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STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of STMicroelectronics N.V stock €8.44, price €42.19, that is 80.0% below the price, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

22 models, one by oneBear €5.92 to bull €11.74 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 43/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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Technology DE · Based in Switzerland · ISIN NL0000226223

Thin data Nov 11, 2026

STMicroelectronics N.V

SGM · XETRA

Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 80% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt

Generates free cash flow

Revenue last quarter +26% vs. a year ago.

Quality 43/100

Thin margins · 3.6% net margin (TTM)

Fair value €8.44 · Strongly overvalued

Weak Growth (revenue 3y −8.7 %/yr in USD)

0.8% dividend yield · Pays more than it earns

Trails peers (5/13)

Narrow moat 29/100 · thin data

Thin data

Extreme value⟳ Cyclical

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩Dependence on Apple as key customer🚩Cheaper Chinese rivals in sensors and legacy chips

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €16.40 – €69.82 · fair‑value band €5.92 – €11.74 · the €42.19 price screens above the €8.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 11, 2026.

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Company profile

STMicroelectronics N.V., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific.

Show moreShow less

The company operates through Analog products, MEMS and Sensors Group (AM&S); Power and Discrete products (P&D); Embedded Processing ("EMP"); and RF Products (D&RF) segments.

It offers industrial application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) and application-specific standard products (ASSPs); power management solutions; custom analog ICs, wireless charging solutions; galvanic isolated gate and LED drivers; converters, transistors, intelligent power switches, clocks and timers, comparators, and current-sense amplifiers; micro-electro-mechanical systems (MEMS) sensors, including accelerometers, gyroscopes, magnetic sensors, pressure, temperature, presence detection, biosensors, machine learning, and edge AI processing smart sensors, as well as thermal and piezoelectric actuators; and optical sensing solutions.

The company also provides silicon MOSFETs, SiC MOSFETs, IGBTs, thyristors, rectifiers, and power modules and bipolar transistors; microcontrollers, and automotive microcontrollers and secured; radio frequency (RF) communications and ASICs; car infotainment products; ultra-wide band and radar systems; and Connected Security Products; and automotive driver assistance systems.

It serves automotive, industrial, personal electronics and communications equipment, and computers and peripherals markets. STMicroelectronics N.V. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Schiphol, the Netherlands.

Stock analysis

STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM) currently trades at €42.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €8.44, 80% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €6.99 per share, and 1 of the 22 models we run sit above the €42.19 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at €1.90, and 21 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €5.92 (bear) to €11.74 (bull), the price of €42.19 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

STMicroelectronics N.V reported revenue of $12.3B in FY2025 versus $12.8B in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was $173M in FY2025, compounding −45.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €39.1B Large · P/S ratio 3.02 · EPS (TTM) €0.0300 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 1.4% · Return on equity 2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 6.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 29 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 127% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −80%, SGM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (€1.89 to €49.14). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.

Bear €5.92 Fair Value €8.44 Bull €11.74

Price €42.19 · Downside -80.0%

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Best data coverage

FCF DCF €1.67 €1.89 €2.21 80

Growth DCF €1.69 €1.90 €2.18 78

EPV €2.48 €2.69 €2.88 74

All 22 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF €1.67 €1.89 €2.21 80

5Y Revenue Exit €3.00 €4.27 €5.94 71

5Y EBITDA Exit €17.38 €29.17 €43.11 72

5Y P/E Exit €3.18 €4.59 €6.07 69

10Y Revenue Exit €2.37 €3.36 €4.58 65

10Y EBITDA Exit €10.92 €19.16 €29.19 65

10Y P/E Exit €2.55 €3.57 €4.67 63

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd €1.19 €2.32 €2.90 64

EPV €2.48 €2.69 €2.88 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM €2.82 €3.83 €4.79 67

DDM Multi-Stage €2.82 €3.81 €4.89 65

Multiples

P/E Multiple €3.66 €4.88 €6.10 63

P/S Multiple €2.22 €2.96 €3.70 58

P/B Multiple €36.85 €49.14 €61.42 55

EV/EBIT €6.82 €8.85 €10.89 66

EV/EBITDA €31.65 €41.96 €52.27 67

EV/Revenue €3.80 €5.12 €6.44 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) €2.86 €4.34 €5.42 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF €1.69 €1.90 €2.18 78

Economic Profit

Residual Income €10.68 €11.16 €11.96 74

ROIC Compounder €2.48 €2.69 €2.88 70

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E €2.61 €3.72 €4.84 65

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 24

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 6

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 46

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 75

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 45

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 16

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Price momentum 51

Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 73

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 76

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100

Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Revenue growth 1 year

−7.4%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−8.7%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+3.7%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.9% a year

Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+4.2%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

−30.4%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−31.2%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−31.2% vs 1.7%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 3%

Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

SGM screens overvalued: fair value 80% below the price. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

Note from the team Oct 16, 2026

AI conclusion: STMicroelectronics benefits from its integrated device manufacturer setup providing tight supply-chain control and quality for new automotive sensors, yet faces challenges from ongoing soft demand in its larger industrial and auto segments.

Main risk: A loss of design wins or reduced orders from Apple, which accounted for 17.7 percent of 2025 revenues, could materially cut sales in personal electronics and other segments.

