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Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited $34.00, price $12.99, upside +161.7%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Sep 29, 2026
Some data
Sep 29, 2026
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited
SUHJF · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value $34.00 · Strongly undervalued (+161.7%)
!Quality 57/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.7 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 23.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 51/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $10.99 to $62.35
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.36 – $19.16 · fair‑value band $10.99 – $62.35 · the $12.99 price screens below the $34.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, an investment holding company, develops and invests in properties for sale and rent in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and internationally. It develops, sells, and leases properties, including residential estates, offices, shopping malls, and hotels and serviced suites.
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Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, an investment holding company, develops and invests in properties for sale and rent in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and internationally. It develops, sells, and leases properties, including residential estates, offices, shopping malls, and hotels and serviced suites. The company also provides property management services; construction-related services, including landscaping, electrical and mechanical installation, production and installation of wooden doors, and construction plant and machinery leasing; and insurance products to individuals and businesses comprising householder's comprehensive, fire, employees' compensation, travel, personal accident, motor vehicles, contractors' all risks, third party liability, and property all risks. In addition, it offers public bus, car parks, toll roads, and retail department stores services; data centre, facilities management, and value-added services; general insurance; and airport freight forwarding services. Further, the company provides insurance and mortgage services; mobile telephone, data centres, and IT infrastructure services; and transport infrastructure operation and management, port, and air transport and logistic services, as well as Internet of Things (IoT) solutions. Additionally, it offers mobile telephone system operation services; asset and project management services; loan financing; fire prevention and mechanical engineering services; architectural and engineering services; property and facility management services; business aviation centre services; real estate and general agency services; and secretarial services, as well as manufactures and sells ready mixed and precast concrete. The company also engages in the hotel operation business. The company was formerly known as Sun Hung Kai (Holdings) Limited and changed its name to Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited in March 1973. Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF) currently trades at $12.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.00, implying the stock looks roughly 61.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $150.89 per share, and 12 of the 14 models we run sit above the $12.99 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $6.36, and 2 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $10.99 (bear) to $62.35 (bull), the price of $12.99 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited reported revenue of $79.7B in FY2025 versus $85.3B in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was $19.3B in FY2025, compounding −7.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $41.4B · P/E ratio 13.4 · P/S ratio 3.24 · EPS (TTM) $0.9700 · Net margin 24.2% · Return on equity 3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% · Operating margin 24.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 162%, SUHJF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $10.99
Fair Value $34.00
Bull $62.35
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
n/a
n/a
$8.41
77
Residual Income
$155.63
$150.89
$151.88
76
Growth DCF
n/a
n/a
$7.15
75
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
n/a
n/a
$8.41
77
5Y Revenue Exit
$17.75
$55.45
$102.28
68
5Y EBITDA Exit
$34.28
$84.58
$140.86
72
10Y Revenue Exit
$2.55
$33.82
$73.02
59
10Y EBITDA Exit
$15.17
$53.41
$100.90
63
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$4.39
$6.98
$9.87
68
DDM Multi-Stage
$4.39
$6.36
$8.58
67
Multiples
P/S Multiple
$84.82
$113.09
$141.36
58
P/B Multiple
$84.82
$113.09
$141.36
55
EV/EBIT
$108.99
$158.49
$207.99
65
EV/EBITDA
$78.12
$117.32
$156.52
66
EV/Revenue
$42.40
$77.50
$112.59
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$106.61
$142.85
$213.22
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
n/a
n/a
$7.15
75
Rev-Margin DCF
$17.75
$55.23
$94.30
69
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$155.63
$150.89
$151.88
76
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
57/100
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Profitability
32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.8% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.7%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−6.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6.3% vs −5.2%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.43% → 33%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.1% a year for the price and +0.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+3.4%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.9%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 577 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Real Estate sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Real Estate
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Resources Land Limited 1109 | HK$28.64 | HK$71.60 | +150% |
| CK Asset Holdings 1113 | HK$45.90 | HK$71.49 | +56% |
| Hongkong Land Holdings H78 | $8.57 | $1.52 | −82% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹658.40 | ₹167.48 | −75% |
| China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 | HK$12.42 | HK$22.33 | +80% |
| Sino Land Company 0083 | HK$9.94 | HK$7.28 | −27% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,165 | ₹274.14 | −76% |
| Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 | ¥5.77 | ¥5.87 | +2% |
| China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 | ¥7.18 | ¥6.04 | −16% |
| The Wharf (Holdings) Limited 0004 | HK$19.39 | HK$8.31 | −57% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $34.00 versus a price of $12.99, about +162% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SUHJF?
Our model-based fair value for Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is $34.00 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.99.
What is the quality score of SUHJF?
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $34.00 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.99, optimistic scenario $62.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $34.00, about +162% upside versus a price of $12.99 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $10.99, optimistic scenario $62.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF)?
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $92.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +15.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.7 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SUHJF use?
Our models discount Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited at 8.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.83, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited that is +15.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited grew -0.7 % a year. The price currently implies +15.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (+15.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.16 %: that much free cash flow Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited it is $34.00 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $12.99. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, SUHJF trades below its calculated fair value: price $12.99, fair value $34.00, a gap of about +162% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SUHJF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.99); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($34.00). For Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited the two are $21.01 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited worth?
The market values Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited at about $41.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $12.99; our models calculate a fair value of $34.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SUHJF?
Our models span a range for Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited: cautious scenario $10.99, base $34.00, optimistic $62.35 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $12.99). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SUHJF?
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.4 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $34.00 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.0.
What is the PEG ratio of SUHJF?
The PEG ratio of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is 1.02 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 3.7%, debt of 0.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SUHJF from its 52-week high?
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited trades at $12.99, about 32% below its 52-week high of $19.16 and 23% above the low of $10.60 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $34.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $12.99, calculated fair value $34.00 (+162%), Quality Score 57/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SUHJF calculated?
We run Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $34.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited currently trades 62 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $12.99. Our model-based fair value is $34.00, about +162% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($10.99 to $62.35). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF) come from?
Earnings per share at Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited grew −5.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.8 %, EBIT margin +1.0 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −5.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF)?
The market capitalisation of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is $41.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is 3.24 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF)?
Earnings per share at Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited are $0.9700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF)?
The net margin of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is 24.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF)?
The operating margin of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is 24.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF)?
Revenue at Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is growing +32.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF)?
Earnings per share at Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited are growing +36.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (SUHJF) carry?
The net debt of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is $110B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 24.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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