Supremex Inc (SXP) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CA · Market cap C$87.1M

A solid business, screening 128% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$6.30). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$1.49 – C$5.95 · fair‑value band C$6.30 – C$10.50 · the C$3.68 price screens below the C$8.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Supremex Inc (SXP) currently trades at C$3.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$8.40, implying the stock looks roughly 128.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Supremex Inc generated revenue of C$279M at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue grew 6.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. Net debt stands at C$198M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$6.30 (bear case) to C$10.50 (bull case); at C$3.68, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 128%, SXP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$8.65) versus Earnings-Based (C$2.60). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Supremex Inc. manufactures and markets envelopes, and paper-based packaging solutions and specialty products in Canada and the United States. The company operates through two segments: Envelope and Packaging & Specialty Products.

Full company description

Supremex Inc. manufactures and markets envelopes, and paper-based packaging solutions and specialty products in Canada and the United States. The company operates through two segments: Envelope and Packaging & Specialty Products. It offers custom packaging solutions, including e-commerce packaging, folding cartons, and record packaging solutions; mailers; envelops, such as stock, custom, high efficiency, direct mail, machine insertable paperboard mailers, peel-it-seal-it envelopes, digital window, antimicrobial, EnviroSafe, Extended, integrated, photo packaging, conformer mailers. The company also provides custom pressure-sensitive labels, tags, pouches, film lamination, cold foil application, expanded content labels, membership cards, repositionable notes, and label substrates. In addition, It provides commercial printing services, including printing, packaging and displays, finishing, and large format services. The company serves insurance companies, financial intuitions, direct mail, presentation, display, promotional print, and packaging solutions sectors; and apparel and ecommerce packaging, food and beverages, fulfillment, nutraceutical, personal care and beauty, pharmaceutical, and wine and spirits packaging industries, as well as corporations, direct mailers, resellers, government entities, small and medium sized enterprises, and solution providers. Supremex Inc. was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Lasalle, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Supremex Inc reported revenue of C$275M in FY2025 versus C$226M in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was C$12.0M in FY2025, compounding −6.5%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.