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TJGC Group (TJGC) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $44.4M

TG TJGC Group logo TJGC Group TJGC · US
Price$3.65
Fair Value$3.12
Upside-14.5%
Quality36/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -122.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range $2.06 – $3.91 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $1.31 to $3.12 (+138.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −19.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 15% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($2.06 to $3.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (18 months)

$98.70 $1.50 Fair Value $3.12 Jan 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

18‑month range $1.50 – $98.70 · fair‑value band $2.06 – $3.91 · the $3.65 price screens above the $3.12 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

TJGC Group (TJGC) currently trades at $3.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.12, implying the stock looks roughly 14.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $31.9M. Revenue grew 8.4% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $15.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.06 (bear case) to $3.91 (bull case); at $3.65, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 150% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at -15%, TJGC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.47 $1.97 $2.94 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.47 $1.97 $2.94 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $31.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.4%
Net margin -122%
Return on equity -357%
Free cash flow −$34.8M FY2025
Operating margin -56.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.07
Net cash $15.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 8
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

TJGC Group Limited, through its subsidiary, Ctrl Media Limited provides integrated marketing and advertising services in Hong Kong.

Full company description

TJGC Group Limited, through its subsidiary, Ctrl Media Limited provides integrated marketing and advertising services in Hong Kong. The company offers services to mobile game developers, principally developers of mobile gaming applications that gamers download from the developers' websites and applicable mobile operating systems, such as Apple Store or Android Google Play Store. It designs, creates, edits, and produces the art and design of various kinds of advertisement materials in different designs, layouts and formats, which includes digital content such as videos, animations and photographs. In addition, the company uses digital media, such as online social media platforms, websites, and search engines over the Internet to broadcast the advertising campaigns. Further, it undertakes contracts with YouTuber, KOL, and local celebrities to film introductory gaming videos for broadcast in their personal blogs and social media platforms; offers physical media, including podium platforms with transportation terminals and public venues to broadcast advertising campaigns; and assists clients to plan and prepare their exhibition booths in the animation-comic-game and other offline marketing events. The company was formerly known as Ctrl Group Limited and change its name to TJGC Group Limited in November 2025. TJGC Group Limited was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Hung Hom, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

TJGC Group reported revenue of $30.5M in FY2025 versus $51.3M in FY2022, a compound −16.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$26.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$30.5M
Latest YoY
−25.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−16.0%
Revenue −16.0%/yr
FY22 $51.3M
FY23 $47.5M
FY24 $40.7M
FY25 $30.5M
Net income
FY22 $6.8M
FY23 $2.7M
FY24 $1.9M
FY25 −$26.8M

TJGC screens 15% overvalued. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TJGC Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TJGC

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 199 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −15% · Below median
Return on assets -93% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -122% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -57% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.24× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.50× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.39× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 14 · sector 19
FUTURE 42 · sector 8
PAST 0 · sector 7
HEALTH 88 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $506.98 $181.37 -64%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €87.16 €146.36 +68%
Omnicom Group OMC $80.75 $99.84 +24%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.00 ¥4.08 -18%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $19.37 $20.76 +7%
BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 ¥13.81 ¥1.50 -89%
JCDecaux SE DEC €21.28 €20.99 -1%
WPP plc WPP $18.13 $18.56 +2%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥28.85 ¥5.62 -81%
Mobvista Inc 1860 HK$11.15 HK$6.43 -42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TJGC Group (TJGC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.12 versus a price of $3.65, about −15% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TJGC?
Our model-based fair value for TJGC Group is $3.12 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.65.
What is the quality score of TJGC?
TJGC Group has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of TJGC Group (TJGC)?
TJGC Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $31.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TJGC?
The net profit margin of TJGC Group is about -122.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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