Sword Group (SWP) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · FR · Market cap €278M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from €38.17 to €35.61 (−6.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 12% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (€19.81 to €50.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from €19.81 (bear) to €50.39 (bull), base €35.61. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €24.04 – €39.61 · fair‑value band €19.81 – €50.39 · the €31.70 price screens below the €35.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Sword Group (SWP) currently trades at €31.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €35.61, implying the stock looks roughly 12.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sword Group generated revenue of €358M at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue grew 9.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.2%. Net debt stands at €43.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €19.81 (bear case) to €50.39 (bull case); at €31.70, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 12%, SWP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€40.31) versus Asset-Based (€5.29). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when SWP reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sword Group S.E. provides IT and software solutions in Luxembourg, Europe, and Asia. The company offers digital services, comprising software and agile product development, DevOps, application modernization, and quality assurance; data and AI services, consisting of predictive analytics, data integration and visualization, dashboards and reports, modern …
Full company description
Sword Group S.E. provides IT and software solutions in Luxembourg, Europe, and Asia. The company offers digital services, comprising software and agile product development, DevOps, application modernization, and quality assurance; data and AI services, consisting of predictive analytics, data integration and visualization, dashboards and reports, modern data platform, and data hubs; digital workplace services, including digital ways of working, change management and adoption, benefits realization, device management, and Microsoft 365 implementation and migration, as well as collaboration, communication, and productivity; and platform and security services, such as hybrid cloud, cloud platform implementation and migration, data center and hosting, cloud and cyber security, hardware, network, and virtual apps and desktops. It also provides digital transformation services, comprising service management, digital strategy, data-driven decision-making, front-line workers, process digitalization, operating in the cloud, project and programme delivery; managed services, such as service desk and application outsourcing, platform and application support, application hosting management; Microsoft managed services, Azure migration, and ISV onboarding to Azure; and information management services, including information governance, records management, data loss prevention, and content and migration services, as well as engineering, and subsurface data, and information management. In addition, the company offers Sword Phusion, an engineering information management software; Sword Tell, a CAD software for watch manufacturers; Sword Venue, a toolbox that helps to plan and deliver venues; Sword Aequos for data viewing and filtering experiences; and Sword Webtransfer to deliver large files. Sword Group S.E. was founded in 2000 and is based in Windhof, Luxembourg.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sword Group reported revenue of €358M in FY2025 versus €215M in FY2021, a compound +13.6%/yr. Reported net income was €19.0M in FY2025, compounding +1.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +9.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch SWP: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
Compare Sword Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Technology stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Sword Group (SWP) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of SWP?
What is the quality score of SWP?
What is the revenue of Sword Group (SWP)?
What is the net profit margin of SWP?
Does Sword Group pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Sword Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.