Bull case: The company could offset customer concentration and competitive pressure by expanding its AI data-centre and satellite businesses, where silicon photonics and power solutions are seeing strong demand from hyperscalers.

Bear case: If key customer relationships weaken and low-cost Asian rivals capture share in automotive and industrial markets, revenue in core segments could stagnate or decline, limiting overall growth despite newer opportunities.

STMicroelectronics just introduced an infrared image sensor designed to bring affordable in-cabin monitoring to more vehicle models. The move leverages its Integrated Device Manufacturer setup for tighter supply-chain control and quality. Models currently see the shares as overvalued. Does scaling this automotive sensing business deliver more growth than the company risks losing to still-soft demand in its larger industrial and auto segments?

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 397 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 43 · Below median

Fair Value upside −80.0% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (12 months) 2.7% · Below median

Return on assets 0.7% · Below median

Net margin (12 months) 3.6% · Below median

Operating margin (12 months) 6.9% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 26.1% · Above median

Dividend yield (12 months) 0.8% · Below median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.10× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.44× · Cheaper than median

P/S (12 months) 3.32× · Cheaper than median

EV/EBITDA 15.2× · Cheaper than median

PEG 0.18× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0

FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 100

PAST (return on equity)11 · sector 24

HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 96

DIVIDEND (yield)15 · sector 19

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
SK hynix Inc 000660	1,277,000 KRW	1,501,896 KRW	+18%	vs SGM
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA	$168.89	$185.78	+10%	vs SGM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM	$396.48	$427.48	+8%	vs SGM
Broadcom Inc AVGO	$331.98	$300.84	−9%	vs SGM
Intel Corporation INTC	$58.13	$52.14	−10%	vs SGM
Micron Technology, Inc MU	$725.11	$619.48	−15%	vs SGM
Analog Devices, Inc ADI	$393.30	$262.04	−33%	vs SGM
Marvell Technology, Inc MRVL	$154.39	$87.64	−43%	vs SGM
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD	$515.21	$148.02	−71%	vs SGM
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN	$300.52	$81.25	−73%	vs SGM

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Frequently asked questions

Is STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Nov 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €8.44 versus a price of €42.19, about 80% lower (overvalued).

What is the fair value of SGM?

Our model-based fair value for STMicroelectronics N.V is €8.44 (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €42.19.

What is the quality score of SGM?

STMicroelectronics N.V has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of €8.44 (as of Nov 11, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario €5.92, optimistic scenario €11.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the STMicroelectronics N.V stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at €8.44, about 80% lower versus a price of €42.19 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €5.92, optimistic scenario €11.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM)?

STMicroelectronics N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.1B (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).

Does STMicroelectronics N.V pay a dividend?

STMicroelectronics N.V currently shows a dividend yield of 0.77% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 11, 2026).

How much is the dividend of STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM) and when is the ex-dividend date?

STMicroelectronics N.V pays a dividend of €0.321 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.8%. The next ex-dividend date is Dec 14, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2019. The payout ratio is 185% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.13 times. Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.

What is the intrinsic value of STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For STMicroelectronics N.V it is €8.44 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of €42.19. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).

Is STMicroelectronics N.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Nov 11, 2026, SGM trades above its calculated fair value: price €42.19, fair value €8.44, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of SGM?

No. The price is what the market pays today (€42.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€8.44). For STMicroelectronics N.V the two are €33.75 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is STMicroelectronics N.V worth?

The market values STMicroelectronics N.V at about €39.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is €42.19; our models calculate a fair value of €8.44 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SGM?

Our models span a range for STMicroelectronics N.V: cautious scenario €5.92, base €8.44, optimistic €11.74 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price €42.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the PEG ratio of SGM?

The PEG ratio of STMicroelectronics N.V is 0.18 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 11, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.

How solid is the balance sheet of STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM)?

Balance-sheet figures for STMicroelectronics N.V (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity 2.7%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is SGM from its 52-week high?

STMicroelectronics N.V trades at €42.19, about 40% below its 52-week high of €69.82 and 127% above the low of €18.60 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €8.44 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to STMicroelectronics N.V?

From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is STMicroelectronics N.V stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price €42.19, calculated fair value €8.44 (−80%), Quality Score 43/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of SGM calculated?

We run STMicroelectronics N.V through 22 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €8.44 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. STMicroelectronics N.V itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM)?

The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was €42.19. Our model-based fair value is €8.44, about 80% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with STMicroelectronics N.V right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€11.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (€5.92 to €11.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of STMicroelectronics N.V

How large is the market capitalisation of STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM)?

The market capitalisation of STMicroelectronics N.V is €39.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM)?

The price-to-sales ratio of STMicroelectronics N.V is 3.02 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM)?

Earnings per share at STMicroelectronics N.V are €0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM)?

The dividend yield of STMicroelectronics N.V is 0.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM)?

The net margin of STMicroelectronics N.V is 1.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM)?

The return on equity (ROE) of STMicroelectronics N.V is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of STMicroelectronics N.V is 12.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM)?

The operating margin of STMicroelectronics N.V is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM)?

Revenue at STMicroelectronics N.V is growing +26.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM)?

Earnings per share at STMicroelectronics N.V are growing −33.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM) generate?

The free cash flow of STMicroelectronics N.V is $42.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net cash does STMicroelectronics N.V (SGM) hold?

STMicroelectronics N.V holds more cash than debt, $704M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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