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SURVF fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 27, 2026: fair value of SURVF $0.80, price $1.08, upside -25.9%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
SURVF
SURVF · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value $0.8000 · Overvalued (−25.9%)
✓Quality 64/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +5.7 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 29.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!6.5% dividend yield · Pays more than it earns
!Moderate moat 58/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.5360 – $1.22 · fair‑value band $0.6000 – $1.00 · the $1.08 price screens above the $0.8000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Suntec Real Estate Investment Trust holds properties in Suntec City.
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Suntec Real Estate Investment Trust holds properties in Suntec City. It is Singapore's largest integrated commercial development (including one of Singapore largest shopping malls), a 66.3% interest in the Suntec Singapore Convention & Exhibition Centre, a one third interest in One Raffles Quay, and a one third interest in Marina Bay Financial Centre Towers 1 and 2 and the Marina Bay Link Mall; Suntec REIT also holds a 100% interest in a commercial building located at 177 Pacific Highway, Sydney, a 100% interest in a commercial building located at 21 Harris Street, Pyrmont, Sydney, a 50.0% interest in the Southgate Complex, Melbourne, a 50.0% interest in a commercial building in Olderfleet 477 Collins Street, Melbourne, and a 100% interest in a commercial building located at 55 Currie Street, Adelaide, Australia, and further holds a 50.0% interest in Nova Properties and a 100% interest in The Minster Building, both located in London, United Kingdom; Suntec REIT is managed by an external manager, ESR Trust Management (Suntec) Limited (formerly known as ARA Trust Management (Suntec) Limited). Suntec Real Estate Investment Trust was incorporated on November 1st, 2004 in Singapore.
Stock analysis
SURVF (SURVF) currently trades at $1.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8000, 25.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $1.18 per share, and 2 of the 12 models we run sit above the $1.08 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $0.1000, and 10 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $0.6000 (bear) to $1.00 (bull), the price of $1.08 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
SURVF reported revenue of 490M SGD in FY2025 versus 461M SGD in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was 178M SGD in FY2025, compounding −21.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $3.3B · P/E ratio 26.8 · P/S ratio 9.72 · EPS (TTM) $0.0400 · Dividend yield 6.5% · Net margin 36.3% · Return on equity 2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −26%, SURVF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.6000
Fair Value $0.8000
Bull $1.00
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
n/a
$0.2400
$0.7500
77
Residual Income
$1.21
$1.18
$1.19
76
Growth DCF
n/a
$0.2400
$0.6800
75
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
n/a
$0.2400
$0.7500
77
5Y Revenue Exit
n/a
n/a
$0.2500
69
5Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
$0.1000
>$0.4000
72
10Y Revenue Exit
n/a
n/a
$0.2800
64
10Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
$0.0900
>$0.3600
65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.4400
$0.7600
$1.13
67
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.4400
$0.6500
$0.8700
67
Multiples
P/S Multiple
$0.6000
$0.8000
$1.00
58
P/B Multiple
$0.6000
$0.8000
$1.00
55
EV/EBIT
n/a
$0.3000
$0.6300
61
EV/EBITDA
n/a
$0.0100
>$0.0400
62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.8500
$1.14
$1.69
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
n/a
$0.2400
$0.6800
75
Rev-Margin DCF
n/a
n/a
$0.1700
69
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$1.21
$1.18
$1.19
76
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
64/100
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Profitability
31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.0% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−5.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−12.1% vs −4.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.54% → 46%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in SGD, Singapore: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.1% a year for the price and −0.6% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−1.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.3%
Projected 2028 (sales)+2.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.2%
SURVF screens overvalued: fair value 26% below the price. Compare with Goodman Group →
Compare SURVF with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Diversified · 153 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Real Estate sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Real Estate
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goodman Group GMG | A$25.91 | A$12.61 | −51% |
| VICI Properties Inc VICI | $23.51 | $58.78 | +150% |
| W. P. Carey Inc WPC | $63.83 | $69.91 | +10% |
| Stockland SGP | A$4.02 | A$4.12 | +2% |
| The GPT Group GPT | A$4.41 | A$3.49 | −21% |
| Charter Hall Group CHC | A$17.63 | A$3.25 | −82% |
| COV COV | €46.38 | €39.78 | −14% |
| Mirvac Group MGR | A$1.72 | A$2.05 | +20% |
| Broadstone Net Lease, Inc BNL | $18.91 | $18.42 | −3% |
| KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS | 8.52 MYR | 4.22 MYR | −50% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is SURVF overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8000 versus the last price from Jul 27, 2026 of $1.08, about −26% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SURVF?
Our model-based fair value for SURVF is $0.8000 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 27, 2026): $1.08.
What is the quality score of SURVF?
SURVF has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SURVF?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.8000 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.6000, optimistic scenario $1.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SURVF stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.8000, about −26% upside versus the last price from Jul 27, 2026 of $1.08 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.6000, optimistic scenario $1.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SURVF?
SURVF reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 600M SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does SURVF pay a dividend?
SURVF currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.48% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into SURVF?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SURVF would have to grow free cash flow by +17.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SURVF use?
Our models discount SURVF at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.26, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SURVF that is +17.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SURVF delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SURVF grew +5.7 % a year. The price currently implies +17.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SURVF growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SURVF (+17.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SURVF?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.00 %: that much free cash flow SURVF produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SURVF?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SURVF it is $0.8000 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.08. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SURVF stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SURVF trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.08, fair value $0.8000, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SURVF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.8000). For SURVF the two are $0.2800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SURVF worth?
The market values SURVF at about $3.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.08; our models calculate a fair value of $0.8000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SURVF?
Our models span a range for SURVF: cautious scenario $0.6000, base $0.8000, optimistic $1.00 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SURVF?
SURVF trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.8000 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.1, P/B 0.5, P/S 5.5, EV/EBITDA 18.7.
What is the PEG ratio of SURVF?
The PEG ratio of SURVF is 2.12 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of SURVF?
Balance-sheet figures for SURVF (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.8%, debt of 0.62 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SURVF from its 52-week high?
SURVF trades at $1.08, about 12% below its 52-week high of $1.22 and 26% above the low of $0.8600 (as of Jul 27, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.8000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SURVF?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Goodman Group, VICI Properties Inc, W. P. Carey Inc, Stockland, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SURVF stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.08, calculated fair value $0.8000 (−26%), Quality Score 64/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SURVF calculated?
We run SURVF through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.8000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SURVF itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SURVF?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 27, 2026 and stands at $1.08. Our model-based fair value is $0.8000, about −26% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SURVF right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of SURVF come from?
Earnings per share at SURVF grew −6.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.5 %, EBIT margin −0.6 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −9.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of SURVF
How large is the market capitalisation of SURVF?
The market capitalisation of SURVF is $3.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SURVF?
The price-to-sales ratio of SURVF is 9.72 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SURVF?
Earnings per share at SURVF are $0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SURVF?
The dividend yield of SURVF is 6.5% (payout 175%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SURVF?
The net margin of SURVF is 36.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SURVF?
The return on equity (ROE) of SURVF is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SURVF?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SURVF is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SURVF?
The operating margin of SURVF is 64.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SURVF?
Revenue at SURVF is growing +16.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SURVF?
Earnings per share at SURVF are growing +561% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does SURVF carry?
The net debt of SURVF is 4.3B SGD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 22.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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