Transcontinental Inc (TCL-A) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CA · Market cap C$446M
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from C$32.76 to C$32.90 (+0.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +14.1% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range C$4.71 – C$24.02 · fair‑value band C$23.32 – C$46.12 · the C$5.66 price screens below the C$32.90 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.
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Transcontinental Inc (TCL-A) currently trades at C$5.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$32.90, implying the stock looks roughly 481.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Transcontinental Inc generated revenue of C$2.7B at a net margin of 12.2%. Revenue declined 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.8%. Net debt stands at C$740M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$23.32 (bear case) to C$46.12 (bull case); at C$5.66, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at 481%, TCL-A screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Transcontinental Inc. engages in the flexible packaging business in Canada, the United States, Latin America, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through Packaging, Retail Services and Printing, and Media segments. The Packaging sector engages in the extrusion, lamination, printing, and converting packaging solutions; and manufacturing and recycling flexible plastic, including rollstock, labels, die cut lids, shrink films, bags and pouches, and advanced coatings. This sector serves dairy, coffee, meat and poultry, pet food, agriculture, beverage, home and personal care products, industrial, consumer, and medical products. The Retail Services and Printing sector provides content, marketing and media solutions, including flyer retail printing, digital flyer, retail analytics, and in-store marketing solutions. It also offers print solutions for newspapers, magazines, and 4-color books. The Media sector is involved in printing and digital publishing of educational …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Transcontinental Inc reported revenue of C$2.7B in FY2025 versus C$2.6B in FY2021, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was C$171M in FY2025, compounding +7.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smurfit Kappa Group SMFTF | $44.20 | $27.40 | -38% |
| Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW | $38.95 | $62.16 | +60% |
| Packaging Corporation PKG | $234.03 | $123.93 | -47% |
| Amcor plc AMC | A$58.69 | A$18.33 | -69% |
| International Paper Company IP | $36.89 | $84.00 | +128% |
| Ball Corporation B1LL34 | R$141.68 | R$104.18 | -26% |
| Avery Dennison Corporation A1VY34 | R$405.00 | R$217.71 | -46% |
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 101.90 | kr 126.39 | +24% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥33.57 | ¥23.95 | -29% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 25.00 THB | 12.30 THB | -51% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.