Tesmec S.p.A (TES) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IT · Market cap €196M
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from €0.2100 to €0.0600 (−71.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −0.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 85% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.0700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.0530 – €0.4330 · fair‑value band €0.0400 – €0.0700 · the €0.4025 price screens above the €0.0600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Tesmec S.p.A (TES) currently trades at €0.4025, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.0600, implying the stock looks roughly 85.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Tesmec S.p.A generated revenue of €262M at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue grew 7.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.0%. Net debt stands at €125M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €0.0400 (bear case) to €0.0700 (bull case); at €0.4025, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -85%, TES screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€0.2600) versus Earnings-Based (€0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tesmec S.p.A. designs, manufactures, and sells products, technologies, and integrated solutions for the construction, maintenance, and efficiency of infrastructures related to the transport and distribution of energy, data, and material. It operates through Energy, Trencher, and Railway segments.
Full company description
Tesmec S.p.A. designs, manufactures, and sells products, technologies, and integrated solutions for the construction, maintenance, and efficiency of infrastructures related to the transport and distribution of energy, data, and material. It operates through Energy, Trencher, and Railway segments. The company provides stringing solutions, such as digital stringing machines, automatic rope inspection systems, full electric machines, tower erection, OPGW installation and safety on crossing, essential machines, reels, ropes and joints, drum elevators and reel winders, stringing blocks, pivoting array blocks and head boards, bicycles and trolleys, aluminum structures, and overhead tools and accessories, as well as machines for special application; and underground machines, drum elevators and trailers, and tools and accessories. It offers energy automation products comprising protection and monitoring systems; remote control devices; service telecommunications; and smart metering tools. In addition, the company offers rocksaw, chainsaw, and bucket wheel trenchers; surface miners; detection and mapping solutions; mechanical laying solutions; and trenchers with integrated vacuum systems. Further, it provides catenary installation solutions, catenary and track maintenance vehicles, diagnostic solutions and systems, snow removal solutions, and wiring units for railway. The company operates in Italy, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North and Central America, Brazil, Russia, India, China, and internationally. Tesmec S.p.A. was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Grassobbio, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tesmec S.p.A reported revenue of €258M in FY2025 versus €180M in FY2021, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was €1.7M in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −12.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
TES screens 85% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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