Sucro Limited (SUGR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CA · Market cap C$229M
Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 36 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026, revised from C$61.98 to C$29.31 (−52.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −10.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 194% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$21.98). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.0792 – C$13.77 · fair‑value band C$21.98 – C$36.64 · the C$9.96 price screens below the C$29.31 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.
Analysis
Sucro Limited (SUGR) currently trades at C$9.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$29.31, implying the stock looks roughly 194.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sucro Limited generated revenue of C$662M at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue declined 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.2%. Net debt stands at C$328M. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$21.98 (bear case) to C$36.64 (bull case); at C$9.96, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 194%, SUGR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$78.30) versus Asset-Based (C$5.89). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sucro Limited operates as wholesale sugar merchant in North America. The company operates in two segments, Trade and Services. The Trade segment focuses on sourcing, merchandising, and managing logistics of sugar.
Full company description
Sucro Limited operates as wholesale sugar merchant in North America. The company operates in two segments, Trade and Services. The Trade segment focuses on sourcing, merchandising, and managing logistics of sugar. The Services segment provides tolling, such as refining, processing, handling, packaging, and quality assurance; and storage, and other services to the Trade segment. It also provides administrative, real estate, and storage and broker services; and operates as a sugar processor. The company serves wholesalers and food and beverage manufacturers. Sucro Limited was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida. Sucro Limited operates as a subsidiary of SC Americas Corp.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sucro Limited reported revenue of C$669M in FY2025 versus C$270M in FY2021, a compound +25.4%/yr. Reported net income was C$40.5M in FY2025, compounding +21.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Confectioners · 75 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 96,500 | CHF 9,874 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $61.00 | $27.68 | -55% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $170.27 | $91.25 | -46% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,100 | CHF 711.91 | -35% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 127,100 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +60% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.50 | $21.81 | -45% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥18.81 | ¥9.83 | -48% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 48.88 | kr 59.12 | +21% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹586.20 | ₹304.54 | -48% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,320 IDR | 1,286 IDR | -3% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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