Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. $22.66, price $19.55, upside +15.9%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
23‑month range $18.21 – $19.55 · fair‑value band $21.44 – $30.38 · the $19.55 price screens below the $22.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. engages in the construction business in Japan. The company operates in Architecture, Civil Engineering, and Real Estate Segments.
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Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. engages in the construction business in Japan. The company operates in Architecture, Civil Engineering, and Real Estate Segments. It is involved in construction for-lease apartments, condominium, public facilities, educational and cultural facilities, commercial facilities, accommodation and leisure facilities, logistics facilities, warehouses, factories, medical and welfare facilities, waste disposal plants, and skyscrapers, etc. The company also develops infrastructure, including rivers, roads, railways, ports, airports, dams, tunnels, bridges, residential land development, water supply and sewerage systems, soil and water conservation, ocean civil engineering, underwater civil engineering, and renewable energy works. In addition, it engages in the purchase, brokerage, and sales of other real estate services; and operation of serviced nursing-care facilities for the elderly. Further, the company provides maintenance and preservation of fishing ports, and slope protection works. The company was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
Stock analysis
Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF) currently trades at $19.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.66, implying the stock looks roughly 13.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $26.58 per share, and 9 of the 15 models we run sit above the $19.55 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $8.48, and 6 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $21.44 (bear) to $30.38 (bull), the price of $19.55 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. reported revenue of ¥358B in FY2026 versus ¥264B in FY2022, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥11.4B in FY2026, compounding +14.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $681M · P/E ratio 12.6 · P/S ratio 0.40 · EPS (TTM) $1.55 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 3.2% · Return on equity 8.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 16%, TAKMF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $21.44Fair Value $22.66Bull $30.38
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.36/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+10.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 5%
2026 sits 52% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Compare Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 836 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside+16% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TAKMF
Frequently asked questions
Is Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.66 versus a price of $19.55, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TAKMF?
Our model-based fair value for Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. is $22.66 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $19.55.
What is the quality score of TAKMF?
Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $22.66 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $21.44, optimistic scenario $30.38. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $22.66, about +16% upside versus a price of $19.55 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $21.44, optimistic scenario $30.38. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF)?
Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥358B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.35% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. it is $22.66 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $19.55. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TAKMF trades below its calculated fair value: price $19.55, fair value $22.66, a gap of about +16% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TAKMF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($19.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($22.66). For Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. the two are $3.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. at about $681M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $19.55; our models calculate a fair value of $22.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TAKMF?
Our models span a range for Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario $21.44, base $22.66, optimistic $30.38 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $19.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TAKMF?
Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $22.66 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 3.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 8.0%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TAKMF from its 52-week high?
Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. trades at $19.55, at its 52-week high of $19.55 and 6% above the low of $18.46 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $22.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $19.55, calculated fair value $22.66 (+16%), Quality Score 50/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TAKMF calculated?
We run Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $22.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. currently trades 16 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $19.55. Our model-based fair value is $22.66, about +16% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($21.44). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The price sits below our cautious bear case: the market assumes less than even our pessimistic scenario. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF)?
The market capitalisation of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. is $681M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. is 0.40 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF)?
Earnings per share at Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. are $1.55 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF)?
The dividend yield of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. is 1.4% (payout 17.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF)?
The net margin of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. is 3.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. is 8.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF)?
The operating margin of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF)?
Revenue at Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. is growing −3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF)?
Earnings per share at Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. are growing +31.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF) generate?
The free cash flow of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. is −¥18.2B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. (TAKMF) carry?
The net debt of Takamatsu Construction Group Co., Ltd. is ¥18.1B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026