sirius Real Estate Limited has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.41 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.6100, optimistic scenario $2.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sirius Real Estate Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.41, about +26% upside versus a price of $1.12 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.6100, optimistic scenario $2.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF)?
Sirius Real Estate Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €352M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Sirius Real Estate Limited pay a dividend?
Sirius Real Estate Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.73% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sirius Real Estate Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +18.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SRRLF use?
Our models discount Sirius Real Estate Limited at 10.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.18, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sirius Real Estate Limited that is +18.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sirius Real Estate Limited grew +16.0 % a year. The price currently implies +18.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sirius Real Estate Limited (+18.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.60 %: that much free cash flow Sirius Real Estate Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sirius Real Estate Limited it is $1.41 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.12. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sirius Real Estate Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SRRLF trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.12, fair value $1.41, a gap of about +26% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SRRLF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.12); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.41). For Sirius Real Estate Limited the two are $0.2925 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sirius Real Estate Limited worth?
The market values Sirius Real Estate Limited at about $2.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.12; our models calculate a fair value of $1.41 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SRRLF?
Our models span a range for Sirius Real Estate Limited: cautious scenario $0.6100, base $1.41, optimistic $2.41 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.12). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SRRLF?
Sirius Real Estate Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.41 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 6.1, EV/EBITDA 18.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sirius Real Estate Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.8%, debt of 0.54 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SRRLF from its 52-week high?
Sirius Real Estate Limited trades at $1.12, about 26% below its 52-week high of $1.50 and at the low of $1.12 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.41 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sirius Real Estate Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sirius Real Estate Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.12, calculated fair value $1.41 (+26%), Quality Score 42/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SRRLF calculated?
We run Sirius Real Estate Limited through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.41, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sirius Real Estate Limited currently trades 21 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.12. Our model-based fair value is $1.41, about +26% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sirius Real Estate Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($0.6100 to $2.41). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF) come from?
Earnings per share at Sirius Real Estate Limited grew +6.6 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +12.5 %, EBIT margin −9.4 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Sirius Real Estate Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF)?
The market capitalisation of Sirius Real Estate Limited is $2.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sirius Real Estate Limited is 4.34 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF)?
Earnings per share at Sirius Real Estate Limited are $0.1700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF)?
The dividend yield of Sirius Real Estate Limited is 5.7% (payout 37.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF)?
The net margin of Sirius Real Estate Limited is 66.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sirius Real Estate Limited is 12.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sirius Real Estate Limited is 5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF)?
The operating margin of Sirius Real Estate Limited is 48.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF)?
Revenue at Sirius Real Estate Limited is growing +15.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF)?
Earnings per share at Sirius Real Estate Limited are growing +14.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRRLF) carry?
The net debt of Sirius Real Estate Limited is €1.0B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 12.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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