Tegma Gestão Logística S.A (TGMA3) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · BR · Market cap R$2.0B
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from R$64.51 to R$43.51 (−32.5%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price +12.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 30% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (R$26.45 to R$54.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$8.95 – R$40.48 · fair‑value band R$26.45 – R$54.60 · the R$33.56 price screens below the R$43.51 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Tegma Gestão Logística S.A (TGMA3) currently trades at R$33.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$43.51, implying the stock looks roughly 29.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tegma Gestão Logística S.A generated revenue of R$2.3B at a net margin of 10.3%. Revenue grew 18.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.4%. Net debt stands at R$88.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$26.45 (bear case) to R$54.60 (bull case); at R$33.56, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -70% fair-value upside, at 30%, TGMA3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (R$67.00) versus Asset-Based (R$8.86). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tegma Gestão Logística S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics services in Brazil. It operates in Automotive Logistics and Integrated Logistics segments.
Full company description
Tegma Gestão Logística S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics services in Brazil. It operates in Automotive Logistics and Integrated Logistics segments. The Automotive Logistics segment engages in the transportation and distribution of new and used vehicles; port transfers; and yard and stock management for automakers, as well as vehicle pre-delivery services. The Integrated Logistics segment provides transportation, warehousing, and inventory management services for chemicals, household appliances, and consumer goods. The company also offers automotive logistic and center, yard management, vehicle transport and storage, integrated logistics, chemical supply chain management, packaging management, intralogistics, and special project services. It serves foods and drinks, automotive, cosmetics, home appliances, pharmaceutical, and chemical and petrochemical industries. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in São Bernardo do Campo, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tegma Gestão Logística S.A reported revenue of R$2.2B in FY2025 versus R$1.0B in FY2021, a compound +21.9%/yr. Reported net income was R$243M in FY2025, compounding +22.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +8.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Trucking · 46 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Trucking median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Trucking stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc ODFL | $225.23 | $103.37 | -54% |
| XPO, Inc XPO | $219.29 | $56.52 | -74% |
| TFI International Inc TFII | $155.83 | $110.79 | -29% |
| Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings KNX | $75.19 | $8.58 | -89% |
| Saia, Inc SAIA | $438.29 | $129.64 | -70% |
| Schneider National, Inc SNDR | $38.19 | $12.37 | -68% |
| RXO, Inc RXO | $27.07 | $3.48 | -87% |
| ArcBest Corporation ARCB | $147.13 | $45.89 | -69% |
| Werner Enterprises, Inc WERN | $46.04 | $8.24 | -82% |
| Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co 600611 | ¥4.55 | ¥1.20 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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