Sucro Limited (SUGR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Sucro Limited C$27.93, price C$9.31, upside +200.0%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Sucro Limited for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.0792 – C$13.77 · fair‑value band C$11.58 – C$35.07 · the C$9.31 price screens below the C$27.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Follow Sucro in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Sucro is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Sucro Limited operates as wholesale sugar merchant in North America. The company operates in two segments, Trade and Services. The Trade segment focuses on sourcing, merchandising, and managing logistics of sugar.
Show more
Sucro Limited operates as wholesale sugar merchant in North America. The company operates in two segments, Trade and Services. The Trade segment focuses on sourcing, merchandising, and managing logistics of sugar. The Services segment provides tolling, such as refining, processing, handling, packaging, and quality assurance; and storage, and other services to the Trade segment. It also provides administrative, real estate, and storage and broker services; and operates as a sugar processor. The company serves wholesalers and food and beverage manufacturers. Sucro Limited was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida. Sucro Limited operates as a subsidiary of SC Americas Corp.
Stock analysis
Sucro Limited (SUGR) currently trades at C$9.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$27.93, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of C$78.30 per share, and 22 of the 23 models we run sit above the C$9.31 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$5.89, and 1 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: C$11.58 (bear) to C$35.07 (bull), the price of C$9.31 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Sucro Limited reported revenue of $669M in FY2025 versus $270M in FY2021, a compound +25.4%/yr. Reported net income was $40.5M in FY2025, compounding +21.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap C$224M (≈ $158M) · P/E ratio 5.1 · P/S ratio 0.31 · EPS (TTM) C$1.85 · Net margin 6.1% · Return on equity 17.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 38.7% · Operating margin 8.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at 200%, SUGR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$11.58Fair Value C$27.93Bull C$35.07
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$1.36 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+338.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +72.2% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+72.2%
’15
’16
’17
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ −13.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−575% → 9%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 71% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+72.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +69.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 81 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+200% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.43× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sucro Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SUGR
Frequently asked questions
Is Sucro Limited (SUGR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$27.93 versus a price of C$9.31, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SUGR?
Our model-based fair value for Sucro Limited is C$27.93 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$9.31.
What is the quality score of SUGR?
Sucro Limited has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sucro Limited (SUGR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$27.93 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$11.58, optimistic scenario C$35.07. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sucro Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$27.93, about +200% upside versus a price of C$9.31 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$11.58, optimistic scenario C$35.07. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sucro Limited (SUGR)?
Sucro Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$662M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sucro Limited (SUGR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sucro Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +72.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +338.4 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SUGR use?
Our models discount Sucro Limited at 12.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sucro Limited that is +72.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sucro Limited (SUGR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sucro Limited grew +338.4 % a year. The price currently implies +72.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sucro Limited (SUGR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sucro Limited (+72.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sucro Limited (SUGR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.92 %: that much free cash flow Sucro Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sucro Limited (SUGR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sucro Limited it is C$27.93 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$9.31. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sucro Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SUGR trades below its calculated fair value: price C$9.31, fair value C$27.93, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SUGR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$9.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$27.93). For Sucro Limited the two are C$18.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sucro Limited worth?
The market values Sucro Limited at about C$224M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$9.31; our models calculate a fair value of C$27.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SUGR?
Our models span a range for Sucro Limited: cautious scenario C$11.58, base C$27.93, optimistic C$35.07 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$9.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SUGR?
Sucro Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$27.93 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 4.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sucro Limited (SUGR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sucro Limited (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 17.2%, debt of 0.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SUGR from its 52-week high?
Sucro Limited trades at C$9.31, about 31% below its 52-week high of C$13.50 and 14% above the low of C$8.17 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$27.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sucro Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sucro Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$9.31, calculated fair value C$27.93 (+200%), Quality Score 39/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SUGR calculated?
We run Sucro Limited through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$27.93, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Sucro Limited currently trades 200 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sucro Limited (SUGR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was C$9.31. Our model-based fair value is C$27.93, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sucro Limited right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$11.58). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (C$11.58 to C$35.07). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Sucro Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Sucro Limited (SUGR)?
The market capitalisation of Sucro Limited is C$224M (≈ $158M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sucro Limited (SUGR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sucro Limited is 0.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sucro Limited (SUGR)?
Earnings per share at Sucro Limited are C$1.85 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sucro Limited (SUGR)?
The net margin of Sucro Limited is 6.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sucro Limited (SUGR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sucro Limited is 17.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sucro Limited (SUGR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sucro Limited is 38.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sucro Limited (SUGR)?
The operating margin of Sucro Limited is 8.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sucro Limited (SUGR)?
Revenue at Sucro Limited is growing −4.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sucro Limited (SUGR)?
Earnings per share at Sucro Limited are growing −56.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sucro Limited (SUGR) carry?
The net debt of Sucro Limited is C$328M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Sucro Limited in the live analysis
One click puts Sucro Limited on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Thin data
Sep 23, 2026