Tucows Inc (TCX) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $146M
Tucows Inc
TCX · US
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +47.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 69% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.57 – $91.18 · fair‑value band $2.84 – $4.83 · the $15.68 price screens above the $4.83 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Tucows Inc (TCX) currently trades at $15.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.83, implying the stock looks roughly 69.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Tucows Inc generated revenue of $392M at a net margin of -20.1%. Revenue grew 2.2% year over year. Net debt stands at $498M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.84 (bear case) to $4.83 (bull case); at $15.68, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -69%, TCX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tucows Inc. provides domain name registration, email, and other internet related services in North America and Europe. It operates through three segments: Ting, Wavelo, and Tucows Domains. The Ting segment provides gigabit fiber and fixed wireless internet services to consumer and business customers.
Full company description
Tucows Inc. provides domain name registration, email, and other internet related services in North America and Europe. It operates through three segments: Ting, Wavelo, and Tucows Domains. The Ting segment provides gigabit fiber and fixed wireless internet services to consumer and business customers. The Wavelo segment offers full-service platforms and professional services that support communication services providers, including subscription and billing management, network orchestration and provisioning, and individual developer tools, as well as billing solutions to internet services providers under the Platypus brand. The Tucows Domains segment provides wholesale and retail domain name registration services under the OpenSRS, eNom, Ascio, EPAG, and Hover brands, as well as value added services, such as hosted email, internet security services, WHOIS privacy, and other value-added services. The company offers its services primarily through an internet-based distribution network of internet service providers, web hosting companies, and other providers of internet services to end-users. Tucows Inc. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tucows Inc reported revenue of $390M in FY2025 versus $304M in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$75.8M in FY2025.
TCX screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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