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Technogym S.p.A (TGYM) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IT · Market cap €3.4B

TS Technogym S.p.A TGYM · MI
Price€13.63
Fair Value€12.71
Upside-6.8%
Quality82/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.26% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Wide moat 76/100
Evidence: High Range €8.69 – €15.89 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −10.3% over the past month.

A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (€8.69 to €15.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€21.39 €5.18 Fair Value €12.71 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €5.18 – €21.39 · fair‑value band €8.69 – €15.89 · the €13.63 price screens above the €12.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Technogym S.p.A (TGYM) currently trades at €13.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €12.71, implying the stock looks roughly 6.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Technogym S.p.A generated revenue of €1.0B at a net margin of 11.3%. Revenue grew 12.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €123M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €8.69 (bear case) to €15.89 (bull case); at €13.63, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -7%, TGYM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €7.81 €12.10 €18.74 80
Residual Income €3.25 €3.85 €12.56 76
Rev-Margin DCF €6.10 €9.17 €13.00 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €7.82 €12.39 €19.68 38
Owner Earnings €6.95 €10.94 €17.29 31
5Y Revenue Exit €6.10 €9.18 €13.19 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €9.05 €15.06 €22.40 41
5Y P/E Exit €9.04 €15.03 €21.68 38
10Y Revenue Exit €6.52 €9.54 €13.85 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €8.54 €13.67 €21.13 37
10Y P/E Exit €8.53 €13.65 €20.55 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €3.93 €16.00 €21.77 54
Lynch FV €4.01 €5.72 €7.44 50
PEG = 1.0 €4.01 €5.72 €7.44 46
EPV €7.23 €8.21 €9.06 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €7.16 €14.27 €21.60 70
DDM Multi-Stage €7.16 €12.33 €15.06 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €9.53 €12.71 €15.89 63
P/S Multiple €4.59 €6.12 €7.65 58
P/B Multiple €5.02 €6.69 €8.36 55
EV/EBIT €11.82 €15.41 €19.01 53
EV/EBITDA €10.58 €13.77 €16.95 54
EV/Revenue €5.31 €7.15 €8.99 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.8400 €1.12 €1.67 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €7.81 €12.10 €18.74 80
Rev-Margin DCF €6.10 €9.17 €13.00 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €3.25 €3.85 €12.56 76
ROIC Compounder €7.48 €8.79 €10.12 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €7.15 €10.21 €13.28 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€12.39) versus Asset-Based (€1.12). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €1.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.3%
Net margin 11.3%
Return on equity 32.1%
Free cash flow €116M FY2025
P/E ratio 29.7
More key figures
Operating margin 19.6%
EPS (TTM) €0.5800
Dividend yield 2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +32.8%
Net cash €123M FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 82/100

Of which business quality 78 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 84
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Technogym S.p.A., a together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells fitness equipment in Italy, Rest of Europe, the Americas, Asia-Pacific, and the Middle East. The company offers a range of wellness, physical exercise, and rehabilitation solutions.

Full company description

Technogym S.p.A., a together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells fitness equipment in Italy, Rest of Europe, the Americas, Asia-Pacific, and the Middle East. The company offers a range of wellness, physical exercise, and rehabilitation solutions. Its products include treadmills and running machine, ellipticals machines and cross-trainers, stationery and exercise bikes, rowing machine, bundles, dumbbells and kettlebells, pilates, barbells and plates, racks, workout weight benches, stair climbers, flexibility and stretching equipment, multi gyms, fitness accessories, storage racks, workout clothes, workout gear, indoor cycling wear, upper body machines, selectorized machines, plate loaded strength machines, and cable machines. It also provides fitness accessories, including sling trainer, wellness balls, exercise mat, floor mat, foam roller, jump rope, loop bands, power bands, elastic bands, mobility stick and ball, balance pad and dome, cones, speed ladder, medicine ball, slam ball, bike weights, plyobox, training and case kits, tool kits, and bike pedals. In addition, the company operates its Technogym app. It markets its products to fitness and wellness clubs; hospitality and residential; and home and consumer segments through field and inside sales, retail, and wholesale channels. Technogym S.p.A. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Cesena, Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Technogym S.p.A reported revenue of €1.0B in FY2025 versus €610M in FY2021, a compound +13.6%/yr. Reported net income was €115M in FY2025, compounding +16.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€1.0B
Latest YoY
+13.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+14.9%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+7.9%
Revenue +13.6%/yr
FY21 €610M
FY22 €719M
FY23 €806M
FY24 €899M
FY25 €1.0B
Net income +16.2%/yr
FY21 €63.1M
FY22 €63.6M
FY23 €73.6M
FY24 €87.0M
FY25 €115M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Technogym S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TGYM

Peer Group

Leisure · 192 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 82 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −7% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 11.92× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.90× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 34.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 19.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 24 · sector 14
FUTURE 62 · sector 18
PAST 100 · sector 19
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 45 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

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Amer Sports, Inc AS $36.44 $16.16 -56%
Hasbro, Inc HAS $81.55 $83.38 +2%
Life Time Group LTH $42.15 $16.15 -62%
Acushnet Holdings GOLF $114.78 $37.79 -67%
Li Ning Company 2331 HK$14.80 HK$29.26 +98%
Benefit Systems S.A BFT 5,255 PLN 3,714 PLN -29%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Technogym S.p.A (TGYM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €12.71 versus a price of €13.63, about −7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TGYM?
Our model-based fair value for Technogym S.p.A is €12.71 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €13.63.
What is the quality score of TGYM?
Technogym S.p.A has a Quality Score of 82/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Technogym S.p.A (TGYM)?
Technogym S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TGYM?
The net profit margin of Technogym S.p.A is about 11.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Technogym S.p.A pay a dividend?
Technogym S.p.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.26% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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