Timken India Limited (TIMKEN) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹263B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹983.92 to ₹1,771 (+80.0%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price +4.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 46% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹2,521). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (₹925.70 to ₹2,521). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹1,226 – ₹4,634 · fair‑value band ₹925.70 – ₹2,521 · the ₹3,291 price screens above the ₹1,771 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Timken India Limited (TIMKEN) currently trades at ₹3,291, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,771, implying the stock looks roughly 46.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Timken India Limited generated revenue of ₹34.8B at a net margin of 11.9%. Revenue grew 16.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹2.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹925.70 (bear case) to ₹2,521 (bull case); at ₹3,291, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -46%, TIMKEN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹1,105) versus Asset-Based (₹259.61). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Timken India Limited manufactures, sells, and distributes tapered and other roller bearings, components, accessories, and mechanical power transmission products in India, the United States, and internationally.
Full company description
Timken India Limited manufactures, sells, and distributes tapered and other roller bearings, components, accessories, and mechanical power transmission products in India, the United States, and internationally. The company offers engineered bearing products, such as ball, plain, precision, and needle and thrust bearings; cylindrical, energy efficient, spherical, and tapered roller bearings; housed and premium wheel hub units; and driveline center support bearings for commercial and light vehicles, as well as aerospace, industrial, and rail bearing repair services. It also provides mechanical power transmission products, including seals, maintenance tools, lubrication and filtration solutions, encoders, gear boxes/transmissions, couplings and joints, belts, augers, linear motion products, brakes and clutches, commercial vehicles wheel end accessories and tools, and chains. In addition, the company offers maintenance contract and refurbishment services. It sells its products under the TIMKEN, ROLLON, PHILADELPHIA GEAR, GGB, GROENEVELD, BEKA, Cone Drive, NADELLA, Lovejoy, DIAMOND, DRIVES, SPINEA, PTTECH, LAGERSMIT, TORSION CONTROL PRODUCTS, DES-CASE, and other brands. The company serves various markets, including defense, mining, metals, civil aerospace, commercial vehicles, agriculture, energy, rail, automotive, construction, outdoor power equipment, and industrial equipment and machinery. The company was formerly known as Tata Timken Limited and changed its name to Timken India Limited in July 1999. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Bengaluru, India. Timken India Limited operates as a subsidiary of Timken Singapore Pte Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Timken India Limited reported revenue of ₹34.8B in FY2026 versus ₹22.0B in FY2022, a compound +12.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹4.1B in FY2026, compounding +6.1%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +13.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
TIMKEN screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →
Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 121 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$144.80 | HK$78.62 | -46% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $408.44 | $344.67 | -16% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $555.65 | $179.94 | -68% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $286.97 | $151.86 | -47% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $102.90 | $52.80 | -49% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 265.10 | kr 192.57 | -27% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $130.25 | $64.85 | -50% |
| The Toro Company TTC | $97.92 | $69.71 | -29% |
| Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 | ¥30.08 | ¥30.38 | +1% |
| Hiwin Technologies Corporation 2049 | 381.00 TWD | 73.32 TWD | -81% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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