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Table Trac, Inc (TBTC) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $20.9M

TT Table Trac, Inc logo Table Trac, Inc TBTC · US
Price$4.51
Fair Value$6.03
Upside+33.7%
Quality73/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.9% net margin
generates free cash flow
1.77% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: High Range $4.96 – $8.32 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $7.71 to $6.03 (−21.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −0.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 34% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (73/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($4.96). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$5.86 $2.02 Fair Value $6.03 Dec 2019 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.02 – $5.86 · fair‑value band $4.96 – $8.32 · the $4.51 price screens below the $6.03 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Table Trac, Inc (TBTC) currently trades at $4.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.03, implying the stock looks roughly 33.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Table Trac, Inc generated revenue of $11.4M at a net margin of 15.9%. Revenue grew 10.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 11.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.96 (bear case) to $8.32 (bull case); at $4.51, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 34%, TBTC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $2.34 $2.61 $3.82 76
Growth DCF $5.07 $6.65 $8.70 72
Gordon GGM $0.5600 $0.9300 $1.21 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $5.11 $6.91 $9.41 38
Owner Earnings $4.84 $6.49 $8.79 31
5Y Revenue Exit $4.28 $5.65 $7.40 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $4.83 $6.75 $9.07 41
5Y P/E Exit $6.20 $9.49 $13.18 38
10Y Revenue Exit $4.54 $5.82 $7.60 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $4.90 $6.50 $8.76 37
10Y P/E Exit $5.67 $8.19 $11.63 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.38 $10.15 $13.86 54
Lynch FV $2.59 $3.70 $4.81 50
PEG = 1.0 $2.59 $3.70 $4.81 46
EPV $3.78 $4.02 $4.22 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.5600 $0.9300 $1.21 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.5600 $0.8800 $1.00 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $5.78 $7.71 $9.63 63
P/S Multiple $2.14 $2.86 $3.57 58
P/B Multiple $4.47 $5.96 $7.44 55
EV/EBIT $6.44 $7.99 $9.55 53
EV/EBITDA $4.96 $6.03 $7.09 54
EV/Revenue $3.77 $4.63 $5.49 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.38 $1.85 $2.77 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $5.07 $6.65 $8.70 72
Rev-Margin DCF $4.28 $5.66 $7.40 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.34 $2.61 $3.82 76
ROIC Compounder $3.95 $4.42 $4.95 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.48 $6.40 $8.32 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($6.50) versus Dividend Discount ($0.8800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $11.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.7%
Net margin 15.9%
Return on equity 14.3%
Free cash flow $1.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.6
More key figures
Operating margin 29.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.3900
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +23.5%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 68
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Table Trac, Inc. designs, develops, and sells casino and table games management systems in the United States, Australia, Japan, the Caribbean, and Central and South America.

Full company description

Table Trac, Inc. designs, develops, and sells casino and table games management systems in the United States, Australia, Japan, the Caribbean, and Central and South America. The company offers Table Trac, an information and management system that automates and monitors the operations of casino table game operations, as well as adds casino resort functionality to related casino system modules for guest rewards and loyalty marketing operations, marketing analysis, guest service, promotions, administration/management, vault/cage management, and audit/accounting tasks. It also provides system sales and technical support services comprising installation, custom casino system configuration, and training, as well as license and technical support services to casinos. In addition, it offers modules such as DataTrac, KioskTrac, KioskTrac Mobile, SlotSUITE, and RePrintEnroll kiosks, as well as player tracking programs, kiosk promotions, and vault and cage controls. The company was founded in 1995 and is based in Minnetonka, Minnesota.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Table Trac, Inc reported revenue of $11.0M in FY2025 versus $7.0M in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was $1.6M in FY2025, compounding −1.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 94/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$11.0M
Latest YoY
−1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.2%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.1%
Revenue +12.2%/yr
FY21 $7.0M
FY22 $11.1M
FY23 $9.5M
FY24 $11.2M
FY25 $11.0M
Net income −1.3%/yr
FY21 $1.7M
FY22 $1.6M
FY23 $1.6M
FY24 $1.6M
FY25 $1.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Table Trac, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TBTC

Peer Group

Resorts & Casinos · 76 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +34% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.63× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.83× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 78 · sector 18
FUTURE 54 · sector 33
PAST 57 · sector 19
HEALTH 0 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 35 · sector 52

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS $44.79 $52.27 +17%
Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 HK$34.20 HK$41.44 +21%
Sands China Ltd 1928 HK$13.08 HK$2.05 -84%
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM $46.13 $13.70 -70%
Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN $97.05 $69.39 -29%
Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR $64.75 $17.09 -74%
Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD $87.64 $151.24 +73%
Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR $29.91 $80.92 +171%
Genting Singapore Limited G13 0.6200 SGD 0.6900 SGD +11%
Vail Resorts, Inc MTN $150.14 $125.02 -17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Table Trac, Inc (TBTC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.03 versus a price of $4.51, about +34% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TBTC?
Our model-based fair value for Table Trac, Inc is $6.03 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.51.
What is the quality score of TBTC?
Table Trac, Inc has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Table Trac, Inc (TBTC)?
Table Trac, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TBTC?
The net profit margin of Table Trac, Inc is about 15.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Table Trac, Inc pay a dividend?
Table Trac, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.77% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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