Thanachart Capital Public Company (TCAP) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · TH · Market cap 75.0B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +22.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (50.26 THB to 113.47 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 21.69 THB – 88.25 THB · fair‑value band 50.26 THB – 113.47 THB · the 87.50 THB price screens above the 72.99 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Thanachart Capital Public Company (TCAP) currently trades at 87.50 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 72.99 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 16.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Thanachart Capital Public Company generated revenue of 11.0B THB at a net margin of 74.3%. Revenue grew 25.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. Net debt stands at 41.3B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 50.26 THB (bear case) to 113.47 THB (bull case); at 87.50 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 111% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -17%, TCAP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (96.08 THB) versus Growth DCF (9.65 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 97
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Thanachart Capital Public Company Limited, an investment holding company, offers various financial services in Thailand. It operates through The Company, Assets Management Business, Securities Business, Life Insurance Business, Non-Life Insurance Business, Asset Management Business, Hire Purchase and Leasing Business, and Other Businesses segments.
Full company description
Thanachart Capital Public Company Limited, an investment holding company, offers various financial services in Thailand. It operates through The Company, Assets Management Business, Securities Business, Life Insurance Business, Non-Life Insurance Business, Asset Management Business, Hire Purchase and Leasing Business, and Other Businesses segments. The company engages in distressed asset management, commercial banking, non-performing asset management, securities brokerage, and investment businesses. It also provides asset-based financing comprising term loan and working capital; provision of life, personal accident, and health insurance products, as well as mortgage reducing term assurance for protection of individuals who are property loan borrowers. In addition, the company offers non-life insurance products in the areas of fire, automobile, marine and transportation, and miscellaneous; life and health protection insurance products to individuals, institutions, and organizations; and auto hire purchase and financials leasing services for passenger cars, as well as vehicles for commercial purposes, such as pick-ups, taxis, truck tractors and lorries, etc. The company was formerly known as National Finance Public Company Limited and changed its name to Thanachart Capital Public Company Limited in April 2006. Thanachart Capital Public Company Limited was incorporated in 1959 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Thanachart Capital Public Company reported revenue of 18.7B THB in FY2025 versus 16.3B THB in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was 7.7B THB in FY2025, compounding +10.0%/yr from FY2021.
TCAP screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →
Peer Group
Credit Services · 333 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visa Inc V | $348.97 | $204.19 | -41% |
| Mastercard Incorporated MA | $537.70 | $221.87 | -59% |
| American Express Company AXP | $358.44 | $206.40 | -42% |
| Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE | ₹1,056 | ₹397.61 | -62% |
| Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN | ₹1,024 | ₹553.83 | -46% |
| Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN | ₹1,808 | ₹796.52 | -56% |
| Tata Capital Limited TATACAP | ₹360.60 | ₹229.85 | -36% |
| Power Finance Corporation PFC | ₹405.10 | ₹810.20 | +100% |
| Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN | ₹3,129 | ₹3,463 | +11% |
| Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC | ₹88.41 | ₹69.72 | -21% |
Compare Thanachart Capital Public Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Financial Services stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Thanachart Capital Public Company (TCAP) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of TCAP?
What is the quality score of TCAP?
What is the revenue of Thanachart Capital Public Company (TCAP)?
What is the net profit margin of TCAP?
Does Thanachart Capital Public Company pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Thanachart Capital Public Company and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.