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Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Software Acquisition Group III Inc $1.05, price $1.54, upside -31.8%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? Yes
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Communication Services · US · ISIN US86260J1025

Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Software Acquisition Group III Inc

SWAG · US

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value $1.05 · Overvalued (−32%)

✓Quality 69/100

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +25.2 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 0.3% net margin (TTM)

!Low debt · negative free cash flow

!Trails peers (4/11)

!Narrow moat 19/100

!Insider activity 40/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on past: 5 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear $0.7000 to bull $1.32 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 69/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

58‑month range $0.7653 – $6.50 · fair‑value band $0.7000 – $1.32 · the $1.54 price screens above the $1.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Stran & Company, Inc. provides outsourced marketing solutions in the United States, Canada, and Europe. It operates through Stran & Company, Inc. (Stran) and Stran Loyalty Solutions, LLC (SLS) segments. The company offers custom sourcing solutions; e-commerce solutions; creative and merchandising services; warehousing/fulfillment and distribution; print-on-demand; kitting; and point of sale displays. It also provides corporate promotional marketing programs for clients across various industry verticals; loyalty and incentive programs; and commercial and digital printing solutions. In addition, the company offers Magento Open Source, a custom-developed e-commerce platform that includes management of marketing programs and links branded merchandise, print, event assets, customer relationship management, loyalty, and incentives. It serves the pharmaceutical and healthcare, manufacturing, gaming, technology, finance, construction, and consumer goods industries. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Quincy, Massachusetts.

Stock analysis

Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG) currently trades at $1.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.05, implying the stock looks roughly 46.7% overvalued today.

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.7000 (bear) to $1.32 (bull), the price of $1.54 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Software Acquisition Group III Inc reported revenue of $116M in FY2025 versus $39.7M in FY2021, a compound +30.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$747K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $42.2M · P/E ratio 77.0 · P/S ratio 0.36 · EPS (TTM) $0.0200 · Net margin −0.6% · Return on equity 1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.5% · Operating margin 2.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 20% fair-value upside, at −32%, SWAG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.7000 Fair Value $1.05 Bull $1.32

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0146 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

NCAV (Graham) $0.8100 $1.09 $1.62 54

All 1 models by family

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $0.8100 $1.09 $1.62 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 13

Profitability 46

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 85

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 34

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 85

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 100

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 0

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 23

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 10

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 92

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100

The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Revenue growth 1 year

+40.6%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+26.1%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+25.2%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+25.1%

’19

’20

’21

’22

’23

’24

’25

Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

3.9% (2020) → −1.7% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

SWAG screens 47% overvalued. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 197 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%

Fair Value upside −32% · Below median

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median

Return on assets −1% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 9% · Above median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.00× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 77.0× · Priciest 25%

P/B 1.38× · Pricier than median

P/S (TTM) 0.36× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 34

FUTURE (revenue growth)45 · sector 11

PAST (return on equity)5 · sector 9

HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 59

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP	$315.25	$346.78	+10%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB	€97.66	€146.36	+50%
Omnicom Group OMC	$75.49	$110.54	+46%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027	¥4.75	¥5.71	+20%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD	$12.68	$47.32	+273%
Leo Group 002131	¥4.66	¥1.14	−76%
JCDecaux SE DEC	€25.10	€20.99	−16%
WPP plc WPP	$25.71	$41.10	+60%
Magnite, Inc MGNI	$24.80	$27.28	+10%
Ströer SE SAX	€37.22	€41.69	+12%

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Software Acquisition Group III Inc · Fair Value
$1.05 −47%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SWAG" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Software Acquisition Group III Inc · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">$1.05</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−47%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Software Acquisition Group III Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SWAG

Frequently asked questions

Is Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.05 versus a price of $1.54, about −32% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of SWAG?

Our model-based fair value for Software Acquisition Group III Inc is $1.05 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.54.

What is the quality score of SWAG?

Software Acquisition Group III Inc has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.05 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.7000, optimistic scenario $1.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Software Acquisition Group III Inc stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $1.05, about −32% upside versus a price of $1.54 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.7000, optimistic scenario $1.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG)?

Software Acquisition Group III Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $119M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Software Acquisition Group III Inc it is $1.05 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1.54. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Software Acquisition Group III Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 23, 2026, SWAG trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.54, fair value $1.05, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of SWAG?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.54); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.05). For Software Acquisition Group III Inc the two are $0.4900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Software Acquisition Group III Inc worth?

The market values Software Acquisition Group III Inc at about $42.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.54; our models calculate a fair value of $1.05 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SWAG?

Our models span a range for Software Acquisition Group III Inc: cautious scenario $0.7000, base $1.05, optimistic $1.32 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1.54). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of SWAG?

Software Acquisition Group III Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 77.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.05 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 0.4.

How solid is the balance sheet of Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG)?

Balance-sheet figures for Software Acquisition Group III Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 1.3%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is SWAG from its 52-week high?

Software Acquisition Group III Inc trades at $1.54, about 54% below its 52-week high of $3.35 and 3% above the low of $1.50 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.05 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Software Acquisition Group III Inc?

From the same area (Communication Services) we also value AppLovin Corporation, Publicis Groupe S.A, Omnicom Group, Focus Media Information Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Software Acquisition Group III Inc stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1.54, calculated fair value $1.05 (−32%), Quality Score 69/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of SWAG calculated?

We run Software Acquisition Group III Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.05, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Software Acquisition Group III Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG)?

The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $1.54. Our model-based fair value is $1.05, about −32% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Software Acquisition Group III Inc right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($0.7000 to $1.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Software Acquisition Group III Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG)?

The market capitalisation of Software Acquisition Group III Inc is $42.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Software Acquisition Group III Inc is 0.36 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG)?

Earnings per share at Software Acquisition Group III Inc are $0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 77.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG)?

The net margin of Software Acquisition Group III Inc is −0.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Software Acquisition Group III Inc is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Software Acquisition Group III Inc is −4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG)?

The operating margin of Software Acquisition Group III Inc is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG)?

Revenue at Software Acquisition Group III Inc is growing +8.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +26.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG)?

Earnings per share at Software Acquisition Group III Inc are growing −3.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG) generate?

The free cash flow of Software Acquisition Group III Inc is −$5.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net cash does Software Acquisition Group III Inc (SWAG) hold?

Software Acquisition Group III Inc holds more cash than debt, $4.0M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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