Stellantis NV (STLA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Stellantis NV stock $2.23, price $4.08, upside -45.3%, quality 37 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?No
Good quality?No
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.06 – $25.27 · fair‑value band $1.67 – $3.34 · the $4.08 price screens above the $2.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 27, 2026.
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Stellantis N.V. engages in the designing, engineering, manufacturing, distribution, and sale of automobiles and light commercial vehicles, engines, transmission systems, and mobility services worldwide.
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It provides luxury and premium vehicles; global sport utility vehicles; American and European brand vehicles, as well as parts and accessories.
The company also provides contract services; retail and dealer financing services; and vehicle leasing and rental services, as well as engages in after-market parts and service businesses and data businesses.
It offers its products under the Abarth, Alfa Romeo, Chrysler, Citroën, DS Automobiles, Dodge, Fiat, Jeep, Maserati, Ram Trucks, Opel, Lancia, Vauxhall, Peugeot, Free2move, Share Now, Leasys, and Comau brand names through distributors and dealers.
The company has a strategic collaboration with Microsoft Corporation for the development of AI initiatives across sales, customer care and operations.
The company operates in North America, France, Brazil, Italy, Germany, the United Kingdom, Turkiye, Spain, Argentina, Belgium, Austria, Netherlands, Portugal, Poland, Algeria, Morocco, Japan, China, and internationally. Stellantis N.V. was founded in 1899 and is based in Hoofddorp, the Netherlands.
Stock analysis
Stellantis NV (STLA) currently trades at $4.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.23, 45.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: $1.67 (bear) to $3.34 (bull), the price of $4.08 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Stellantis NV reported revenue of €180B in FY2025 versus €149B in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€26.3B in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $11.9B Large · P/S ratio 0.08 · EPS (TTM) $−8.73 · Net margin −14.6% · Return on equity −28.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8% · Operating margin 2.2% · Revenue (TTM) $161B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 11 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at −45%, STLA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$1.67Fair Value $2.23Bull$3.34
Price $4.08 · Upside -45.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.0% a year
Revenue growth 34 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.3% (2020) → −14.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
AI conclusion: Limited durable advantage arises from sustained negative margins and returns, while European battery-electric volume gains stand as the sole visible strength against sparse public evidence overall.
Main risk: Ongoing North American shipment declines after planned production downtime risk hitting overall volumes and profitability before European electric momentum can fully compensate.
Stellantis reported third-quarter shipments of 1.3 million units, down one percent year over year, as European volumes rose ten percent on battery-electric gains while North American shipments dropped twelve percent after planned production downtime. Full results arrive later this week against the backdrop of its turnaround plan. Our models see the stock as overvalued. Will the European electric momentum offset ongoing North American pressures?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 104 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−45.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−13.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−12.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)2.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)13.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)18.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.56× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.22× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.07× · Cheapest 25%
PEG0.85× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 49
FUTURE (revenue growth)66· sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)72· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 51
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Stellantis NV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STLA
Frequently asked questions
Is Stellantis NV (STLA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.23 versus a price of $4.08, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of STLA?
Our model-based fair value for Stellantis NV is $2.23 (as of Oct 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.08.
What is the quality score of STLA?
Stellantis NV has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Stellantis NV (STLA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.23 (as of Oct 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.67, optimistic scenario $3.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Stellantis NV stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.23, about −45% upside versus a price of $4.08 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.67, optimistic scenario $3.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Stellantis NV (STLA)?
Stellantis NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $161B (latest available figure, as of Oct 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Stellantis NV (STLA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Stellantis NV it is $2.23 per share (as of Oct 27, 2026), against a price of $4.08. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Stellantis NV stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, STLA trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.08, fair value $2.23, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of STLA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.23). For Stellantis NV the two are $1.85 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Stellantis NV worth?
The market values Stellantis NV at about $11.9B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 27, 2026). Per share that is $4.08; our models calculate a fair value of $2.23 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about STLA?
Our models span a range for Stellantis NV: cautious scenario $1.67, base $2.23, optimistic $3.34 per share (as of Oct 27, 2026, price $4.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of STLA?
The PEG ratio of Stellantis NV is 0.85 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Stellantis NV (STLA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Stellantis NV (as of Oct 27, 2026): return on equity −28.7%, debt of 0.56 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is STLA from its 52-week high?
Stellantis NV trades at $4.08, about 66% below its 52-week high of $12.12 and at the low of $4.06 (as of Oct 26, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.23 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Stellantis NV?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, Ferrari N.V, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Stellantis NV stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 27, 2026: price $4.08, calculated fair value $2.23 (−45%), Quality Score 37/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of STLA calculated?
We run Stellantis NV through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.23, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Stellantis NV itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Stellantis NV (STLA)?
The closing price on Oct 26, 2026 was $4.08. Our model-based fair value is $2.23, about −45% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Stellantis NV right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($1.67 to $3.34) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Stellantis NV (STLA) come from?
Earnings per share at Stellantis NV grew +24.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −3.1 %, EBIT margin +8.4 %, tax rate +5.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +11.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Stellantis NV
How large is the market capitalisation of Stellantis NV (STLA)?
The market capitalisation of Stellantis NV is $11.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Stellantis NV (STLA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Stellantis NV is 0.08 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Stellantis NV (STLA)?
Earnings per share at Stellantis NV are $−8.73. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Stellantis NV (STLA)?
The net margin of Stellantis NV is −14.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Stellantis NV (STLA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Stellantis NV is −28.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Stellantis NV (STLA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Stellantis NV is 3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Stellantis NV (STLA)?
The operating margin of Stellantis NV is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Stellantis NV (STLA)?
Revenue at Stellantis NV is growing +13.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Stellantis NV (STLA)?
Earnings per share at Stellantis NV are growing −45.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Stellantis NV (STLA) generate?
The free cash flow of Stellantis NV is −$16.2B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Stellantis NV (STLA) carry?
The net debt of Stellantis NV is $15.8B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 27, 2026