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Sypris Solutions, Inc (SYPR) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $57.3M

SS Sypris Solutions, Inc logo Sypris Solutions, Inc SYPR · US
Price$2.04
Fair Value$0.5200
Upside-74.5%
Quality33/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -8.2% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.3900 – $0.7700 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $3.09 to $0.5200 (−83.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 75% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.3900 to $0.7700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$4.26 $1.29 Fair Value $0.5200 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.29 – $4.26 · fair‑value band $0.3900 – $0.7700 · the $2.04 price screens above the $0.5200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Sypris Solutions, Inc (SYPR) currently trades at $2.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5200, implying the stock looks roughly 74.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sypris Solutions, Inc generated revenue of $116M at a net margin of -8.2%. Revenue declined 12.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -58.3%. Net debt stands at $19.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.3900 (bear case) to $0.7700 (bull case); at $2.04, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -75%, SYPR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.3900 $0.5200 $0.7700 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3900 $0.5200 $0.7700 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $116M
Revenue growth (YoY) -12.5%
Net margin -8.2%
Return on equity -58.3%
Free cash flow −$6.5M FY2025
Operating margin -14.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.4200
EPS growth (YoY) +17.8%
Net debt $19.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sypris Solutions, Inc. provides truck components, oil and gas pipeline components, and aerospace and defense electronics in North America. It operates in two segments, Sypris Technologies and Sypris Electronics.

Full company description

Sypris Solutions, Inc. provides truck components, oil and gas pipeline components, and aerospace and defense electronics in North America. It operates in two segments, Sypris Technologies and Sypris Electronics. The Sypris Technologies segment sells forged, machined, and welded and heat-treated steel components for commercial vehicles, off highway vehicle, recreational vehicle, automotive, industrial, light truck, and energy markets; and produces drive train components, including axle shafts, transmission shafts, gear sets, steer axle knuckles, and other components for automotive, truck, and recreational vehicle manufacturers. This segment also provides offers value added operations for drive train assemblies; and manufactures pressurized closures, insulated joints, and other fabricated and specialty products for oil and gas, water pipelines, and miscellaneous industrial applications. The Sypris Electronics segment provides circuit card and box build manufacturing, systems assembly and integration, design for manufacturability, and design to specification work services to customers in the market for aerospace and defense, communications, and space electronics; and circuit card assemblies for electronic sensors and systems, including radar systems, tactical ground stations, navigation systems, weapons systems, and targeting and warning systems. The company also offers value-added solutions, such as low-volume prototype assembly and high-volume turnkey manufacturing; and engineering design and repair or inspection services. Sypris Solutions, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sypris Solutions, Inc reported revenue of $120M in FY2025 versus $97.4M in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$120M
Latest YoY
−14.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.6%
Revenue +5.3%/yr
FY21 $97.4M
FY22 $110M
FY23 $136M
FY24 $140M
FY25 $120M
Net income
FY21 $2.9M
FY22 −$2.5M
FY23 −$1.6M
FY24 −$1.7M
FY25 −$6.3M

SYPR screens 75% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sypris Solutions, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SYPR

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -15% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -13% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.72× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.22× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.49× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.28× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 64 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

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Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sypris Solutions, Inc (SYPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5200 versus a price of $2.04, about −75% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SYPR?
Our model-based fair value for Sypris Solutions, Inc is $0.5200 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.04.
What is the quality score of SYPR?
Sypris Solutions, Inc has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sypris Solutions, Inc (SYPR)?
Sypris Solutions, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $116M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SYPR?
The net profit margin of Sypris Solutions, Inc is about -8.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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