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Suntory Beverage & Food Limited (STBFY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $8.3B

SB Suntory Beverage & Food Limited logo Suntory Beverage & Food Limited STBFY · US
Price$14.77
Fair Value$18.46
Upside+25.0%
Quality55/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.89% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: Medium Range $11.89 – $23.37 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +3.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 25% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($11.89 to $23.37) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$20.62 $13.04 Fair Value $18.46 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $13.04 – $20.62 · fair‑value band $11.89 – $23.37 · the $14.77 price screens below the $18.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Suntory Beverage & Food Limited (STBFY) currently trades at $14.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.46, implying the stock looks roughly 25.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Suntory Beverage & Food Limited generated revenue of $1.8T at a net margin of 5.0%. Revenue grew 11.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $69.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $11.89 (bear case) to $23.37 (bull case); at $14.77, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 25%, STBFY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $8.77 $11.71 $15.63 80
Rev-Margin DCF $13.06 $20.54 $28.70 74
ROIC Compounder $13.17 $15.73 $18.76 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $8.62 $11.87 $16.43 38
Owner Earnings $9.60 $13.29 $18.47 31
5Y Revenue Exit $13.06 $20.58 $30.07 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $17.81 $29.18 $42.21 41
5Y P/E Exit $11.89 $18.46 $25.15 38
10Y Revenue Exit $10.86 $17.18 $25.39 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $14.21 $22.92 $34.20 37
10Y P/E Exit $10.57 $15.76 $21.83 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.05 $15.96 $20.85 54
PEG = 1.0 $3.07 $4.38 $5.69 46
EPV $13.17 $15.01 $16.61 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $14.02 $18.70 $23.37 63
P/S Multiple $11.35 $15.13 $18.92 58
P/B Multiple $11.35 $15.13 $18.92 55
EV/EBIT $22.59 $29.62 $36.66 53
EV/EBITDA $26.20 $34.44 $42.67 54
EV/Revenue $16.55 $23.00 $29.46 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.61 $8.85 $13.21 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $8.77 $11.71 $15.63 80
Rev-Margin DCF $13.06 $20.54 $28.70 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.47 $10.89 $11.28 61
ROIC Compounder $13.17 $15.73 $18.76 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $10.98 $15.69 $20.40 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($18.70) versus Asset-Based ($8.85). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.8T
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.2%
Net margin 5.0%
Return on equity 8.1%
Free cash flow $68.5B FY2025
P/E ratio 15.2
More key figures
Operating margin 6.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.8900
Dividend yield 2.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.2%
Net cash $69.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Suntory Beverage & Food Limited engages in the production and distribution of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, and food products in Japan, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, and the Americas.

Full company description

Suntory Beverage & Food Limited engages in the production and distribution of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, and food products in Japan, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, and the Americas. The company manufactures and distributes mineral water, coffee drinks, tea drinks, carbonated drinks, sports drinks, health supplements, and food for specified health uses. It offers its products under various brands, including Tennensui, BOSSOrangina, Oasis, Lucozade, Ribena, Tea+, -196, Horoyoi, Kaku Highball, Canadian Club and Dry Ready to Drink Whisky, On The Rocks, SUI Gin & Soda, Kodawari Sakaba no Lemon Sour, ALL-FREE, Non-Al Sakaba Highball, Non-Al Sakaba Lemon Sour, Non-Al de Wine no Kyuujitsu, The Premium Malt's, Suntory Nama Beer, Kinmugi, V, and Essence of Chicken; health and wellness products under the Sesamin EX, Varon, Vistra, and Provamed; and wines under the SUNTORY-Tomi Red, SUNTORY-Tomi Koshu, and Château Lagrange brand names. The company also provides spirits under Hibiki, yamazaki, Hakushu, kakubin, Toki, jim Beam, Maker's Mark, Basil Hayden, Laphroaig, Bowmore, Roku, Haku, and Tres Generaciones brand names. In addition, it operates restaurants, events, and franchise stores; produces and sells tonkatsu; manufactures and sells ice cream; and engages in specialty trading. The company was founded in 1921 and is based in Minato, Japan. Suntory Beverage & Food Limited operates as a subsidiary of Suntory Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Suntory Beverage & Food Limited reported revenue of $1.7T in FY2025 versus $1.3T in FY2021, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was $88.7B in FY2025, compounding +6.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 71/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.7T
Latest YoY
+1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+4.3%
Revenue +7.8%/yr
FY21 $1.3T
FY22 $1.5T
FY23 $1.6T
FY24 $1.7T
FY25 $1.7T
Net income +6.6%/yr
FY21 $68.7B
FY22 $82.3B
FY23 $82.7B
FY24 $93.5B
FY25 $88.7B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Suntory Beverage & Food Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STBFY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 91 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside +25% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.2× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 67 · sector 28
FUTURE 56 · sector 46
PAST 32 · sector 49
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 58 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Coca-Cola Company KO $87.05 $36.57 -58%
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $139.02 $106.91 -23%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $97.50 $35.82 -63%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$41.44 HK$30.72 -26%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP €92.10 €85.41 -7%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $31.25 $30.99 -1%
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF $102.04 $106.45 +4%
Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE €57.90 €52.82 -9%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹495.70 ₹187.49 -62%
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥124.43 ¥107.57 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Suntory Beverage & Food Limited (STBFY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.46 versus a price of $14.77, about +25% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of STBFY?
Our model-based fair value for Suntory Beverage & Food Limited is $18.46 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $14.77.
What is the quality score of STBFY?
Suntory Beverage & Food Limited has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Suntory Beverage & Food Limited (STBFY)?
Suntory Beverage & Food Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8T (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of STBFY?
The net profit margin of Suntory Beverage & Food Limited is about 5.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Suntory Beverage & Food Limited pay a dividend?
Suntory Beverage & Food Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.89% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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