Tobu Railway Co (TBURF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $3.2B
Tobu Railway Co
TBURF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
A solid business, screening 16% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($17.18). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Our model range runs from $17.18 (bear) to $29.28 (bull), base $18.95. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 50/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $15.25 – $30.80 · fair‑value band $17.18 – $29.28 · the $16.27 price screens below the $18.95 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Tobu Railway Co (TBURF) currently trades at $16.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.95, implying the stock looks roughly 16.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tobu Railway Co generated revenue of $655B at a net margin of 8.5%. Revenue grew 3.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. Net debt stands at $749B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $17.18 (bear case) to $29.28 (bull case); at $16.27, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at 16%, TBURF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($20.28) versus Asset-Based ($8.84). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tobu Railway Co., Ltd. provides private rail system services in Japan. The company also operates health clubs, golf courses, theme parks, and hotels. It also develops and manages condominiums, housing developments, department stores, and other properties along its railways.
Full company description
Tobu Railway Co., Ltd. provides private rail system services in Japan. The company also operates health clubs, golf courses, theme parks, and hotels. It also develops and manages condominiums, housing developments, department stores, and other properties along its railways. In addition, the company operate sightseeing service centers that offers assistance on ticket exchanges, purchase of tickets, various arrangements, and sightseeing information. Tobu Railway Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1896 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Tobu Railway Co reported revenue of $660B in FY2026 versus $506B in FY2022, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was $56.0B in FY2026, compounding +42.8%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Railroads · 111 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $301.75 | $144.60 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $49.41 | $12.85 | -74% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.91 | $35.00 | -62% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNI | $128.22 | $92.63 | -28% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $327.47 | $117.90 | -64% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $259.71 | $144.80 | -44% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.82 | ¥5.65 | +17% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.65 | ¥9.53 | +69% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.85 | ¥6.24 | +29% |
| Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 | 167,700 KRW | 125,182 KRW | -25% |
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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