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Thermador Groupe SA (THEP) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · FR · Market cap €733M

TG Thermador Groupe SA THEP · PA
Price€78.40
Fair Value€100.88
Upside+28.7%
Quality68/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.62% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range €74.94 – €126.10 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +0.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 29% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from €74.94 (bear) to €126.10 (bull), base €100.88. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 68/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€91.52 €57.10 Fair Value €100.88 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €57.10 – €91.52 · fair‑value band €74.94 – €126.10 · the €78.40 price screens below the €100.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Thermador Groupe SA (THEP) currently trades at €78.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €100.88, implying the stock looks roughly 28.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Thermador Groupe SA generated revenue of €502M at a net margin of 8.8%. Revenue grew 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €45.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €74.94 (bear case) to €126.10 (bull case); at €78.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 29%, THEP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €73.11 €99.37 €132.50 80
Residual Income €37.56 €41.36 €54.49 76
Rev-Margin DCF €66.93 €100.30 €139.18 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €72.81 €103.28 €144.39 38
Owner Earnings €58.88 €82.90 €115.30 31
5Y Revenue Exit €66.93 €99.96 €141.82 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €73.61 €112.56 €157.79 41
5Y P/E Exit €73.58 €112.49 €153.30 38
10Y Revenue Exit €67.06 €96.14 €134.78 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €72.49 €104.17 €145.99 37
10Y P/E Exit €72.47 €104.13 €142.84 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €32.67 €105.88 €141.37 54
Lynch FV €23.61 €33.72 €43.84 50
PEG = 1.0 €23.61 €33.72 €43.84 46
EPV €45.49 €50.73 €55.11 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €16.16 €29.12 €40.09 70
DDM Multi-Stage €16.16 €25.58 €31.11 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €75.66 €100.88 €126.10 63
P/S Multiple €61.25 €81.67 €102.08 58
P/B Multiple €61.25 €81.67 €102.08 55
EV/EBIT €89.67 €117.22 €144.76 53
EV/EBITDA €82.74 €107.98 €133.23 54
EV/Revenue €66.01 €91.29 €116.57 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €22.16 €29.70 €44.33 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €73.11 €99.37 €132.50 80
Rev-Margin DCF €66.93 €100.30 €139.18 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €37.56 €41.36 €54.49 76
ROIC Compounder €45.77 €53.67 €62.93 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €63.46 €90.65 €117.85 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€103.28) versus Dividend Discount (€25.58). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €502M
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.6%
Net margin 8.8%
Return on equity 11.2%
Free cash flow €63.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 17.5
More key figures
Operating margin 12.2%
EPS (TTM) €4.56
Dividend yield 2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +12.0%
Net cash €45.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Thermador Groupe SA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution business in France and internationally.

Full company description

Thermador Groupe SA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution business in France and internationally. The company offers central heating and domestic hot water accessories, pumps for heating, plumbing equipment, taps, valves for building, ventilation equipment and accessories, industrial valves and fittings, cold water pumps, swimming pool equipment and accessories, air compressors, generators, and welding stations. It also provides pneumatic tools; pumps, household valves, and plumbing for DIY superstores; bathroom and kitchen taps for DIY superstores and retail outlets; sale of parts to boiler manufacturers; domestic pumps and pump accessories; accessories and connectors for central heating and domestic water, and plumbing fitments; pipework for the distribution of building fluids; and valves and connectors for building and industry. In addition, the company offers motorised valves and specialty products for industry and air compressors; technical equipment for pressure, temperature, level, and flow measurement and control; and stainless-steel connectors, flanges, valves and accessories, as well as provides communication services. The company offers its products to retailers and wholesalers in industrial valves and supplies. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Saint-Quentin-Fallavier, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Thermador Groupe SA reported revenue of €502M in FY2025 versus €487M in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was €44.1M in FY2025, compounding −4.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 63/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€502M
Latest YoY
−0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+7.1%
Revenue +0.8%/yr
FY21 €487M
FY22 €554M
FY23 €581M
FY24 €504M
FY25 €502M
Net income −4.5%/yr
FY21 €52.9M
FY22 €58.9M
FY23 €58.3M
FY24 €44.7M
FY25 €44.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thermador Groupe SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/THEP

Peer Group

Industrial Distribution · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +29% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.08× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.69× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 13.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 6.94× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 72 · sector 19
FUTURE 23 · sector 19
PAST 45 · sector 35
HEALTH 96 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 52 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW $1,376 $625.61 -55%
Fastenal Company FAST $45.49 $20.64 -55%
Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG $232.02 $151.92 -35%
WESCO International, Inc WCC $326.71 $213.01 -35%
Watsco, Inc WSO $385.16 $268.10 -30%
Toromont Industries Ltd TIH C$232.22 C$127.90 -45%
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT $329.35 $191.65 -42%
Finning International Inc FTT C$102.50 C$76.38 -25%
Addtech AB ADDTB kr 329.20 kr 156.35 -53%
Core & Main, Inc CNM $44.66 $49.47 +11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thermador Groupe SA (THEP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €100.88 versus a price of €78.40, about +29% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of THEP?
Our model-based fair value for Thermador Groupe SA is €100.88 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €78.40.
What is the quality score of THEP?
Thermador Groupe SA has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Thermador Groupe SA (THEP)?
Thermador Groupe SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €502M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of THEP?
The net profit margin of Thermador Groupe SA is about 8.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Thermador Groupe SA pay a dividend?
Thermador Groupe SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.01% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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