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Data-driven stock valuation

Suzuki Motor Corp ADR (SZKMY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Suzuki Motor Corp ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $22.4B · ISIN US86959X1072

At a glance

SM Suzuki Motor Corp ADR logo Suzuki Motor Corp ADR SZKMY · US
Price$53.05
Fair Value$69.56
Upside+31.1%
Quality57/100

A solid business, trading 24% below our fair value of $69.56.

As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Suzuki Motor Corp ADR is $69.56 per share against a price of $53.05, so the fair value sits 31% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +16.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.0% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·2.41% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (12/14)
!Moderate moat 52/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Medium Range $43.10 to $89.63

Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $131.90 to $69.56 (−47.3%) since Sep 5, 2026. Share price +9.6% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($43.10 to $89.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$61.93 $23.05 Fair Value $69.56 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $23.05 – $61.93 · fair‑value band $43.10 – $89.63 · the $53.05 price screens below the $69.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Suzuki Motor Corp ADR (SZKMY) currently trades at $53.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $69.56, implying the stock looks roughly 23.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $130.89 per share, and 21 of the 24 models we run sit above the $53.05 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $32.32, and 3 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Suzuki Motor Corp ADR generated revenue of ¥6.3T at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue grew 15.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ¥226B. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026

Scenario range: $43.10 (bear) to $89.63 (bull), the price of $53.05 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at 31%, SZKMY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $66.87 $101.47 $155.16 80
Growth DCF $67.71 $98.01 $141.96 78
Owner Earnings $66.78 $101.34 $154.95 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $66.87 $101.47 $155.16 80
Owner Earnings $66.78 $101.34 $154.95 76
5Y Revenue Exit $78.11 $125.33 $186.39 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $97.18 $161.44 $237.45 74
5Y P/E Exit $92.08 $151.78 $215.30 70
10Y Revenue Exit $71.05 $113.41 $171.80 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $85.73 $138.65 $211.21 67
10Y P/E Exit $82.46 $131.90 $194.12 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $44.98 $148.36 $198.42 64
Lynch FV $33.43 $47.75 $62.08 61
PEG = 1.0 $33.43 $47.75 $62.08 57
EPV $65.89 $75.57 $84.04 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $109.13 $145.51 $181.89 63
P/S Multiple $84.33 $112.44 $140.55 58
P/B Multiple $84.33 $112.44 $140.55 55
EV/EBIT $128.12 $168.22 $208.32 66
EV/EBITDA $125.66 $164.94 $204.23 67
EV/Revenue $87.41 $121.52 $155.63 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $24.12 $32.32 $48.24 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $67.71 $98.01 $141.96 78
Rev-Margin DCF $78.11 $124.81 $179.17 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $46.69 $58.62 $139.06 64
ROIC Compounder $69.77 $87.34 $108.96 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $91.62 $130.89 $170.16 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($130.89) versus Asset-Based ($32.32). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 9.4
P/S ratio 0.66 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $5.65 price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.4
Dividend yield 2.4% payout 22.6%
Net margin 7.0% FY2026
Return on equity 13.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 10.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ¥6.3T TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.2% 3y avg +12.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +27.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ¥361B FY2026
Net cash ¥226B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 41
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 42
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Suzuki Motor Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of automobiles, motorcycles, outboard motors, electric wheelchairs, and other products in Japan and internationally.

Full company description

Suzuki Motor Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of automobiles, motorcycles, outboard motors, electric wheelchairs, and other products in Japan and internationally. It offers mini passenger cars and commercial vehicles, compact passenger cars and automobile engines, foundry and machining of engine components, motorcycles and motorcycle engines, outboard motors, motorized wheelchairs, and electro senior vehicles. The company is also involved in the development and testing of motorcycles; development and sale of land; planning and sale of condominiums; development and leasing of rental stores; real estate leasing and brokerage; solar power generation and installation; development of industrial park; and construction and sale of houses, as well as home remodeling. In addition, it engages in the planning, development, and sale of motorcycle and automobile supplies; product sales management; sale of various events; operation of gas station; and provision of general LP gas, factory fuel, lubricating oil, gas, etc. Further, the company imports and sells wine and honey, sells Nihon trim water conditioner, mobile phones, smartphones, tablets, satellite phones, etc.; operates a travel and insurance agency for non-life and life insurance; operates a golf club; and provides building management, production equipment cleaning, cleaning management, painting, weeding, and logging services. Suzuki Motor Corporation was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Hamamatsu-shi, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Suzuki Motor Corp ADR reported revenue of ¥6.7T in FY2026 versus ¥3.6T in FY2022, a compound +16.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥466B in FY2026, compounding +30.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
¥6.7T
Latest YoY
+14.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (26Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ −25.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−27.5%
Dividend yield2.4%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −27.5% vs 10Y −12.7%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6.1% (2021) → 9.4% (2026) · rising
Worst earnings drop91% (2023) · in JPY
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 17.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Final year 2026 sits 74% above trend (one-off), rate approximate
Revenue +16.9%/yr
FY22 ¥3.6T
FY23 ¥4.6T
FY24 ¥5.4T
FY25 ¥5.8T
FY26 ¥6.7T
Net income +30.5%/yr
FY22 ¥160B
FY23 ¥221B
FY24 ¥268B
FY25 ¥416B
FY26 ¥466B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) −16.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share −20.7 %

of which total revenue +7.4 % · buybacks/dilution −26.2 %

EBIT margin +4.0 %
Tax rate +1.5 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Suzuki Motor Corp ADR · Fair Value
$69.56 +24%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Suzuki Motor Corp ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SZKMY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Auto Manufacturers · 115 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +29% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.13× · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.03× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.56× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.3× · Cheapest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Suzuki Motor Corp ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years-4.6 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+16.0 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+2.6 %
FCF yield on price9.18 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.1 %

The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE75 · sector 24
FUTURE76 · sector 28
PAST55 · sector 21
HEALTH94 · sector 94
DIVIDEND48 · sector 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Toyota Motor Corporation TM $188.78 $235.50 +25%
BYD Company 81211 HK$73.50 HK$46.64 −37%
Hyundai Motor Company 005380 418,500 KRW 567,393 KRW +36%
Ferrari N.V RACE €355.50 €167.67 −53%
General Motors Company GM $86.27 $52.69 −39%
Ford Motor Company F $13.88 $11.51 −17%
Mercedes-Benz Group MBG €47.69 €106.16 +123%
Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG P911 €43.91 €17.34 −61%
Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI ₹12,694 ₹8,236 −35%
Volkswagen AG VOW €81.65 €248.34 +204%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Suzuki Motor Corp ADR (SZKMY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $69.56 versus a price of $53.05, about +31% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SZKMY?
Our model-based fair value for Suzuki Motor Corp ADR is $69.56 (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $53.05.
What is the quality score of SZKMY?
Suzuki Motor Corp ADR has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Suzuki Motor Corp ADR (SZKMY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $69.56 (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $43.10, optimistic scenario $89.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Suzuki Motor Corp ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $69.56, about +31% upside versus a price of $53.05 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $43.10, optimistic scenario $89.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Suzuki Motor Corp ADR (SZKMY)?
Suzuki Motor Corp ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥6.3T (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SZKMY?
The net profit margin of Suzuki Motor Corp ADR is about 7.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Suzuki Motor Corp ADR pay a dividend?
Suzuki Motor Corp ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.41% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Suzuki Motor Corp ADR (SZKMY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Suzuki Motor Corp ADR would have to grow free cash flow by -4.6 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.1 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.0 % per year. As of Sep 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SZKMY use?
Our models discount Suzuki Motor Corp ADR at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.39, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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