Vietnam Technological and Commercial Joint Stock Bank (TCB) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · VN · Market cap 223T VND
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from 66,800 VND to 62,900 VND (−5.8%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −12.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 112% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (47,175 VND). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 9,577 VND – 40,450 VND · fair‑value band 47,175 VND – 78,625 VND · the 29,700 VND price screens below the 62,900 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Vietnam Technological and Commercial Joint Stock Bank (TCB) currently trades at 29,700 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 62,900 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 111.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Vietnam Technological and Commercial Joint Stock Bank generated revenue of 51.2T VND at a net margin of 50.8%. Revenue grew 21.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.8%. Net debt stands at 84.7T VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 47,175 VND (bear case) to 78,625 VND (bull case); at 29,700 VND, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 112%, TCB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (33,595 VND) versus Asset-Based (16,078 VND). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Vietnam Technological and Commercial Joint Stock Bank provides personal and corporate banking products and services in Vietnam and internationally.
Full company description
Vietnam Technological and Commercial Joint Stock Bank provides personal and corporate banking products and services in Vietnam and internationally. The company offers personal banking products and services, such as current accounts, foreign currency accounts, escrow account, and overdraft accounts; flexible and term deposits; certificates of deposit; car, home, and consumer loans; credit and debit cards; overseas money transfer and CDM services; and home, car, and health insurance, as well as group health insurance for business. It also provides corporate banking products and services comprising capital, trading custodial, and real estate custodial accounts; payment, collection, liquidity, deposit, and account management services; letter of credit; solution packages; working capital loans, medium and long-term loans, and supply chain financing; import, export, and domestic trade finance services; and digital banking services. In addition, the company offers foreign exchange services, including spot and forward trade, and foreign exchange swaps; corporate management services; bank guarantee; corporate bonds services; and interest rate derivatives, foreign exchange derivatives, and structured products, as well as ATM services. Further, it provides online and mobile banking services. The company operates through representative offices and transaction offices for individual, small enterprises, and large corporate customers, as well as investors. Vietnam Technological and Commercial Joint Stock Bank was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Hanoi, Vietnam.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Vietnam Technological and Commercial Joint Stock Bank reported revenue of 52.3T VND in FY2025 versus 36.4T VND in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was 25.3T VND in FY2025, compounding +8.8%/yr from FY2021.
Watch TCB: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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