Tinybuild Inc (TBLD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Tinybuild Inc £0.13, price £0.11, upside +15.6%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.0220 – £2.74 · fair‑value band £0.1000 – £0.1600 · the £0.1125 price screens below the £0.1300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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tinyBuild, Inc. engages in the development and publishing of video games in the United States and internationally. The company offers various games for PC, PlayStation, Xbox, SteamVR, Meta Quest, Nintendo Switch, Android, iOS, mobile, Xbox One, PS4, Mac, Linux, Switch, 3DS, VR, HTC Vive, Oculus Rift, OSVR, and Wii U. It also organizes gaming events.
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tinyBuild, Inc. engages in the development and publishing of video games in the United States and internationally. The company offers various games for PC, PlayStation, Xbox, SteamVR, Meta Quest, Nintendo Switch, Android, iOS, mobile, Xbox One, PS4, Mac, Linux, Switch, 3DS, VR, HTC Vive, Oculus Rift, OSVR, and Wii U. It also organizes gaming events. tinyBuild, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington.
Stock analysis
Tinybuild Inc (TBLD) currently trades at £0.1125, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.1300, implying the stock looks roughly 13.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £0.2000 per share, and 10 of the 14 models we run sit above the £0.1125 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.0500, and 4 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: £0.1000 (bear) to £0.1600 (bull), the price of £0.1125 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Tinybuild Inc reported revenue of $36.3M in FY2025 versus $52.2M in FY2021, a compound −8.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$3.3M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 45.0M GBX · P/S ratio 1.15 · EPS (TTM) £−0.0100 · Net margin −9.0% · Return on equity −14.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −19.9% · Operating margin 5.4% · Revenue (TTM) $38.6M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at 16%, TBLD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £0.1000Fair Value £0.1300Bull £0.1600
Price £0.1125 · Upside +15.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
20.4% (2020) → 10.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−13.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −15.0% a year for the price and +1.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 139 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tinybuild Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TBLD
Frequently asked questions
Is Tinybuild Inc (TBLD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.1300 versus a price of £0.1125, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TBLD?
Our model-based fair value for Tinybuild Inc is £0.1300 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.1125.
What is the quality score of TBLD?
Tinybuild Inc has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tinybuild Inc (TBLD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.1300 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.1000, optimistic scenario £0.1600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tinybuild Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.1300, about +16% upside versus a price of £0.1125 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £0.1000, optimistic scenario £0.1600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tinybuild Inc (TBLD)?
Tinybuild Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $38.6M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Tinybuild Inc (TBLD)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Tinybuild Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -13.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.8 % per year. As of Oct 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TBLD use?
Our models discount Tinybuild Inc at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Tinybuild Inc that is -13.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Tinybuild Inc (TBLD) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Tinybuild Inc grew -0.8 % a year. The price currently implies -13.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Tinybuild Inc (TBLD) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Tinybuild Inc (-13.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Tinybuild Inc (TBLD)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 21.67 %: that much free cash flow Tinybuild Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Tinybuild Inc (TBLD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tinybuild Inc it is £0.1300 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of £0.1125. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tinybuild Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, TBLD trades below its calculated fair value: price £0.1125, fair value £0.1300, a gap of about +16% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TBLD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.1125); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.1300). For Tinybuild Inc the two are £0.0175 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tinybuild Inc worth?
The market values Tinybuild Inc at about 45.0M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is £0.1125; our models calculate a fair value of £0.1300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TBLD?
Our models span a range for Tinybuild Inc: cautious scenario £0.1000, base £0.1300, optimistic £0.1600 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price £0.1125). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tinybuild Inc (TBLD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tinybuild Inc (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −14.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TBLD from its 52-week high?
Tinybuild Inc trades at £0.1125, about 25% below its 52-week high of £0.1500 and 84% above the low of £0.0613 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.1300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tinybuild Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value NetEase, Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Roblox Corporation, Zhejiang Century Huatong Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tinybuild Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price £0.1125, calculated fair value £0.1300 (+16%), Quality Score 66/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TBLD calculated?
We run Tinybuild Inc through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.1300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Tinybuild Inc currently trades 13 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tinybuild Inc (TBLD)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was £0.1125. Our model-based fair value is £0.1300, about +16% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tinybuild Inc right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Tinybuild Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Tinybuild Inc (TBLD)?
The market capitalisation of Tinybuild Inc is 45.0M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tinybuild Inc (TBLD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tinybuild Inc is 1.15 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tinybuild Inc (TBLD)?
Earnings per share at Tinybuild Inc are £−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tinybuild Inc (TBLD)?
The net margin of Tinybuild Inc is −9.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tinybuild Inc (TBLD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tinybuild Inc is −14.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tinybuild Inc (TBLD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tinybuild Inc is −19.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tinybuild Inc (TBLD)?
The operating margin of Tinybuild Inc is 5.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tinybuild Inc (TBLD)?
Revenue at Tinybuild Inc is growing +17.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −17.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tinybuild Inc (TBLD)?
Earnings per share at Tinybuild Inc are growing −69.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Tinybuild Inc (TBLD) hold?
Tinybuild Inc holds more cash than debt, $4.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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